3-4-26 100-DMA: Hold or Fold? What Happens Today Changes Everything | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 03/04/2026
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Are financial advisor fees really worth it—or are you paying more than you should? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn break down the true value behind advisory fees and what investors should expect in return. It’s not just about investment performance. A good advisor delivers portfolio construction, risk management, tax efficiency, and long-term financial planning—all designed to help you build and protect wealth. Also in this episode, Lance and Jon offer tax tips for the day before Taxes are due... Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:13 - Iran Negotiations = More Market Volatility...
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Markets opened weak Monday but staged a powerful reversal, pushing back toward recent highs and reclaiming key technical levels. Money flows have flipped from deeply negative to positive, and a short-covering squeeze has accelerated the move higher. The big shift: markets are now trading back above all major moving averages, including the 20-, 50-, 100-, and 200-DMA. That transition signals a return to “buy mode” from a technical perspective, with momentum clearly improving. Historically, reclaiming these levels after an oversold condition often marks a short-term bottom. However,...
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The S&P 500 just surged 8.2% off its March lows—reclaiming key technical levels and sitting within striking distance of all-time highs. But is this the start of a sustained move higher, or just a reflexive rally before another pullback? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn break down what drove the rally—from extreme bearish sentiment and a volatility reset, to easing geopolitical tensions—and why those factors matter for investors right now. We also examine the critical technical signals, including the reclaiming of the 200-day moving average, and what history suggests about forward...
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Markets surged 8.2% last week, reclaiming the critical 200-day moving average within the key 4-week window—historically a positive signal for forward returns. Even more notable, the S&P 500 pushed back above the 50- and 20-DMAs, clearing major resistance levels in a powerful technical reversal. But this morning brings new uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions are rising as the U.S. Navy announces a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz following a failed cease-fire, with futures pointing modestly lower. After an extended rally—especially in Technology—markets may be due for a near-term...
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Receiving an inheritance can be life-changing—but without a clear plan, it can also lead to costly mistakes. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty walk through the critical steps to take after inheriting money, from protecting the assets and understanding tax implications to building a long-term financial strategy. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Smarties Candies & Holographic Tombstones 3:21 - Baby Boomers, Inheritances, & Great Wealth Transfer 5:31 - Planning for an Inheritance 8:03 - The Stress of Care-giving 12:59 - What to Do with the Money 15:38 - Tax Implications...
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Markets are reacting fast to signs of a potential resolution between the U.S. and Iran—but what should investors actually focus on next? A ceasefire or diplomatic breakthrough can spark a powerful short-term rally, driven by falling oil prices, easing geopolitical risk, and improved sentiment. But history shows these moves are often just the beginning—not the end—of the real story. Jon Penn & Michael Lebowitz break down the key signals investors need to watch as the situation evolves. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 1:06 - How Durable Will Iran Cease-Fire Be? 8:50 - How We've...
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Markets are showing early signs of stabilization following a ceasefire announcement, but one key variable continues to dominate: oil prices. Before the news, oil and risk assets were moving in near-perfect opposition, signaling heightened geopolitical sensitivity. Now, markets are attempting to hold above the 200-day moving average—a critical technical level that could define the next trend. The big question: will the ceasefire hold, and will oil confirm the market’s optimism? With earnings season approaching, potential buybacks ahead, and improving seasonality, the backdrop is turning...
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Buying your first home, planning a wedding, managing insurance changes, and starting a career—these are the real financial decisions young adults are facing right now. Jon Penn & Danny Ratliff are "Two Dads on Money," walking through a real-life scenario: from choosing to buy instead of rent in a limited market. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:51 - Markets Respond to Iran Ceasefire 8:57 - Money Talks w Kids Young & Older 12:26 - Home Purchase Blues - Rent vs Buy? 17:37 - Mistakes w Houses in the Past 19:49 - Have the Money Conversation w Kids 23:27 - 1st Jobs & Pay...
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Markets are surging on news of a two-week ceasefire in Iran—but is this the start of a sustained rally or just another short-term bounce? With markets previously oversold and put activity at extreme levels, conditions were already in place for a reflexive move higher. Now, the ceasefire may be the catalyst pushing the S&P 500 back above the critical 200-day moving average. But here’s the catch: markets don’t usually bottom on good news. Hosted by RIA Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jon Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer --- Watch the...
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AI is changing how consumers discover businesses, make decisions, and trust information. Lance Roberts visit with Joseph Levi, Co-founder & CEO of Noise Media, about how advertising inside AI platforms like ChatGPT could reshape marketing, SEO, and brand building. Lance and Joseph explore whether businesses can influence AI-generated answers, the difference between the best answer and a paid answer, and why trust and accuracy are becoming the most valuable currencies in the AI era. From niche positioning to content strategy, we explain what actually works and what doesn’t when trying to...
info_outlineThe 100-day moving average has been the market's most critical support level since April 2025 — and this week, it's being tested again.
After Monday's selloff on Middle East military escalation news, markets broke below the 100-DMA before quickly recovering above the 50- and 20-DMA. Tuesday opened ~2% below that key level, but buyers stepped in and pushed markets right back up to close AT the 100-DMA.
Here's what most investors get wrong: when markets break a moving average, algorithmic trading programs and HFT systems are ALL watching the same level — and many are programmed to SELL at the 100-DMA. That's exactly what played out Tuesday. Don't panic-sell into that action.
What to watch TODAY:
✅ If markets RECLAIM the 100-DMA → potential to re-enter the prior range
❌ If markets FAIL at the 100-DMA and turn lower → confirmed sell signal; time to reduce exposure and rebalance risk
The bottom line: Don't make a move before today's close. Let the market tell you what it wants to do.
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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