9-11-24 What's Really Behind Stock Market Volatility
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 09/11/2024
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Buying your first home, planning a wedding, managing insurance changes, and starting a career—these are the real financial decisions young adults are facing right now. Jon Penn & Danny Ratliff are "Two Dads on Money," walking through a real-life scenario: from choosing to buy instead of rent in a limited market. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:51 - Markets Respond to Iran Ceasefire 8:57 - Money Talks w Kids Young & Older 12:26 - Home Purchase Blues - Rent vs Buy? 17:37 - Mistakes w Houses in the Past 19:49 - Have the Money Conversation w Kids 23:27 - 1st Jobs & Pay...
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Markets are surging on news of a two-week ceasefire in Iran—but is this the start of a sustained rally or just another short-term bounce? With markets previously oversold and put activity at extreme levels, conditions were already in place for a reflexive move higher. Now, the ceasefire may be the catalyst pushing the S&P 500 back above the critical 200-day moving average. But here’s the catch: markets don’t usually bottom on good news. Hosted by RIA Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the...
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AI is changing how consumers discover businesses, make decisions, and trust information. Lance Roberts visit with Joseph Levi, Co-founder & CEO of Noise Media, about how advertising inside AI platforms like ChatGPT could reshape marketing, SEO, and brand building. Lance and Joseph explore whether businesses can influence AI-generated answers, the difference between the best answer and a paid answer, and why trust and accuracy are becoming the most valuable currencies in the AI era. From niche positioning to content strategy, we explain what actually works and what doesn’t when trying to...
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AI is not hype — it is the most consequential economic shift since the Industrial Revolution, and it is rewriting the investment playbook. Lance Roberts and special guest, Blackrock's Brian Dunlap, break down the full AI and tech stock story: how we got here, where the money is flowing, and what investors need to know right now. From the infrastructure build-out and enterprise adoption to physical AI, robotics, and autonomous vehicles, we walk through the entire investment cycle — including the IDGT and BAI ETFs, the hyperscalers driving capex, and why data centers are the...
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Most retirement plans focus on savings and returns—but that’s not what truly puts retirement at risk. Richard Rosso, Sarah Buenger, & Jonathan McCarty commiserate on the annual chore of paying taxes...but, provide helpful guidance in planning so that your tax bite might be lessened. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP, and Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - If Rich & Sarah Were on Gilligan's Island 1:05 - The Fine...
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Markets are hitting a critical inflection point—and the stakes are rising fast. A major policy speech from Donald Trump sparked volatility, just as markets tested a key cluster of technical resistance. Now investors are facing a bigger question: is the market environment shifting from a short-term rally to something more structural? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down: Why elevated oil prices could reignite inflation and complicate the Fed’s next move Whether the Federal Reserve is walking into a policy trap between inflation and slowing growth What matters more right now: GDP...
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Markets delivered the expected oversold bounce earlier this week, but momentum stalled right at a key technical level—the 20-DMA just beneath the 200-DMA. Now, with futures pointing lower following comments over night from President Donald Trump, the market faces its first real test after the recent rally attempt. Was that rally just a reflex bounce, or the start of something more sustainable? In this pre-market update, we break down the two critical paths forward: a deeper correction with a break of recent lows, or a more constructive setup where markets establish a higher low and rebuild...
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What happens when the wives take over the show? For this special April Fool’s Day edition of #TheRealInvestmentShow, the tables are turned as Michelle Ratliff & Christina Roberts step in to answer the questions investors never hear. From what Lance and Danny would really be doing outside of wealth management, to what happens if they suddenly win the lottery, we blend humor with surprisingly real financial insight. We also dig into the realities of managing money at home: Where couples disagree about finances Where financial values actually align How to teach kids a healthy...
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A major shift is happening in how younger investors approach the markets—and it may be the most important risk investors are ignoring. From AI-driven investing decisions to social media influencers shaping financial behavior, markets are increasingly influenced by speculation, speed, and hype. At the same time, the rise of options trading, crypto, and leveraged products is blurring the line between investing and gambling. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down: Why Gen Z is turning to AI and social media for investment advice The growing influence of financial influencers and crypto...
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Markets opened higher Monday but faded into another selloff as end-of-quarter rebalancing continues to drive volatility. With roughly $65 billion in portfolio adjustments underway, much of the recent price action is technical—not fundamental. Oversold conditions are building across the board. Momentum, relative strength, and sentiment all suggest the market is primed for a reflexive rally, with bonds already seeing buying interest and yields easing slightly. But beneath the surface, a bigger issue is emerging. While prices have declined, forward earnings estimates have not adjusted lower. If...
info_outlineToday marks the 23rd anniversary of the World Trade Center attacks; it's Inflation Day and post-Debate day. Market volatility tends to increase prior to Presidential elections; why policy matters. CPI is expected to show a .2% increase (it's ALWAYS expected at .2%!) Oil prices are a function of supply & demand. CPI will most impact markets today, and factor into the Fed's rate decision next week. Volatility is the big market driver. What inflation is telling us about the economy; why falling inflation is not good for earnings. How companies are cutting wages (without cutting wages); Danny rants on the high cost of hotel coffee. A critique of government spending, and why "The Inflation Reduction Act" was anything but; a look at sector-based bankruptcies and the Solar Energy industry. Stop investing in companies you know nothing about. Private investors and private money are more efficient than government investments: The Day Care conundrum. A word or two on the presidential debate; 6 income alternatives for falling rate environment; demand notes; Risk annuities; closed-end funds. At what point should you liquidate bonds?
SEG-1: Markets Increase Volatility Pre-Election
SEG-2: What Inflation is Telling Us About the Economy
SEG-3: Why "The Inflation Reduction Act" is Mis-labelled
SEG-4: Income Alternatives as Rates Fall
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0D5D2sxuJwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
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Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/
"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/
"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "CPI: Will or Won't the Fed Cut Rates?" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iArd3ktAw90&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Five Actions You Can Take to Minimize Risk"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gDSbAB_oXtc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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