3-2-26 Is the Market Topping? Iran, AI Chaos & the Signals You Can't Ignore
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 03/02/2026
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Is the stock market topping — or just catching its breath? This week, equity markets face a triple threat: an Iranian strike rattling geopolitical risk assets, an Anthropic AI capability announcement that hammered IBM, CrowdStrike, financials, and SaaS stocks, and a technical picture showing the S&P 500 slipping below both its 20- and 50-day moving averages. Lance Roberts breaks down the bull and bear case in full. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 -...
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Markets are at a critical level — here's what to watch before the open. The S&P is sitting on 100-day moving average support after three weeks of testing, and futures point to a ~1% gap down at the open. The key question: do markets close below the 100-DMA and confirm a topping process — or do bulls recover into the close? In this pre-market breakdown: 📉 100-DMA support test & topping pattern risk 📊 RSI declining + weakening momentum signals 💵 US Dollar strengthening amid global risk-off 🛢️ Crude oil spiking — what it means for inflation & yields 📈 Bonds...
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Are you paying MORE than necessary for Medicare in 2026? The IRMAA (Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount) could be adding hundreds of dollars a year to your Medicare premiums — but there's a legal way to fight back. Richard Rosso breaks down everything you need to know about the 2026 IRMAA thresholds, how to appeal, and the income strategies that could save you thousands in retirement. Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Go Texas...
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Is AI killing software stocks — or creating the buying opportunity of the decade? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz review: Since peaking in September 2025, the software ETF (IGV) has crashed 30% while semiconductors (SMH) surged 30% and broad tech stayed flat. The market is pricing in a "SaaSpocalypse" — the idea that generative AI will make traditional SaaS companies obsolete. But is that narrative right? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer Rate us on...
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Markets just triggered a momentum BUY SIGNAL — here's what you need to know before the open. On Wednesday, the S&P 500 cleared both the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, reaffirming market stability after days of choppy price action below key technical levels. Sector rotation is driving the move — money is flowing OUT of Energy and Staples and INTO Technology and Growth. But the broader picture still shows a consolidation range with a topping process underway. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch...
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Welcome to Q & A Wednesday: Straight Talk on Your Money — a live, unscripted Q&A show pulled directly from our YouTube chatroom. No canned slides. No rehearsed talking points. Just practical, plain-English answers to real-world money questions with Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff. Lance & Danny tackle topics like retirement planning, Roth vs. traditional decisions, tax-smart withdrawal strategies, Social Security timing, portfolio risk management, diversification, income planning, cash vs. investing, debt payoff frameworks, and how to think through market volatility without...
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Markets are carving a rolling top while holding firm support near the 100-DMA. The last week-plus has been choppy, with price repeatedly capped below the 20- and 50-DMAs. Tuesday’s dip to the 100-DMA brought in buyers, pushing the market back toward the 50-DMA, and futures are higher this morning. If the market can close up around 0.25%, it could reclaim near-term resistance and set up a move back toward prior highs. But this remains a fickle, range-bound tape—so keep risk management tight. A clean break below the 100-DMA raises the odds of a quick 3%–5% downside move. Hosted by RIA...
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Most investors don’t realize how quickly a good plan can get derailed by one bad question: “What will your investments return this year?” Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn break down why asking an advisor for short-term performance predictions is usually the wrong framework—especially when comparisons start with “Can you beat Treasuries this year?” Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:50 - E-books & Economic Data 2:53 - Will AI Lead to...
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On this day in 1836, the defenders of the Alamo were entering the second day of a siege that would ultimately define Texas history. Surrounded, outnumbered, and under pressure, they faced a critical reality: hold the line—or face the consequences. Markets aren’t all that different right now. After failing at the 20- and 50-day moving averages, the S&P is once again leaning on a key level of support—the 100-day. That’s your line in the sand. Momentum is weakening, internal breadth is deteriorating, and while the surface looks calm, the underlying currents are shifting. The question...
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Is China really “dumping” U.S. Treasury bonds—or is that headline missing key context? Lance Roberts examines what Treasury International Capital (TIC) data does (and doesn’t) show, why China’s reported holdings can shift for reasons that have nothing to do with panic selling, and how custody chains and financial centers can complicate the narrative. Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer 0:00 - INTRO 0:52 - What to Do w Tariffs Struck Down by SCOTUS 5:35 - GDP Weaker than Expected, except... 12:59 -...
info_outlineIs the stock market topping — or just catching its breath?
This week, equity markets face a triple threat: an Iranian strike rattling geopolitical risk assets, an Anthropic AI capability announcement that hammered IBM, CrowdStrike, financials, and SaaS stocks, and a technical picture showing the S&P 500 slipping below both its 20- and 50-day moving averages.
Lance Roberts breaks down the bull and bear case in full.
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo
0:00 - INTRO
1:05 - Market Over Reaction to Iran Hits?
6:54 - The Potential for Building a Market Topping
13:27 - Impact of Oil Prices on Inflation
18:11 - The Energy Stocks Heat Map
20:40 - The Iran Situation
23:03 - Gauging the Risk
24:56 - The Bearish Scenario
29:23 - The Bullish Scenario
37:04 - What We're Doing Now
39:08 - Be Cautious With Positioning
42:12 - Coming Attractions
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Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel:
https://youtube.com/live/m3M6saceH5g?feature=share
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Watch our previous show, "Cut Your Medicare Bill in 2026 | IRMAA Appeal Secrets" here:
https://youtube.com/live/dO3QPhf0rEs?feature=share
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The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Hold 100-DMA?" is here:
https://youtu.be/h0iV2DpbEq4
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Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/
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