Boris Vladimirov on Reverse Goldilocks, Central Bank Credibility, and Market Winners
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Release Date: 10/15/2021
Ep. 215: Nick Rohatyn on How to Navigate Emerging Markets Investing
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Nick Rohatyn is Founder and serves as Chief Executive Officer of The Rohatyn Group. TRG is a global asset manager specialising in emerging markets and real assets, with over $8bn in assets under management. Prior to founding TRG in 2002, Nick spent 19-years at J.P. Morgan, including 5 years as a member of J.P. Morgan’s executive management team, holding a variety of leadership positions in emerging markets, foreign exchange, commodities, credit markets, and e-commerce functions. In this podcast we discuss pivotal moments for EM from Brady bonds to Global Financial Crisis, the impact of low...
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Ep. 214: Lindsay Politi on Higher Inflation Regime, Recession Risks and Debt Dynamics
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Lindsay Politi is Head of Inflation Strategies at One River Asset Management. Lindsay began her career at Wellington Management in Boston where she was head of Global Inflation-linked Investments. In that role she was one of the top TIPS managers by assets, managing over $10 billion in dedicated assets, with a top quintile track record for excess in her peer group. She then joined Tudor Investment Corporation in Greenwich as a discretionary macro investor, translating her inflation strategy onto a macro hedge fund platform. She then joined One River Asset Management in 2018. In this podcast...
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Ep. 213: Bilal Hafeez on Fed Cuts, Dollar Strength and AI Hype
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Bilal is the CEO and Head of Research at Macro Hive. Before that, Bilal was Global Head of International Fixed Income Strategy at Nomura, and Head of Multi-Asset Research and Advisor to the CEO at Deutsche Bank. Bilal started his twenty-year career at JP Morgan. Academically, Bilal was an Honorary Visiting Professor of Finance at Cass Business School and studied Economics at St Johns College, Cambridge. This week’s podcast covers: whether the Fed will cut in 2024? What people are ignoring about China, Europe’s strategic problem, and much more. Follow us here for more...
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Ep. 212: Nick Baltas on Mastering Systematic Strategies from Alpha to AI
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Nick Baltas is a managing director and head of R&D, cross-asset delta-one and commodity systematic trading strategies at Goldman Sachs. Prior to joining Goldman Sachs in 2017, Nick was an executive director in the quantitative research unit of UBS. Previously, he was a lecturer in finance at Imperial College Business School, a visiting lecturer at Queen Mary University of London, as well as a risk manager in a London-based hedge fund. This podcast covers: difference between alpha, beta, smart beta and factors, difference between a good backtest vs true risk premia, why momentum makes...
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Ep. 211: John Coates on How a Few Financial Institutions Control Everything
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
John Coates is the Deputy Dean of Harvard Law School. He has served at the Securities and Exchange Commission, and was a partner at Wachtell, Lipton, Rosen & Katz, specializing in financial institutions. He has testified before Congress and provided consulting services to the Department of Justice, the Department of Treasury, and the New York Stock Exchange. He is author of the ‘The Problem of Twelve: When a Few Financial Institutions Control Everything’. This podcast covers: the rise of the public company, how companies balance the...
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Ep. 210: Mark Koyama on What Makes Some Nations Richer Than Others
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
This podcast is sponsored by (/). Mark Koyama is Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University and Mercatus Center. Mark earned his PhD in Economics from the University of Oxford. He focuses on how historical institutions functioned and on the relationship between culture and economic performance. He is the author of several books, most recently ‘How the World Became Rich’ with Jared Rubin. This podcast covers: how to measure prosperity today and in the past, whether geography makes some nations richer than others, landlocked countries, Islamic empire, Mongol...
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Ep. 209: Darrell Duffie on Treasury Market Dysfunction, Dollar Dominance and CBDC
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Darrell Duffie is a leading expert on bond markets. He is the Adams Distinguished Professor of Management and Professor of Finance at the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University. He has been on the finance faculty at Stanford since receiving his Ph.D. from Stanford in 1984. He is author of several books, including ‘Fragmenting Markets: Post-Crisis Bank Regulations and Financial Market Liquidity’. He presented at the 2023 Jackson Hole Symposium. This podcast covers: key events that impacted Treasury market functioning from GFC to COVID, the growth of Treasury market vs stagnant...
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Ep. 208: David Dredge on Inflation, Underpriced Risks and Sharpe Ratio Flaws
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
David Dredge is the Chief Investment Officer of Convex Strategies, which is an agnostic value investor in volatility. David has over 30 years experience managing risk across global markets. Prior to launching Convex Strategies, David served as a Managing Director and Portfolio Manager at Artradis Fund Management in Singapore, where he was responsible for the fixed income aspects of their volatility strategy. Earlier in his career, David built and ran Asian and Global EM trading businesses for RBS (ABN AMRO Group), Bankers Trust, and Bank of America. He currently sits on the Monetary...
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Ep. 207: Dave DeWalt on Cyber Warfare, Attacks on US Election, and AI
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Dave DeWalt is Founder, CEO, and Managing Director of NightDragon, an investment and advisory firm focused on growth and late-stage cybersecurity, safety, security, and privacy companies. Before NightDragon, Dave helped create more than $20 billion in shareholder value during his 15-plus years as President and CEO of Documentum, McAfee, and FireEye. That includes driving the most successful cybersecurity IPO ever in 2013 and leading the largest all-cash deal in technology history in 2010. Dave has also served on the US National Security Telecommunications Advisory Council for the past four US...
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Ep. 206: Nigel Toon on How AI Thinks and How We Can Control It
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
This podcast is sponsored by (). Nigel Toon is the founder of Graphcore, which builds unique IPU chips designed for AI. He sits as a Non-Executive Director on the board of the UK Research and Innovation Council and has sat on the UK Prime Minister’s Business Council. He has been ranked #1 on Business Insider’s UK Tech 100 and named as one of the ‘Top 100 entrepreneurs in the UK’ by the Financial Times. He is the author of the best-selling book ‘’. This podcast covers: comparing chips: CPU vs GPU vs IPU, data vs information, big data and neural networks, and much...
info_outlineBoris is one of the top macro thinkers in the market. He is a managing director at Goldman Sachs. Before GS, he was partner and portfolio manager at Rokos Capital Management, Fortress and Brevan Howard. Boris started his career on the sell-side which included working at UBS and Dresdner. Boris will be giving his personal opinions and not those of Goldman Sachs or any other organisations he is affiliated to. In this podcast, we discuss:
- What is reverse goldilocks?
- Parallels and differences to 1970s stagflation
- The challenge of the current regime
- How will policymakers respond?
- What gives central banks credibility?
- What does it mean for macro environment?
- Views on China
- How will equities, bonds and FX perform
- Why terms of trade matter