Libsyn Directory

9-13-24 How to Create a Retirement Blueprint

Release Date: 09/13/2024

9-18-24 Fed Rate Decision 2024: Boom or Bust for Your Investments?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

It's Fed Day: The big question will be answered this afternoon, 'How much the cut?' Huge bets on 50-bp rate cut; will a quarter-point cut disappoint? Meanwhile, Retail Sales continue to weaken, but August numbers were better than expected. There is no apparent data to support a 50-bp rate cut. There is a credit debt wall coming; extreme market optimism is a risk. It's make-or-break time for the S&P 500; NASDAQ not performing as well, and the rest of the market is playing catch-up. Lance notes the AI effect on Utilities and Real Estate, formerly among most-hated sectors. Lance & Danny...

9-18-24 Hated Sectors Are the Most Desirable

The Real Investment Show Podcast

The S&P 500 is on a buy signal, not yet over bought, and flirting with all-time highs. It could set another all-time high, or establish significant resistance if markets fail following today's Fed rate announcement. Meanwhile, the tech-heavy NASDAQ is not performing nearly as well. The rest of the market has been playing catch-up, and the S&P Equal Weight index has become over bought, thanks to rises in utilities and real estate--sectors previously eschewed by investors. Seems everyone woke up with the AI effect, and utilities have had a huge run up since July. Real Estate has...

9-17-24 Momentum Investing Gives You An Edge...Until it Doesn't

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Today marks the start of the FOMC meeting, to be concluded with the latest interest rate announcement. Markets' expectations are for a half-percent cut; could a quarter-percent cut create disappointment on Wall Street? Microsoft announces and increase in its dividend payment (very different from a stock buy back). Kamala Harris' plans to raise taxes on corporations is in fact an crease in taxes on consumers; corporations are tax collectors for the government. Markets' rally in anticipation of Fed day tomorrow. The stock buyback window begins to close today ahead of the next earnings season,...

9-17-24 Markets Prep for Fed Day

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Tomorrow is The Big Day for markets as the Fed makes known its intentions for interest rates. Markets have been rallying nicely in anticipation; yesterday, pushing up to all-time highs and finishing positive. Markets remain in a consolidation range, and tomorrow's Fed decision will determine the markets' direction. Note that today begins the closure of the stock buyback window, removing an element of "lift" from markets. With the next earnings season just two weeks away, that buying power will begin to fade. Meanwhile, a buy signal remains in place with markets at very high levels, so there...

9-16-24 Market Risks We Are Watching

The Real Investment Show Podcast

It's Fed week, and many are predicting a 60% chance the FOMC will drop rates by a half percent; elections are drawing nearer: How will markets behave? (Why the polls are never right) Markets' 4% loss two weeks ago followed by 4% recovery last week; reversal days tend to mark bottoms, but not always. Last weeks' reversal was very bullish, but that doesn't mean we cannot have another correction. One risk is oil prices. XLE is over sold. The three risks we're watching include oil; discussion on the true meaning of inflation. Prices vs rate of change are two different things. The linkage of the...

9-16-24 Oil Prices Belie Economic Weakness

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets saw a 4% decline week before last; last week, markets recovered by 4% in anticipation of what the Fed is going to do this week. Did that big reversal day two weeks ago mark a market bottom? Not necessarily, because there are plenty of examples where such has occurred at market peaks. There is no doubt the recent reversal was bullish, and there is no real reason to be overly bearish at this point. However, risks remain, and one of them is in Oil Prices, which have continued to weaken. Despite a bounce following a sharp sell off, the trend in oil prices remains weak. That does not...

9-13-24 How to Create a Retirement Blueprint

The Real Investment Show Podcast

9-12-24 Did Inflation Change the Fed's Outlook?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

As we went to air this morning, Space-X astronauts are "space-walking," testing new spacesuits; is Elon Musk the real-live equivalent of Tony Stark? CPI prints cooler--but core CPI was hotter than expected. MEanwhile the NFIB Survey (showing conservative bent) shows increases in confidence wiped out as Harris capmaigns; policy matters. Markets Big Reversal on Nvidia commentary about AI chip demand; the news boosted markets to a 2.5% gain. CPI is a hot mess: Inflation is different for everyone; the important question is how CPI will affect markets. Lance and Michael discuss how CPI is...

9-12-24 Markets Test Resistance

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets had a big reversal day Wednesday: Core CPI was hotter than expected, and markets sold off about 1.5%. And at about the time markets were kissing the 100-DNA, Nvidia's CEO told a Goldman conference his company cannot keep up with AI chips demand. The Mag-7 came roaring back to drive markets up 1%, resulting in a 2.5% gain from the low. Markets are now testing resistance at the 20-DMA, and if successful, will rocket upward to new, all-time highs. Remain cautious for now and manage risk. Technically, the market is improving. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance...

9-11-24 What's Really Behind Stock Market Volatility

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Today marks the 23rd anniversary of the World Trade Center attacks; it's Inflation Day and post-Debate day. Market volatility tends to increase prior to Presidential elections; why policy matters. CPI is expected to show a .2% increase (it's ALWAYS expected at .2%!) Oil prices are a function of supply & demand. CPI will most impact markets today, and factor into the Fed's rate decision next week. Volatility is the big market driver. What inflation is telling us about the economy; why falling inflation is not good for earnings. How companies are cutting wages (without cutting wages); Danny...

More Episodes

Ratliff, but first a review of the markets: It's all about the Fed, and the grate debate is about rate. How much will they cut, and how many times? Watch for elevated volatility heading into the election; a divided-congress yields the best environment for markets. Who will have the best policies for the economy? What will your retirement look like? Commonalities vs net worth differences among peers; the need to set your own parameters. The importance of having paid-off debt. Components of a Retirement Blueprint: Needs, Wants, Wishes. "The New Retirement Mentality," by Mitch Anthony; dealing with distribution mode in retirement: Reality. Danny and Rich share clients' tales on over-spending in retirement. What will you do in retirement? The Return on Life equation (shopping for books in antique stores); how you know 'it's time to retire.' The Roth Conversion conversation; what does life look like, post-retirement?

SEG-1: It's All About the Fed: Debate on the rate
SEG-2: The Retirement Blueprint: What will yours look like?
SEG-3: The New Retirement Mentality
SEG-4: The Retirement Self-assessment: What will you do?

Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PDHDI0ulqcc&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=6s
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Register for our Retirement Blueprint presentation:
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/993906249347?aff=oddtdtcreator
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Cash Cow Clues: Can Dividend Yields Forecast Interest Rates?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cash-cow-clues-can-dividend-yields-forecast-interest-rates/
"S&P 500 – A Bullish And Bearish Analysis"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/sp-500-a-bullish-and-bearish-analysis/
"Risks Facing Bullish Investors As September Begins"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/risks-facing-bullish-investors-as-september-begins/
"Long-Term Signals Suggest Lower Forward Returns"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Test Resistance" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eX3NtgCIW20&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Did Inflation Change the Fed's Outlook?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gn_rLnZURQ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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