12-24-25 The Fed at a Crossroads - Joseph Wang Interview
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The Federal Reserve is entering a pivotal phase, and the decisions it makes now will define the next era of monetary policy. Lance Roberts and The Fed Guy, Joseph Wang, examine the structural forces putting the Fed at a crossroads—from rate cuts and shifting labor-market dynamics to the long-term impact of AI, tariff-driven inflation, and changes in the Fed’s balance-sheet strategy. We explore why markets appear bullish on economic growth despite weakening employment data, how tariff inflation may be a one-time impulse, and what a redesigned policy framework could look like as banks,...
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12-23-25 Dollar Power, AI, and the New Financial Order - The Brent Johnson Inerview
The Real Investment Show Podcast
In this episode, Lance Roberts sits down with Brent Johnson, CEO of Santiago Capital, to break down what’s really happening with the U.S. dollar, the global monetary system, and why AI is accelerating a geopolitical and economic power shift. If you're looking for big-picture insights on the future of the dollar, geopolitics, AI-driven capital flows, and where long-term investing tailwinds are forming—this is a must-watch. 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Dollar Pessimism is Everywhere 3:32 - Why the Dollar Loses Purchasing Power: Inflation 5:08 - How Reserve Currencies Work - Why the Dollar is...
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12-22-25 When Fed Narratives Meet Market Data
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are heading into year-end with optimism still firmly embedded in prices, but the economic data are telling a more complicated story. Lance Roberts examines the growing gap between the Federal Reserve’s soft-landing narrative and what inflation, employment, consumer spending, and earnings expectations are actually signaling. While markets have stabilized following recent volatility, participation remains narrow, sentiment is elevated, and valuations appear priced for a smooth economic outcome in 2026. Lance Roberts breaks down the technical backdrop, including key support and...
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12-22-25 Too Soon for Santa? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are doing what they often do this time of year—attempting to stabilize and rally amid choppy trading. While some are already declaring that the Santa Claus Rally is “dead,” history suggests patience is warranted. The official Santa Rally window hasn’t even begun yet, and statistically, the odds still favor a year-end lift. Lance Roberts breaks down why recent pullbacks below key moving averages triggered algorithmic selling—and why disciplined investors avoid knee-jerk reactions. With markets rebounding above short-term technical levels and consolidating gains from earlier in...
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12-19-25 What Great Financial Planning Looks Like
The Real Investment Show Podcast
What should a great financial planning experience actually look like? For many investors, “financial planning” is reduced to product selection, performance chasing, or a one-time retirement projection that never gets revisited. In reality, a high-quality financial planning experience is far more comprehensive — and far more valuable. Richard Rosso breaks down the essential elements of effective financial planning. True financial planning is not about predicting markets or selling products. It is about building a durable framework that helps investors make better decisions through market...
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12-18-25 Is the 60/40 Portfolio Dead? Global Risks & Opportunities
The Real Investment Show Podcast
For decades, the 60/40 portfolio—stocks and bonds—served as the foundation of balanced investing. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine the growing global forces reshaping markets. While Wall Street has remained fixated on AI hyperscalers, major developments abroad are increasingly driving returns and risk. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Inflation Report Preview - Where's the Fed's Soft Landing? 3:05 - Markets working Through the Chop 9:56 - Top 10 Christmas Movies 13:24 - Inflation Expectations (Preview) 14:35 - The Fed Ends QT 20:35 - JP Morgan's Liquidity Crunch 22:53 - Is the Economy...
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12-18-25 Markets Oversold After Key Support Break | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets broke below both the 20- and 50-day moving averages, triggering a short-term MACD sell signal and raising concerns about near-term weakness. While technical damage should not be ignored, markets are becoming oversold on a relative strength basis, which historically increases the odds of a short-term bounce. Importantly, market bottoms tend to be brief, and prior episodes have shown that support breaks can be quickly reversed. The key issue now is not the intraday violation of moving averages, but where markets ultimately close the week. A sustained close below key support levels would...
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12-17-25 Q&A Wednesday: Live Market Questions & Investor Insights
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Today’s Q&A Wednesday is driven entirely by live YouTube chat questions, covering the market topics investors are most focused on right now. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff address real-time concerns around market volatility, Federal Reserve policy, interest rates, inflation, portfolio risk, asset allocation, and year-end positioning—without hype or speculation. This interactive session is designed to help investors better understand what matters, what doesn’t, and how markets typically behave during periods of uncertainty. Rather than making predictions, we focus on context,...
