12-3-24 What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 12/03/2024
4-7-26 AI Advertising Explained: How Brands Win Inside ChatGPT
The Real Investment Show Podcast
AI is changing how consumers discover businesses, make decisions, and trust information. Lance Roberts visit with Joseph Levi, Co-founder & CEO of Noise Media, about how advertising inside AI platforms like ChatGPT could reshape marketing, SEO, and brand building. Lance and Joseph explore whether businesses can influence AI-generated answers, the difference between the best answer and a paid answer, and why trust and accuracy are becoming the most valuable currencies in the AI era. From niche positioning to content strategy, we explain what actually works and what doesn’t when trying to...
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4-6-26 AI: How To Invest in the Next Industrial Revolution - Brian Dunlap Interview
The Real Investment Show Podcast
AI is not hype — it is the most consequential economic shift since the Industrial Revolution, and it is rewriting the investment playbook. Lance Roberts and special guest, Blackrock's Brian Dunlap, break down the full AI and tech stock story: how we got here, where the money is flowing, and what investors need to know right now. From the infrastructure build-out and enterprise adoption to physical AI, robotics, and autonomous vehicles, we walk through the entire investment cycle — including the IDGT and BAI ETFs, the hyperscalers driving capex, and why data centers are the...
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4-3-26 Taxes Never Go Away
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Most retirement plans focus on savings and returns—but that’s not what truly puts retirement at risk. Richard Rosso, Sarah Buenger, & Jonathan McCarty commiserate on the annual chore of paying taxes...but, provide helpful guidance in planning so that your tax bite might be lessened. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP, and Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - If Rich & Sarah Were on Gilligan's Island 1:05 - The Fine...
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4-2-26 Fed Trap? Markets Face Inflation, Oil & Treasury Sell-Off
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are hitting a critical inflection point—and the stakes are rising fast. A major policy speech from Donald Trump sparked volatility, just as markets tested a key cluster of technical resistance. Now investors are facing a bigger question: is the market environment shifting from a short-term rally to something more structural? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down: Why elevated oil prices could reignite inflation and complicate the Fed’s next move Whether the Federal Reserve is walking into a policy trap between inflation and slowing growth What matters more right now: GDP...
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4-2-26 200-DMA Rejection: Bounce or Breakdown? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets delivered the expected oversold bounce earlier this week, but momentum stalled right at a key technical level—the 20-DMA just beneath the 200-DMA. Now, with futures pointing lower following comments over night from President Donald Trump, the market faces its first real test after the recent rally attempt. Was that rally just a reflex bounce, or the start of something more sustainable? In this pre-market update, we break down the two critical paths forward: a deeper correction with a break of recent lows, or a more constructive setup where markets establish a higher low and rebuild...
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4-1-26 Wives Take Over: Money, Marriage, and Real Talk
The Real Investment Show Podcast
What happens when the wives take over the show? For this special April Fool’s Day edition of #TheRealInvestmentShow, the tables are turned as Michelle Ratliff & Christina Roberts step in to answer the questions investors never hear. From what Lance and Danny would really be doing outside of wealth management, to what happens if they suddenly win the lottery, we blend humor with surprisingly real financial insight. We also dig into the realities of managing money at home: Where couples disagree about finances Where financial values actually align How to teach kids a healthy...
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3-31-26 Are Markets Becoming Gambling?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
A major shift is happening in how younger investors approach the markets—and it may be the most important risk investors are ignoring. From AI-driven investing decisions to social media influencers shaping financial behavior, markets are increasingly influenced by speculation, speed, and hype. At the same time, the rise of options trading, crypto, and leveraged products is blurring the line between investing and gambling. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down: Why Gen Z is turning to AI and social media for investment advice The growing influence of financial influencers and crypto...
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3-31-26 Oversold Bounce or Bigger Breakdown? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets opened higher Monday but faded into another selloff as end-of-quarter rebalancing continues to drive volatility. With roughly $65 billion in portfolio adjustments underway, much of the recent price action is technical—not fundamental. Oversold conditions are building across the board. Momentum, relative strength, and sentiment all suggest the market is primed for a reflexive rally, with bonds already seeing buying interest and yields easing slightly. But beneath the surface, a bigger issue is emerging. While prices have declined, forward earnings estimates have not adjusted lower. If...
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3-30-26 Subprime Crisis 2.0? Private Credit Risks Explained
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Lance Roberts breaks down the growing stress in private credit markets, rising default risks, and the recent wave of gated withdrawals across major funds. With comparisons to the 2008 financial crisis gaining traction, investors are asking a critical question: are we facing Subprime Crisis 2.0? We examine what made the 2008 collapse so catastrophic—leverage, derivatives, and systemic contagion—and compare it to today’s private credit landscape. While defaults are rising and liquidity concerns are real, the structure of private credit is fundamentally different. Hosted by RIA Advisors...
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3-30-26 Sell the Bounce Before the Next Drop | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are down roughly 7% from their peak and under sustained pressure, with five consecutive weeks of negative returns—an unusually extended stretch that historically signals a near-term inflection point. Oversold conditions, weak momentum, and deeply negative money flows suggest a reflexive bounce is likely in the coming days. But investors should be cautious. This is not the end of the correction cycle. Lance Roberts breaks down why any near-term rally should be used to rebalance risk—not chase upside. With geopolitical catalysts like Iran tensions and oil price volatility acting as...
info_outlinePeriods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. Lance and Jonathan discuss these lessons from history on today's show, plus a discussion on asset diversification, and what happens when all assets become correlated, the fallacies of diversification, and overlap risk. Money mistakes made by the young; the bset stop-loss tools and strategies; the flaw in comparing portfolio performance to the S&P Index (or any index).
SEG-1: Why Sentiment-driven Indexes are Up
SEG-2: Lessons from History - What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us
SEG-3: The Fallacies of Diversification
SEG-4a: The Best Stop-loss Tool
SEG-4b: Comparing Portfolios to S&P Index
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/
"Extreme Speculation Has Returned"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
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