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6-4-25 Will There Be a Summer Swoon?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Release Date: 06/04/2025

7-1-25 TUESDAY Best-of Show show art 7-1-25 TUESDAY Best-of Show

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Danny & Lance begin the show with good intentions and good taste with a follow up to Beyond Meat and Flexitarianism, then discuss the sticky wicket of stock and land inheritances, and whether or not you should disclaim a hefty inheritance. Today's show also features several bonus elements, including a recap of Mrs. Robert's trip to the Vegas Bitcoin Expo and convention robots; an exposition on the alleged death of American Exceptionalism, and a follow-up to the story of Mrs. Roberts' instant pickle recipe. Lance & Jonathan opine with chatroom participants about their first PC's, and...

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6-30-25 MONDAY Best-of Show show art 6-30-25 MONDAY Best-of Show

The Real Investment Show Podcast

This Month's Middle East turmoil calls to rememberance the Japanese Carry Trade blow up vs Iran Bombings: There is not the same sense of urgency this time; markets have already moved-on. Is Apple dead? Lance and Jonathan addresses a YouTube Chatroom query with analysis of how Apple continues to do well, despite a paucity of innovation; why 420 ETF's all own Apple; the evolution of the smartphone. Why you need Apple in your portfolio. Lance and Jonathan also address whether your college grad kid should move back in with Mom & Dad. SEG-1: Where's he Sense of Urgency? SEG-2: Is Apple Dead?...

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6-27-25 Annuities Are Not Your Enemy show art 6-27-25 Annuities Are Not Your Enemy

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Are annuities always a bad deal? Not so fast. In today’s episode, Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty tackle the myths and misconceptions around annuities. From income guarantees to tax-deferred growth, find out how annuities can actually support your retirement strategy—if used the right way.  Jonathan shares his changed life as a new father,  and a discussion of investor confirmation bias, who's likely to be the replacement for Jerome Powell, and the Shado Fed, tariffs, inflation, and political bias in investing. Rich and Jonathan address the growing impact of AI on the labor...

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6-26-25 The Fed's Next Mistake show art 6-26-25 The Fed's Next Mistake

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Is the Fed setting the stage for another policy blunder?  As inflation pressures linger and economic growth slows, Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the risks of the central bank's next move—and what it could mean for your money on this morning's episode of #TheRealInvestmentShow. The Market Rally is ON, yet oil prices are telling a different story about the economy. President Trump could be picking a successor to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell sooner than later. Lance and Michael expose the Fed's political "independance," and it's proclivity for financial socialism. The Fed...

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6-26-25 What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy | Before the Bell  show art 6-26-25 What Oil Prices Are Saying About the Economy | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

In case you haven't noticed, the market's been in a rally ever since the April lows. Investor sentiment is finally turning more extreme-bullish. The whole Tariff thing is not A Thing; the Debt Crisis is not A Thing; World War 3 is not A Thing. Investors are starting to look past all this, and sentiment is on the rise. Markets on Wednesday knocked on the door of another all-time high; the NASDAQ achieved that milestone. Again. And it is possible the S&P will set a new, all-time high this week. Under the surface, things are over bought but not extremely stretched. July tends to be an event...

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6-25-25 The Bulls Are Back in Town show art 6-25-25 The Bulls Are Back in Town

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Market speculation is at an all time high, yet there are economic surprises in store that could shake things up. There is now an illusion of economic strength. Lance discusses the recent reversal of the Death Cross in the S&P and NASDAQ; the Gold Cross is at an all time high. Lance and Danny address the new push to make private equity investing available for "the little guy," and the illusion of limited volatility. Beware the "good deals;" Wall Street will always find something to sell you if you want to buy it. The fallacy of "above average" gains in private equity; you never hear about...

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6-25-25 Markets' Trajectory Remains Bullish | Before the Bell  show art 6-25-25 Markets' Trajectory Remains Bullish | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets enjoyed a very nice rally on Tuesday, up by about 1% by the end of the day. A little bit of a sell-off right before the end of the session restrained markets from achieving another all-time high. The trajectory of the market remains bullish. Lance discusses progress since the Death Cross in the Spring; the difference between when a Death Cross matters or not is whether a Recession occurs afterwards. The NASDAQ is actually at all-time highs, triggering a "Golden Cross." If the NASDAQ continues to set new, all-time highs, it will drag the S&P with it. Despite these achievements,...