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12-17-25 Markets Consolidate After 50-DMA Test | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets briefly retested the 50-day moving average before rebounding toward break-even, remaining locked in a broader consolidation range. While sell signals are currently in place and relative strength continues to normalize, short-term weakness and choppy trading may persist. Importantly, this pullback is creating a more constructive setup as markets work off oversold conditions, potentially laying the groundwork for renewed buying interest into year-end. That said, seasonal strength is not guaranteed. December has not always delivered positive returns, and risk remains elevated as portfolio...
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12-15-25 Santa Rally Setup | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets finished last week slightly lower but held critical support at the 20- and 50-day moving averages. As we enter the final two weeks of December—historically the strongest stretch of the month—investors are positioning for a potential Santa Claus Rally and looking ahead to 2026. Portfolio window dressing, year-end performance reporting, and managers chasing returns could provide an additional tailwind. Markets remain in a constructive consolidation near all-time highs, and early signs of sector rotation into utilities, real estate, and staples suggest improving market breadth....
info_outlineIt’s Fed Day, and today’s Live Q&A covers what investors should expect as markets position around the announcement, why volatility may pick up afterward, and how this week’s action shapes the potential for a Santa Claus Rally. We also discuss whether the Fed has stepped back from its inflation mandate, what that means for long bonds, and how Treasury supply-and-demand dynamics factor into portfolio risk.
Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff review the growth outlook for the AI sector, the power-cost assumptions built into datacenter models, the economic effects of the “One Big Beautiful Bill,” and the $125 billion in tariff revenue collected this year—along with what tariffs really contribute to inflation. Additional topics include how to read 2x–3x standard deviations using Bollinger Band concepts, which data streams matter most (and where to find them), the link between inflation and economic growth, and practical insights on silver, ETF buy-and-hold strategies, NUA planning, valuation challenges when stocks trade at 25x earnings, and the realities of the “dollar debasement” narrative. As always, we approach these discussions pragmatically: no magic bullets, and market cycles end when they end.
Use the chapter markers below to jump to any topic.
0:00 - INTRO
0:18 - Fed Day Anticipation
4:28 - More Market Volatility Possible Following Fed Meeting
9:14 - Getting ready for Santa
10:02 - Has the Fed given up on their inflation mandate?
13:31 - What's the impact on Long bonds?
15:35 - What is the outlook for AI sector growth?
18:30 -Do Datacenter owners use models assuming power subsidization?
19:06 - What is the impact on the economy from the One Big Beautiful Bill?
22:45 - How much in tariffs have been collected this year? $125-B
25:23 - Explain 2x, 3x standard deviations from average (Bollinger Band articles)
28:43 - What data to watch (and where can you find it)?
31:15 - Inflation: true impact of tariffs? True sources of Inflation: No inflation, no economic growth
35:37 - Silver: Advisors' Kryptonite? (Don't forget to take profits.)
39:29 - Is buy-and-hold with ETF's a good passive investing policy?
43:56 - Does it worry you that the treasury refi uses all T-bills?
45:18 - Is Dollar Debasement real? No--it's a narrative.
46:09 - Using NUA Tax Strategies
46:55 - Buying stocks at 25x
48-48 - Treasury Yields supply & demand dynamics
49:44 - Buying stocks at multiples and valuations
51:10 - Measuring risk in portfolio (60/40 allocation)
53:33 - Our pragmatism
54:36 - No magic bullet - bubbles pop when they pop (Chart: running trend line)
58:05 - Coming Attractions
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4v363w8PFNw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Pause Before the Fed: Time to Trim Risk?," is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CnOnz8np7ps&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:
"Bullish Case Or Bearish Backdrop"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/bullish-case-or-bearish-backdrop/
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REGISTER for our 2026 Economic Summit, "The Future of Digital Assets, Artificial Intelligence, and Investing:"
https://www.eventbrite.com/e/2026-ria-economic-summit-tickets-1765951641899?aff=oddtdtcreator
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Watch our previous show, "Dealing with Debt & Smart Money Moves" here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1iPM7ef0BKg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1
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