Libsyn Directory

11-10-25 The Rocket Market - AI Risk and What Comes Next - Tom Thornton Interview

Release Date: 11/10/2025

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Most retirement plans focus on savings and returns—but that’s not what truly puts retirement at risk. Richard Rosso, Sarah Buenger, & Jonathan McCarty commiserate on the annual chore of paying taxes...but, provide helpful guidance in planning so that your tax bite might be lessened. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Sarah Buenger, CFP, and Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - If Rich & Sarah Were on Gilligan's Island 1:05 - The Fine...

4-2-26 Fed Trap? Markets Face Inflation, Oil & Treasury Sell-Off

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets are hitting a critical inflection point—and the stakes are rising fast. A major policy speech from Donald Trump sparked volatility, just as markets tested a key cluster of technical resistance. Now investors are facing a bigger question: is the market environment shifting from a short-term rally to something more structural? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down: Why elevated oil prices could reignite inflation and complicate the Fed’s next move Whether the Federal Reserve is walking into a policy trap between inflation and slowing growth What matters more right now: GDP...

4-2-26 200-DMA Rejection: Bounce or Breakdown? | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets delivered the expected oversold bounce earlier this week, but momentum stalled right at a key technical level—the 20-DMA just beneath the 200-DMA. Now, with futures pointing lower following comments over night from President Donald Trump, the market faces its first real test after the recent rally attempt. Was that rally just a reflex bounce, or the start of something more sustainable? In this pre-market update, we break down the two critical paths forward: a deeper correction with a break of recent lows, or a more constructive setup where markets establish a higher low and rebuild...

4-1-26 Wives Take Over: Money, Marriage, and Real Talk

The Real Investment Show Podcast

What happens when the wives take over the show? For this special April Fool’s Day edition of #TheRealInvestmentShow, the tables are turned as Michelle Ratliff & Christina Roberts step in to answer the questions investors never hear. From what Lance and Danny would really be doing outside of wealth management, to what happens if they suddenly win the lottery, we blend humor with surprisingly real financial insight. We also dig into the realities of managing money at home: Where couples disagree about finances Where financial values actually align How to teach kids a healthy...

3-31-26 Are Markets Becoming Gambling?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

A major shift is happening in how younger investors approach the markets—and it may be the most important risk investors are ignoring. From AI-driven investing decisions to social media influencers shaping financial behavior, markets are increasingly influenced by speculation, speed, and hype. At the same time, the rise of options trading, crypto, and leveraged products is blurring the line between investing and gambling. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down: Why Gen Z is turning to AI and social media for investment advice The growing influence of financial influencers and crypto...

3-31-26 Oversold Bounce or Bigger Breakdown? | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets opened higher Monday but faded into another selloff as end-of-quarter rebalancing continues to drive volatility. With roughly $65 billion in portfolio adjustments underway, much of the recent price action is technical—not fundamental. Oversold conditions are building across the board. Momentum, relative strength, and sentiment all suggest the market is primed for a reflexive rally, with bonds already seeing buying interest and yields easing slightly. But beneath the surface, a bigger issue is emerging. While prices have declined, forward earnings estimates have not adjusted lower. If...

3-30-26 Subprime Crisis 2.0? Private Credit Risks Explained

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Lance Roberts breaks down the growing stress in private credit markets, rising default risks, and the recent wave of gated withdrawals across major funds. With comparisons to the 2008 financial crisis gaining traction, investors are asking a critical question: are we facing Subprime Crisis 2.0? We examine what made the 2008 collapse so catastrophic—leverage, derivatives, and systemic contagion—and compare it to today’s private credit landscape. While defaults are rising and liquidity concerns are real, the structure of private credit is fundamentally different. Hosted by RIA Advisors...

3-30-26 Sell the Bounce Before the Next Drop | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets are down roughly 7% from their peak and under sustained pressure, with five consecutive weeks of negative returns—an unusually extended stretch that historically signals a near-term inflection point. Oversold conditions, weak momentum, and deeply negative money flows suggest a reflexive bounce is likely in the coming days. But investors should be cautious. This is not the end of the correction cycle. Lance Roberts breaks down why any near-term rally should be used to rebalance risk—not chase upside. With geopolitical catalysts like Iran tensions and oil price volatility acting as...

3-27-26 How to Beat the 4 Biggest Retirement Risks

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Most retirement plans focus on savings and returns—but that’s not what truly puts retirement at risk. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the four biggest threats retirees face: longevity, inflation, market volatility, and emotional decision-making, and more importantly, how to navigate them. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:18 - Rich's Dreams 2:03 - Dynamic Learning Series 3:02 - Easter Candy Inflation & Post-Covid Behaviors 7:31 - Panoramic Sugar Eggs &...

3-26-26 Will AI Trigger the Next Great Depression?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Will artificial intelligence spark the next economic boom—or trigger a crisis rivaling the Great Depression? A growing debate on Wall Street is emerging after research scenarios like the “Global Intelligence Crisis” raised concerns about a potential AI-driven economic shock. The core question is simple but critical: Will AI create unprecedented productivity and prosperity, or will it displace jobs faster than the economy can adapt? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down both sides. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager,...

More Episodes

Markets have rocketed higher for six straight months — but how long can it last?
Hedgefund Telemetry founder, Tom Thornton joins Lance Roberts to unpack the forces driving this “Rocket of a Stock Market.” From AI euphoria and sector rotation to passive indexing risks and the Fed’s impact on valuations, we dig into what’s really happening under the surface.

0:18 - INTRO
2:50 - The Rocket of a Stock Market
5:37 - Market Volatility & Opportunity in AI
I7:14 - Interning During the Crash of '87
8:21 - Forward Earnings Expectations
9:35 - The Broadening in the Market - Energy, Materials, Consumer Staples
11:42 - Sector Rotation is a Real Thing - What if AI comes under pressure?
13:26 - Market Cap Concentration Concerns
16:02 - The Y2K Panic Buying pulling forward consumption - Similar in AI?
17:50 - Tracking Investor Sentiment (Bullish Sentiment chart)
20:36 - Tom DeMark Indicators - S&P and NASDAQ 100 PE Multiples (Chart)
23:03 - When S&P is Within 5% of ATH... (chart)
24:30 - Most-shorted Baskets (chart) - showing what speculators are buying
27:30 - Mag 7 daily & Weekly (chart)
31:35 - What Technicals Tell Us about Managing Risk
33:18 - Valuations at Elevated Levels: Apple & Nvidia (chart)
36:01 - Multiples that make no sense - Palantir & Tesla (chart)
36:55 - Waymo vs Tesla
39:15 - This Level of Concentration is New (chart)
41:23 - US Households are "All In" and Leveraged (chart)
42:40 - Leveraged ETF Data
43:56 - Short Term Options trading is Gambling (chart)
45:43 - % of Stocks About the 20, 50, & 200-DMA (chart)
49:18 - 6-straight months of market upside: When do you run out of buyers?
50:30 - Expectations for EOY? Bubbles don't deflate; they pop.
52:17 - 2026 will be difficult to continue strong momentum without a decent correction
52:44 - Where's the risk?
56:18 - Levered Obesity

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manger, Michael Lebowitz, CFA

Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
-------
Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestm entadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

#StockMarketAnalysis #AIBubble #InvestorSentiment #MarketVolatility #TomThornton

TOPICS