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6-24-25 Is WW III Off the Table? show art 6-24-25 Is WW III Off the Table?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Is the threat of World War III finally off the table?  Lance Roberts breaks down the latest developments in global conflict and what they mean for financial markets. From oil prices and defense stocks to safe-haven assets like gold and Treasuries, we’ll unpack how investors should think about geopolitical risk now. Are markets too complacent—or is the worst truly behind us? Is Apple dead? Lance addresses a YouTube Chatroom query with analysis of how Apple continues to do well, despite a paucity of innovation; why 420 ETF's all own Apple; the evolution of the smartphone. Why you need...

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6-24-25 Markets' Bullish Prelude to July show art 6-24-25 Markets' Bullish Prelude to July

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets on Monday were under a bit of pressure because of the weekend bombings in Iran and their nothing-burger response. Markets broke out of their consolidation and ended the day in the green, retaining a bullish stance. Markets held support at a previous top, and proved multiple levels on which there is solid footing. Unfortunately, there's not a tremendous amount of upside from where we are now, but technicals are improving. The downside risk is down to 2,800, and there is about 100-points of upside, so the risk/reward is not great enough to be super-aggressive. Pay attention to slowing...

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6-23-25 U.S. Strikes Iran: How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode show art 6-23-25 U.S. Strikes Iran: How to Invest When Geopolitics Explode

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Over the weekend, the U.S. launched strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities. Of course, for Americans and the financial markets, the response from not only Iran but also Iran’s allies will be critical. Lance Roberts describes a process of logical evaluation and portfolio risk management when markets experience turmoil: What matters most to investors? What do these attacks mean for earnings? How might geopolitics affect EOQ activity? [NOTE: Lance is on vacation next week, 6/30-7/4] Remembering the Japanese Carry Trade blow up vs Iran Bombings: There is not the same sense of urgency this...

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More Episodes

Is a summer swoon looming in the stock market for 2025? 
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff explore the historical performance of the S&P 500 and major sectors during the summer months—June through August, and examine whether investors should brace for a seasonal pullback, looking at historical June-to-August returns and volatility trends, what typically drives a summer slowdown in stocks, and sector-by-sector analysis: What holds up best in weak seasonal periods? How do global macroeconomic conditions and slowing growth shape investor behavior? Lance and Danny also discuss how markets listen and absorb news...and adapt. The US is NOT going broke; Lance again discusses the economic benefits of needful government spending on infrastructure projects and the multiplier effect. Danny and Lance also parse a potential bill to ban sitting Congresspersons from investing in markets.

SEG-1: Sell in May, or Go Away?
SEG-2: Why June Isn't Always a Loser Month for Markets
SEG-3: The More Markets Hear, the More They Adapt
SEG-4a: Is the US Going Broke?
SEG-4b: Should Congress Be Banned from Trading?

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's video on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=55_d45otgA4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s
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Articles mention in this show:
"Buying Stocks Is Always Hard"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/buying-stocks-is-always-hard/
"The Narratives Change. Markets Don’t."
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-narratives-change-markets-dont/
"Ray Dalio Is Predicting A Financial Crisis…Again."
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/ray-dalio-is-predicting-a-financial-crisis-again/
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Sell in May & Go Away?," is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k0JoZpN0_40&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Our previous show is here: "Reports of the Death of American Exceptionalism are Greatly Exaggerated,"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2B9lqcwx9EU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2063s
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Register for our next live webinar, "Financial Independence Candid Coffee," June 28, 2025:
https://streamyard.com/watch/BUr4UuRVt6Uj
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Get more info & commentary: 
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
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SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
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Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
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https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
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Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
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#SellInMay #MarketRally #AmericanExceptionalism #Dollar #Mag7 #MoneyFlows #SummerSwoon #StockMarketTrends #MarketForecast #Investing2025 #SeasonalInvesting #ArtificialIntelligence #AI #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing