10-15-25 Is the Fed Poised to Pause Quantitative Tightening?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 10/15/2025
The Real Investment Show Podcast
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Markets broke below both the 20- and 50-day moving averages, triggering a short-term MACD sell signal and raising concerns about near-term weakness. While technical damage should not be ignored, markets are becoming oversold on a relative strength basis, which historically increases the odds of a short-term bounce. Importantly, market bottoms tend to be brief, and prior episodes have shown that support breaks can be quickly reversed. The key issue now is not the intraday violation of moving averages, but where markets ultimately close the week. A sustained close below key support levels would...
info_outlineFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell just hinted that the Fed may soon pause its balance-sheet runoff — a potential shift that could reshape market liquidity and investor sentiment.
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down:
* Why the Fed may pause QT — and what it signals about financial conditions.
* How ending balance-sheet runoff affects liquidity, yields, and asset prices.
* What history tells us about QT pauses and subsequent market rallies.
* Why the Fed’s portfolio composition (Treasuries vs. MBS) still matters for inflation and housing.
* Portfolio tactics if the liquidity tide begins to turn.
0:19 - Markets' Rally on Powell QT Comments
4:16 - Speculation Continues on Wall St
8:40 - Childhood Bedtimes & Digital Devices
14:36 Is Quantitative Tightening About to End?
16:55 - What is the Result of Easing QT?
19:37 - Where's the Risk: Private Credit/Equity
21:12 - The Fed's Moral Hazard & History of Bailouts
26:01 - How Would a Failure of FNMA Loans Affect the Economy?
28:34 - What Led to the 2007-2008 Financial Crisis
32:13 - The Bigger Risk of Too Much Money Chasing Too Few Deals
35:45 - The Last Stages of Asset Development
40:11 - IRS Rules Changes for Roths
45:12 - Comming Attractions
Whether the Fed is stabilizing the system or setting up the next round of excess — it’s a key inflection point investors can’t ignore.
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Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2hiFV4mdSY4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=6s
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