Libsyn Directory

4-4-25 Will Tariff Turmoil Cause Retirement Revisions?

Release Date: 04/04/2025

4-22-25 If Spock Was Your Financial Advisor

The Real Investment Show Podcast

We're not exactly going where no man has gone before, but a recent piece in Forbes.com caught our eye, and it's worth...exploring. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn blend a little pop culture with personal finance on today's episode: What if logic—not emotion—guided your financial decisions? How might the legendary Vulcan's rational mindset be applied to modern investing. From avoiding behavioral biases to making objective portfolio decisions, we break down what it truly means to invest like Spock. Whether you’re a die-hard Star Trek fan or just looking for smarter money habits, this...

4-22-25 Are Markets Mimicking 2022?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Monday's market action was not unsurprising; we continue to retrace what occurred in 2022: The analogs between current market drops and the declines in 2022 are very similar. Markets are likely going to retest recent lows, maybe even reset to lower lows; so there is still some downside risk. Markets are as deeply oversold now as in 2022, so any piece of good news markets might receive will produce a reflexive rally, and that's the opportunity you're looking for to reduce risk. This is the pattern we saw in 2022. Volatility has been dropping, and money flow indicators are starting to turn back...

-21-25 The Death Cross And Market Bottoms

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Is the dreaded death cross a warning sign—or a buying opportunity? In this episode, I break down what the death cross really signals for the stock market and whether it reliably marks a market bottom or just more volatility ahead. We’ll look at historical patterns, technical analysis indicators, and investor behavior during past bear markets. If you're trying to navigate through the noise and make smarter investment decisions, this episode is for you. We also deal with an electrical power outage in the third segment, resulting in a truncated show. SEG-1: Markets Are Working Thru Retesting...

4-17-25 Powell Rekindles Trump Feud

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets could experience volatility today as options expire; healthcare stocks are also being sympathetic to UnitedHealthCare's unhealthy quarterly report and performance of weight loss drug makers' stocks. Markets are recovering from recent lows: Did the "Death Cross" mark the bottom? Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks criticizing President Trump's tariff policies, highlighting their potential to exacerbate inflation and slow economic growth has reignited tensions between Powell and Trump, reminiscent of their earlier disputes during President Trump's first term....

4-17-25 Did the "Death Cross" Mark a Market Low?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets are trying to recover from recent lows, and we're on a short-term buy signal; markets are not really over bought quite yet. More consolidation would not be surprising, particularly with the "Death Cross" of the 50-DMA with the 200-DMA. There is cause for caution here, because, historically, the majority of the time (outside of a recessionary event-driven market), the "Death Cross" is most commonly associated with market lows than at the beginning of a corrective cycle. Unless there is a recession or a credit-related event in the markets, these tend to be fairly short-lived: Generally...

4-16-25 A Dozen Ways to Prepare for Recession

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts' opening monologue covers Easter prep, DMA Death Crosses, and rising recession risk; an earnings season update (so far, okay), the lack of forward guidance, and negative earnings revisions (except in the Russell 2000); the significance of the 50-DMA crossing below the 200-DMA: Know the context. Event-driven vs. Construct-driven corrections; Scott Bessent and tariffs, tax cuts, and deregulation; what if the US and China reach an accord? Defining Bear Markets vs Corrections; what to do to prepare for Recessions; what comes next, after tariffs? Is now the best time to take RMD's, or...

4-16-25 DMA Death Cross Signals Consolidation

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets will open a little weaker this morning: Tariffs have not gone away, and Nvidia says it will take a $5-Billion charge on an AI chip they can ship overseas because of the ban. Still, Nvidia continues to outperform the market. The bigger news headlines will be about "The Death Cross" of the 50-DMA crossing below the 200-DMA, which will provide more aggressive overhead resistance for stock prices as they try to recover. Basically what this indicates is a continuation of market consolidation in a corrective period. "Death Cross!" does not mean the next financial crisis is imminent. There...

4-15-25 It's Tax Day!

The Real Investment Show Podcast

It's Tax Day 2025 — are you ready? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn review last-minute tax tips, filing strategies, and how to avoid costly IRS penalties. But frankly, if you haven't gotten it done by today... There are market benefits from Tax Day, as some tax return money finds its way back into play; stock buy back will also supply some support to markets. In an event-driven market (tariffs), have we passed the markets' low? How the US Dollar is dealing with pressure. Last-minute tax tips include HSA advice, and shwat diversification is not. Treasury Sec'y Scott Bessent and Bond Market...

4-15-25 The Dollar Under Pressure

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Nobody wants the dollar? Is it really the end of the word as we know it?? While the Dollar has certainly had a decline, going from 110 to 99 on the US Dollar Index. However, things must be placed properly in context: Looking at a 20-yar chart, it is clear that the Dollar is NOT declining, despite recent, short term dips. The Dollar has basically been consolidating ever since 2022. Yes, the Dollar could go lower from here; 91 on the Index is certainly possible in a retest of a long term moving average. But that would still be well within the bullish trend. What we're witnessing now is not...

4-14-25 Yield Spreads Suggest The Risk Isn’t Over Yet

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Are we heading toward a recession in 2025? In this episode, Lance Roberts explores why yield curve inversions and widening credit spreads suggest the risk isn’t over yet, what the bond market is telling investors, and how these indicators have predicted past recessions and what it could mean for your portfolio. Lance covers: * The Tariff impact on Apple * The mistake of confusing trade deficits with tariffs * Markets' relief rally * Tariffs paused not likely to return * Yield curve inversion and economic signals * Credit spreads and financial stress * Implications for the stock and...

More Episodes

Markets scuttled over 5% following President Trump's initial reveal of intended tariffs on trading partners he says have been trading unfairly with the U.S. The fallout continues today, and Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty examine Tariffs and Retirement Planning, the rise of protectionism vs globalism, and how tariffs affect the economy. Bonds are playing an important role in a 60/40 portfolio, and here are some possible Retirement Portfolio Strategies for the rest of 2025. Rich and Jonathan also discuss Market Volatility and Retirement and the Trade War's Impact on Investments. Does this week's market rout provide buying opportunities? It's unwise to completely ignore your portfolio, just as it is dangerous to execute knee-jerk changes in response to news headlines. Rich & Jonathan also discuss the Tax Cut and Jobs Act, which they believe will either sunset or drastically change.

SEG-1: Markets Get a Tariffic Headache
SEG-2: Bonds Are Doing Their Job in a 60/40 Portfolio
SEG-3: Will Tariff Troubles Cause Retirement Plan Revisions?
SEG-4: Looking at the Mega Roth Option

Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan McCarty, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's full show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GJXH8JLD6Fg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2329s

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Articles mentioned in this report:
"Trump's Puzzle"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trumps-puzzle/
"Liberation Day: A Bullish Scenario"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/liberation-day-a-bullish-scenario/
"Sellable Rally Or “Buy The Dip”"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sellable-rally-or-buy-the-dip/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "EMERGENCY UPDATE: Tariff Terror," is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4L7DmJ4JA8M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Markets' Tariff Tizzy"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-uAO2xjOt-w&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s
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