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10-31-25 Why Risk Tolerance Questionnaires Don’t Work

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Release Date: 10/31/2025

3-24-26 Asset Allocation, Benchmarks, and High-Yield Debt Traps show art 3-24-26 Asset Allocation, Benchmarks, and High-Yield Debt Traps

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts and Jon Penn tackle the most pressing portfolio questions investors and retirees are asking right now: Challenge the assumption that older investors should automatically shift to ultra-conservative allocations Whether every account in a multi-account household needs the same investment strategy   why Roth IRAs may warrant a more aggressive growth posture  How much weight each equity position should carry, and how many stocks is too many Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by...

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3-24-26 Markets Stall - Why We're Raising Cash | Before the Bell show art 3-24-26 Markets Stall - Why We're Raising Cash | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets opened Monday above the 200-day moving average but failed to hold — and that failure matters. We break down why we're reducing market exposure by raising cash, what the cluster of trapped longs means for any rally attempt, and why the 20-, 50-, and 100-DMA are all stacking up as overhead resistance. This is not a crash call. It is a disciplined risk management move while the market works through a technically compromised structure. Until price reclaims the 200-DMA on a sustained basis, we are advising caution. Watch to understand the full picture before the opening bell. Key topics...

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3-23-26 200-DMA Broken – Bear Market or Buy Signal? show art 3-23-26 200-DMA Broken – Bear Market or Buy Signal?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

The S&P 500 just broke its 200-day moving average. Is this a bear market signal or a historic buying opportunity? The answer depends on a clear set of warning indicators – and right now, only two of six are flashing red. Lance Roberts comments in real-time as news of a delay in miliary strikes on Iran power stations affects pre-market action. Lance also breaks down every 200-DMA break since 2000, separating the seven sustained crashes from the five whipsaw recoveries. The data gap is stark: average 12-month return after a sustained break is -4.0%, versus +19.8% after a brief one. We walk...

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3-23-26 Trump-Iran News Reverses Futures | Before the Bell show art 3-23-26 Trump-Iran News Reverses Futures | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets confirmed a break below the 200-Day Moving Average on Friday — amplified by Options Expiration Day selling. Then a single headline changed everything. During this live pre-market update, news broke that President Trump was postponing military strikes on Iranian power plants — instantly reversing market futures and setting up a significant bounce at the open. This is exactly why knee-jerk reactions can destroy your trading account.  One headline. One move. Markets potentially back above the 200-DMA. Stay disciplined. Stay informed. Watch before the open. Subscribe for daily...

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3-20-26 Tax Strategies That Actually Save You Money show art 3-20-26 Tax Strategies That Actually Save You Money

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Most people think about taxes once a year. Smart investors think about them every year. Richard Rosso & Sarah Buenger break down the critical difference between tax preparation and true tax planning, and why that distinction could be worth thousands of dollars to your portfolio over time. We'll walk through real-world anonymous case studies from our client work, including how we helped one client sell nearly half of a concentrated stock position while staying entirely within the 0% capital gains bracket. We also cover Roth conversion timing, IRMAA bracket management, tax-efficient...

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3-19-26 Will The Fed Backstop Exuberance Again? show art 3-19-26 Will The Fed Backstop Exuberance Again?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

The private credit market has exploded from under $500 billion a decade ago to $1.2 trillion domestically and $1.7 trillion globally — and stress is building fast.  Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down exactly what private credit is, who the major players are, and why rising credit stress could force the Federal Reserve's hand — even if inflation and unemployment don't justify it. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 1:02 - Cash & Girl...

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3-19-26 Markets Flail as Rate Cut Hopes Fail | Before the Bell show art 3-19-26 Markets Flail as Rate Cut Hopes Fail | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Hot inflation data sent markets lower Wednesday, killing expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in 2024 and leaving the Fed firmly on hold. Now markets are testing the critical 200-day moving average (200-DMA) — a level that has provided support for 214 consecutive days. Before you make any moves, here is what you need to know: Markets have worked off a significant portion of their overbought condition, but are not yet in oversold territory. A break of the 200-DMA alone is NOT a sell signal. Watch for a failed rally back to the 200-DMA — that is your true warning. We are in a...

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3-18-26 Q&A Wednesday: Open Season show art 3-18-26 Q&A Wednesday: Open Season

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff break down the most pressing financial topics shaping markets and personal finance decisions right now. We open with an analysis of current selling pressure and what it signals for equity markets, then dive deep into why credit spreads deserve your attention as a leading indicator of risk. We make the case for why waiting for S&P 6,900 could cost you opportunity, and offer a teaser on the growing private credit space. From there, we tackle real estate investment trusts and AG&C — examining whether current valuations finally make them worth buying. We...

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3-18-26 Rebalance Now Before the Rally Fades | Before the Bell show art 3-18-26 Rebalance Now Before the Rally Fades | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets are pointing  toward 6,800 this morning as momentum and relative strength improve. The reflexive rally we called last week is taking shape — and that creates a rebalancing opportunity, not a reason to chase. Don't wait for 6,900. Pick the neighborhood, not the house. Use the resistance zone around 6,800–6,900 as your selling area. Peak-to-trough has been roughly 5%; if your portfolio dropped more than that, you're carrying too much risk. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ---  Watch the Video version...

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3-17-26 Fixing Your Broken Emergency Fund show art 3-17-26 Fixing Your Broken Emergency Fund

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Is your financial plan built to survive a market crash — or a $5,000 emergency? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down what retirees and younger workers both need to know about protecting their money when the economy sends mixed signals. Whether you're protecting a nest egg or just starting to build one, this episode gives you a practical framework for financial resilience — no matter what the market does next. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO...

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More Episodes

Most investors have filled out a risk tolerance questionnaire—but does it really measure how you’ll behave when markets crash? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down why traditional risk tolerance tools fail to predict investor behavior, how emotions override risk profiles, and why time horizons, liquidity needs, and cash flow matter far more than a few survey questions.

0:19 - Halloween Prelude - Baby's First Halloween
2:31 - Risk Tolerance Tests - The Ugly Truth
6:00 - How Rich & Jonathan Scored
7:12 - The Spousal Tolerance Quiz
11:08 - Looking at Risk Tolerances in Couples
17:48 - What's Your Judgement Orientation?
21:52 - Responding to Market Moves - Mapped Portfolios
24:26 - What Happens When Powell is Out at the Fed
28:53 - Risk Tolerance Quizzes Do Not Reflect Reality When Markets Turn
30:30 - When Rich was 13 - Owning McDonald's
35:28 - EBT, Food Stamps, & Fast Food Comparisons
36:55 - Taking the Risk Quiz at 20 vs 50
39:08 - Investing Over-Confidence vs Balance
40:50 - The Millionaire Next Door I & II
43:34 - AI Impact on Market History

Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZUIhiCubDgw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Bullish Momentum Builds," is here: 
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=quAIX8PhNZw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 
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Our Previous Show, "The Most Dangerous Era in History," is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qxX1Xw_bQP4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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