10-13-25 Markets vs Reality - Daniel LaCalle on the Coming Global Reset
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 10/13/2025
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn tackle two of the biggest gaps in financial education: How to actually use RSI, MACD, Money Flow, and MACD Histogram together, and why post-retirement planning (the âdecumulationâ phase) is so overlookedâyet absolutely critical. Lance and Jon break down the mysteries of indicator interplay, retirement income strategies, and how to evaluate who you can trust with your money. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - The Math Ain't Mathin' for 2026 Earnings Projections 4:57 - I Told You So 10:42 - Technical Analysis - Keep it Simple 14:04 - Adapt Your Technical Analysis to Your...
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The S&P 500 just broke below its 50-day moving average (50-DMA) for the first time in 199 days â the longest streak since the bull run began. Is this the start of a major correction or just another fake-out? In todayâs pre-market video short, we break down: Why yesterdayâs break of the 50-DMA actually matters What the MACD and RSI are telling us right now Why everything is moving together: stocks, small-caps, Nasdaq (QQQ), international, emerging markets, gold, and even Bitcoin The danger of high correlation across all asset classes in 2025 Historical seasonality: the last 2 weeks of...
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Full market cycles matter more today than at any point in the last 15 years. Lance Roberts breaks down why valuations, history, and market structure all point to a simple truth: Every bull market is only half the story. The other half is the bear. Lance's approach isnât bullish or bearish. Itâs risk-focused. Your job as an investor isnât to predict the next crashâitâs to avoid catastrophic losses that erase years of gains during the completion of a full market cycle. 0:00 - INTRO 0:27 - Market Moves Will Hinge on Nvidia 4:18 - Markets' 3rd Test of 50-DMA 8:46 - Why Berkshire...
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Markets tested the 50-DMA for the third time since October on Fridayâand once again, buyers stepped in to defend support. Futures are pointing higher this morning, but the setup still looks like a weak open for Wall Street. With upside resistance near 6,900, the market remains stuck in a well-defined trading range. The big catalyst this week? Nvidia earnings, which could determine whether this consolidation resolves higherâor if weâre watching the early stages of a topping process. Short-term signals remain on a sell, and relative strength is cooling. But bullish year-end factors like...
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Open Enrollment season is hereâand itâs one of the most overlooked financial opportunities employees have all year. In this episode, we break down the biggest mistakes people make when reviewing their employer benefits and how to approach your plan as if you were a brand-new hire. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty tackle the smart way to choose health insurance, whether young workers really need life insurance, and which âitâll never happen to meâ benefits can make or break your financial stability. Weâll also explore where employer benefits are heading in 2025âwhat companies...
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The scent of QE is back. With overnight funding markets flashing early stress and NY Fed President John Williams hinting at âgradual asset purchases,â itâs clear: the liquidity cycle is turning again. But the real question is why markets have become so dependent on the Fed in the first place. Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down how the 2008 financial crisis fundamentally rewired market plumbing, sidelined private liquidity providers, and turned the Federal Reserve into the primaryâand often the onlyâsource of liquidity in the financial system. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 -...
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Markets posted a fourth straight day of gains, reclaiming the 20-DMA and pushing back toward all-time highsâwith the Dow breaking above 48,000 for the first time. The bullish trend remains intact as a momentum buy signal sits on the verge of triggering. Under the surface, rotation is driving the story. Healthcare continues to outperform, even outpacing Tech. Staples are starting to recover from deeply oversold levels, with a potential momentum shift if they clear the 20- and 50-DMA. Finance is improving from oversold conditions with strengthening relative strength. Meanwhile, Disney beat...
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Most retirement advice focuses on saving and not running out of money â but few talk about how to spend confidently once youâve achieved financial independence. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff show how to shift from saving mode to living mode without fear or guilt: Why itâs okay to enjoy what youâve earned How to enjoy your wealth without overspending The emotional side of leaving the âaccumulationâ mindset Practical withdrawal and income strategies for peace of mind 0:19 - A Deluge of Data Coming 4:36 - Market Rotations and Maintaining Momentum 8:48 -...
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Markets opened weakly on Tuesday but finished in the green as Buy-the-Dip traders stepped back in. The S&P 500 bounced off its 50-DMA and is on the verge of a momentum buy signal, while relative strength continues to improve â a bullish sign for near-term market direction. Rotation remains the key theme: Energy (XLE) is starting to lift, even with oil prices steady. Natural gas could see rising demand as AI-driven data centers strain the power grid. Consumer Staples are beginning to recover as investors rotate toward defensive names. Lance Roberts explains how sector rotation is shaping...
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Generational money lessons never go out of style. In this episode, we revisit Depression-era financial wisdom â simple, hard-earned truths that built resilient families and lasting wealth. From living below your means to marrying a saver and learning practical skills, these principles have guided generations through both prosperity and hardship. Weâll share 12 timeless money lessons that can help todayâs younger generation navigate debt, lifestyle inflation, and financial stress. These are the same habits that kept families afloat during the Great Depression â and theyâre just as...
info_outlineAre markets completely disconnected from economic reality?
In this exclusive conversation, Lance Roberts of RIA Advisors sits down with Daniel LaCalle, Chief Economist at Tressis and author of Freedom or Equality, to examine the illusion of wealth, sovereign-debt bubbles, and why the next global crisis may already be forming beneath the surface.
đ Topics discussed:
0:18 - Intro - Is There a Disconnect Between Markets & Reality?
2:34 - The Monetary World is Completely Out of Control
5:56 - The Crisis is a Manifestation of Previous Excesses
7:24 - Wealth is an Illusion
9:08 Government Have Passed The Three Limits
10:41 - Where Does Money Go for Safety?
12:12 - Living in the Period of the Tariff Tantrum
14:50 - The Problem of Cryptocurrency Volatility Risk
16:27 - Bitcoin (and cryptocurrency) Does not Have the Stability Banks Require
19:00 - The Case for Stablecoin
23:21 - The Un-hinging of Governments' Power
26:46 - Consequences of Removing Central Banks' Ability to Manipulate Currency
28:37 - The Cracking Point for Citizens (France)
31:36 - Germany's Destruction of Manufacturing by Fiscal Policy
33:46 - Is the Eurozone at Risk of Pulling Apart?
36:25 - Inflation: US Debt, Demographics, & Betting on Resurgence
37:53 - The Biggest Risk for 2026 - Reduction of Inflationary Burst
39:51 - The Circular Dynamics of AI Infrastructure
41:36 - The Typical Over-allocation and Mis-allocation of Capital
43:24 - The US Will Benefit from out of control Regulation in the EU
đ Key takeaway: Monetary policy has unhinged markets from fundamentals, creating an illusion of stability that could fracture once liquidity fades.
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