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10-28-24 Streaks Of Bullish Wins Are Not Sustainable

Release Date: 10/28/2024

The Real Investment Show Podcast

This is a mash-up of previously broadcast show audio, from Tuesday (12/8), Wednesday (12/11), Tuesday (12/17), and Wednesday (12/18): More commentary on those who would think they can beat the market, and what's in store if the show goes straight to YouTube (no filter). Old maxims about investing no longer hold true with the velocity of information and distortion of the markets. Why does no one want Value Stocks anymore? Lance and Danny recall reading encyclopedias as youths. The thing about Roth conversions...what are the chances taxes will go lower? SEG-1: S&P 500 vs Everyone Else SEG-2:...

RIS 12-31-24 The Best-of Show Episode-6

The Real Investment Show Podcast

This is a mash-up of previously broadcast show audio, from Tuesday (12/10) and Monday (12/16): Lance discusses why the NFIB Small Business Index matters (and what it is saying); the NFIB Confidence Index; expectatinos vs actual sales; they always fall short of expectations. Why tariffs are a benefit to small businesses. Outlook is very positive following Trump re-election (most small business owners are conservatively oriented.) Stocks vs Bonds: Earnings growth expectations are too high; what happens if we don't meet them? It was easy managing money this year... A review of Bob Farrell's...

12-30-24 MONDAY The Best-of The Real Investment Show Episode-5

The Real Investment Show Podcast

This is a compilation of previously broadcast segments gathered from Monday (12/9), Tuesday (12/10), and Tuesday (12/17): Tax-loss Harvesting & RMD's: Do it now. (Why you shouldn't wait until after Christmas.) Understanding the Wash-Sale Rule; speculate in taxable accounts, not IRA's and 401-k's. A plethora of ETF's: all money flows feed into underlying stocks; $1-T into ETF's this year. Where will the next Trillion come from? What's the Risk for market correction? Volatility Index is down to 13; no one is betting on a crash. Where are the money in-flows originating? When inflation...

12-27-24 FRIDAY The Best-of The Real Investment Show Episode-4

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz makes a rare, in-studio appearance with Lance Roberts, discussing whether another market liquidity event might be on the horizon? While there is generally good liquidity in the financial system, there are some nascent signs that problems could arise. The ISM Services Index is showing weaknesses, and more economic reports to come this month are likely to mirror such performance. A lack of stimulus money showing up previously in the economy are resulting in these weaker results emerging. Meanwhile, markets continue to do well, and expectations for 2025 are 19%...

RIS 12-26-24 THURSDAY Best-of Show EPISODE-3

The Real Investment Show Podcast

12-24-24 The Best-of The Real Investment Show Episode-2

The Real Investment Show Podcast

This is a mash-up of previously broadcast show audio, from Wednesday (12/4) and Monday (12/9): Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. On being Contrarian: Markets have...

12-23-24 The Best-of The Real Investment Show Episode-1

The Real Investment Show Podcast

This is a mash-up of previously broadcast show audio, from Tuesday (12/3) and Wednesday (12/4): Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. On being Contrarian: Markets have...

12-20-24 What the Trump Win Means for Your Taxes

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Heads-up: We're on vacation for the next two-weeks starting Monday (12/23); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. Rich & Danny's final live show of the year starts with coverage of Tariffs, inflation vs deflation, and Jerome Powell's performance as Fed Head. Being cautiously optimistic: We've been living in a government-driven economy: Markets aren't red or blue; they're green. How estate planning may evovled during the Trump presidency; will the SALT deduction...

12-19-24 Did the Fed Steal Christmas?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

We're on vacation for the next two-weeks starting Monday (12/23); audio podcasts will be available on iTunes, Spotify, and a host of other audio platforms. Check our website, www.realinvestmentadvice.com for complete links. The House's Continuing Resolution fails to pass muster, thanks to pressure from president-elect Donald Trump and the emerging D.O.G.E. team. Meanwhile, the Fed cuts rates, as expected, but adds a hawkish slant to their language, and markets shed 3% on Wednesday. Lance & Michael discuss whether the Fed has stolen Christmas in this fashion, dealing with the lag effect,...

12-19-24 The Fed is Never Right

The Real Investment Show Podcast

The Federal Reserve cut rates 25-bp, as expected, but the language was more hawkish than anticipated, and the Fed's "Dot Plot" of anticipated rate cuts for 2025 suggested fewer incidents of rate trimming next year. That took a bit of juice out of the punch bowl and spooked the markets. But remember, the Fed is never right about anything, and these predictions are the worst on anything they do. Lance reviews the ingredients comprising a correction: Extremely suppressed volatility, narrow market breadth, and declining momentum. On Wednesday, following the Fed announcement, markets sold off to...

More Episodes

Wrapping up the Month of October and beginning the strongest period for markets, November - April; what could throw a wrench into the works? (How about an election upset?) Markets are positioning for a specific, anticipated outcome. Life with the Roberts': Child #4 accepted at Baylor! The Halloween dress-rehearsal. Markets' positioning for election outcome: What if...? Market risks to election outcome. Treasury Bonds are the best set up for election upset; there are decent opportunities to go "long" on energy stocks. Economic data released this week: The Chicago Fed Manufacturing Index is an important indicator; what is it telling us? View that performance of the Mag-7 might reverse next year are not reasonable. Google(s) and Crocks report this week, and most of the Top 10 will have reported by week's end. Lance relates his conversation with his dog and managing risk. Article preview on Paul Tudor Jones' opinion on owning Treasury Bonds. Debts and Deficits will not lead to higher rates: The country will NOT go bankrupt: Economic growth, Wage growth, inflation growth: The terminal rate is likely around 2.5%. The thing about bonds: It's pretty much math.

SEG-1: What Could Throw a Wrench into markets?
SEG-2a: Life w The Roberts & Baylor U.
SEG-2b: Markets Position for Election Outcome
SEG-3: Earnings Reports & Managing Risk
SEG-4: Debts & Deficits will NOT Lead to Higher Rates

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/
"Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Election Winner" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Wz_MZaSmQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Can You Really Afford to Own a Home?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbPQLkasFFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
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