9-27-24 Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 09/27/2024
The Real Investment Show Podcast
What exactly are Trump Accounts, and who qualifies under the new expansion backed by Michael and Susan Dell’s $6.25 billion donation? Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff break down how the Dell Deal works, which families benefit, and why this initiative could reshape financial planning for millions of children. If you’re a parent, grandparent, or financial planner, this is essential information about how these accounts may impact a child’s financial future. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Sloppy Trading Ahead 5:15 - Performance Dichotomy in AI Stocks 11:00 - Trump Accounts - Where's the Value?...
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AI stocks inside the Mag-7 are no longer moving in unison. We’re now seeing a clear split between the names that are extremely overbought and those entering oversold, opportunity-driven territory. Apple ($AAPL) ripped to all-time highs and is now heavily deviated from its long-term means — historically a tough level to sustain. Google ($GOOGL) has been the recent “darling,” but it remains extremely overbought and is beginning an early correction phase. We rebalanced our Google position back to target last week based on that setup. On the other side of the spectrum, Nvidia ($NVDA) has...
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Welcome to our LIVE Q&A session! Lance Roberts is taking your questions directly from the YouTube live chat—covering markets, investing, retirement planning, inflation, interest rates, the Federal Reserve, portfolio strategy, risk management, and your personal finance questions. No scripts, no agenda—just real-time answers based on data, history, and risk-focused investing principles. We’ll break down what’s moving the markets, how to think about pullbacks, what the Fed may do next, how valuations affect future returns, and how to build financial plans that survive full market...
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Markets kicked off the first trading week of December with a weak open but rallied off the lows. Despite some early sloppiness, the major indices remain well-above their 100-day moving average, and the MACD Buy signal remains intact. Momentum is rebuilding, and a basing pattern appears to be forming across the board, including the NASDAQ. The bigger headline today is Bitcoin. After a sharp pullback and several weeks of ETF outflows, Bitcoin is now oversold and flashing renewed buy-signal conditions. ETF inflows have returned, options activity is picking up on the long side, and the price...
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Most investors fear bear markets—but history shows they play a critical role in building future returns. In this episode, Lance Roberts explains why market declines are not only normal, but necessary for long-term financial success. We break down how bear markets reset valuations, reduce speculation, improve forward returns, and provide disciplined investors with better long-term outcomes. Instead of focusing on predictions, we focus on the importance of managing risk, controlling emotions, and understanding how full market cycles work. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Manage Portfolios for Markets, not...
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Should you wait for a 5% correction before putting money to work? In today’s pre-market update, Lance Roberts explains why waiting for the “perfect pullback” is one of the most costly mistakes investors make. A 5% correction is normal volatility—it happens once or twice a year. Even 10% corrections occur regularly. This year alone, markets already saw a near-20% pullback in April and a 5% dip in early November. If you’re always waiting for the next pullback, your investment window becomes too narrow—and you risk missing the bulk of the market’s gains. Lance walks through...
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It's a cornucopia of content episode for this Friday following Thanksgiving, and Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty bemoan the demise of the U.S. Penny, the fallacy of risk tolerance questionnaires, Rich's Financial Fitness Garage and creating Retirement income; plus Rich's salutation for Thanksgiving. 0:00 - INTRO 0:44 - The Demise of the U.S. Penny 4:54 - Financial Risk Surveys - Rich & Jonathan's Scores 11:05 - Rich's Fitness Garage - Creating Retirement Income 24:41 - Happy Thanksgiving to You! 👉 Subscribe for weekly insights on investing, behavioral finance, and...
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Full market cycles matter more today than at any point in the last 15 years. Lance Roberts breaks down why valuations, history, and market structure all point to a simple truth: Every bull market is only half the story. The other half is the bear. Lance's approach isn’t bullish or bearish. It’s risk-focused. Your job as an investor isn’t to predict the next crash—it’s to avoid catastrophic losses that erase years of gains during the completion of a full market cycle. Lance and Danny Ratliff ponder Tariff Rebates and 50-year mortgages, and Lance and Michael Lebowitz pontificate...
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Peter Atwater, one of the leading voices on confidence-driven behavior in markets and society, joins Lance Roberts to share how certainty, control, and herd mentality shape every major trend investors face today. Lance and Peter discuss The Confidence Map, why people behave differently when they’re in the “comfort zone” versus the “stress center,” and how these shifts explain the rise of speculative investing, the bifurcated K-shaped economy, and the growing disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street. Atwater explores how consumer confidence is driving AI enthusiasm, why the...
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The financial system we rely on today isn’t what it used to be. From the Fed’s creation of “reserves” instead of real money to the collateral-driven markets that emerged after 2008, Lance Roberts & Garrett Baldwin break down how the game has changed—and what it means for your wealth. We cover everything from repo markets, ETFs, and the Buffett Indicator to the rise of passive investing and why sovereign nations are quietly buying gold. Plus, we explore how debasement works in real terms—through asset prices, housing costs, and purchasing power—and why education about money is...
info_outlineJonthan & Jonathan stand in for Danny & Rich with a preview of today's PCE report, and inklings of dissent within the Fed on the latest rate cut. The handwriting is on the wall for Savers; time to reassess strategies as interest rates fall. Ho will the election outcomes affect your financial planning? Worst-case scenario: a contested election (the markets hate uncertainty). With the ebb and flow of markets, we make adjustments on the fly, not per formula. Interest Rates & Real Estate: As rates come downm, time to buy or refinance? How Mortgage Rates and Fed Rates behave; patience is a virtue. Has the average income needed to buy a house come down? The concerpt of micro-retirement: Is it a good idea from a financial planning aspect? Younger vs older generation; consequences of micro-retirement (Brent reveals his nano-retirement). The importance of diversification of accounts; Roths & tax free withdrawals. Our end-of-year checklist: Tax planning and Roth conversions. Dealing with RMD's (required minimum distribution) and QCD's (qualified charitable donation).
SEG-1: PCE Preview & Dissent at the Fed
SEG-2: Interest Rates & Real Estate: Is the timing right?
SEG-3: Is Micro-Retirement Right for You?
SEG-4: The Importance of Diversification of Accounts
Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Jonathan Penn, CFP, and #Jonathan McCarty, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SjPwPSI_rpI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Agency REITs For A Bull Steepener"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/agency-reits-for-a-bull-steepener/
"50 Basis Point Rate Cut – A Review And Outlook"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/50-basis-point-rate-cut-a-review-and-outlook/
"Analysis Of The Market As The Fed Cuts Rates"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Flow Trumps Thesis" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_qzcif6GGmc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s
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Our previous show is here: "Bull Steepener Alert: How Agency REITs Can Supercharge Your Portfolio"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGbMCOPuPGI&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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