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Alex Gurevich On Trading COVID, Inflation and Games

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Release Date: 11/05/2021

Ep. 370: Eric Beinhocker on Market Humanism, the End of Neoliberalism, and Human Flourishing show art Ep. 370: Eric Beinhocker on Market Humanism, the End of Neoliberalism, and Human Flourishing

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Eric Beinhocker is a professor at the University of Oxford’s Blavatnik School of Government and the founder and executive director of the Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School (INET Oxford), a research center dedicated to applying innovative economics to major societal challenges. He is also Chairman of the Science Board at the Santa Fe Institute. Prior to his academic career, Beinhocker spent three decades as a technology entrepreneur, venture capitalist, and consultant to Fortune 500 companies. He is the author of The Origin of Wealth: The Radical Remaking of...

info_outline Ep. 369: Marvin Barth on US Re-Industrialisation, Trump 2.0, and the Localisation Thesis show art Ep. 369: Marvin Barth on US Re-Industrialisation, Trump 2.0, and the Localisation Thesis

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Marvin Barth is the creator of Thematic Markets and Seriously, Marvin?!. Thematic Markets is rigorous, institutional-quality research aimed at market professionals, while Seriously, Marvin?! presents more accessible takes on contrarian musings Marvin doesn’t have time to research at Thematic Markets. Both publications benefit from the uniquely broad perspective on the global political economy Marvin has gained from a three-decade career spanning nearly every asset class, academia, central banking, finance ministry, and international institutions. This includes working at...

info_outline Ep. 368: Richard Clarida on the Warsh Fed, the AI Capex Boom, and Global Economic Fragmentation show art Ep. 368: Richard Clarida on the Warsh Fed, the AI Capex Boom, and Global Economic Fragmentation

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Dr Clarida is a managing director and global economic advisor at PIMCO. Prior to rejoining PIMCO in 2022, he was the firm's global strategic advisor from 2006 to 2018. He served as Vice Chairman of the Board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve System from September 2018 to January 2022. Richard is also Professor of Economics and International Affairs at Columbia University. Before joining PIMCO in 2006, he was Assistant Secretary of the Treasury for Economic Policy, in which he served as chief economic advisor to two U.S. Treasury Secretaries. Earlier in his career, he was...

info_outline Ep. 367: Brendan Greeley on The Almighty Dollar, 500 Years of History, and the Eurodollar Market show art Ep. 367: Brendan Greeley on The Almighty Dollar, 500 Years of History, and the Eurodollar Market

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Brendan Greeley has spent twenty years as a journalist, covering economic and monetary policy. He was the US economics editor at the Financial Times and continues to write a regular column there. Before that, he was a staff writer for Bloomberg Businessweek and The Economist, as well as an anchor and correspondent for Bloomberg TV. He has also written for The New York Times, The New York Times Magazine, and The Wall Street Journal Europe, and received a New York Press Club Award for special event reporting. Brendan graduated from Tulane University with honours in German....

info_outline Ep. 366: Mikihiro Matsuoka on Japan’s Inflation, BOJ Policy Shifts, and the Weak Yen Challenge show art Ep. 366: Mikihiro Matsuoka on Japan’s Inflation, BOJ Policy Shifts, and the Weak Yen Challenge

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Matsuoka-San is the Chief Economist of SBI Securities in Japan. Before that, he was the Chief Economist for Japan at Deutsche Bank. Overall, he has been involved in macroeconomic analysis at research institutions and financial institutions for the past 30 years. He is known to be one of the leading Japan economists with unique insights on structural issues. Over the years, he has been highly ranked in numerous surveys, including the Institutional Investor survey. In this podcast, we discuss: The "Inconvenient Mix" of Inflation Japan’s Real Neutral Interest Rate The Case for Nominal GDP...

info_outline Ep. 365: Stefan Jansen on Agentic AI, ML Workflows, and the Evolution of Machine Learning for Trading show art Ep. 365: Stefan Jansen on Agentic AI, ML Workflows, and the Evolution of Machine Learning for Trading

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Stefan Jansen is the founder and CEO of Applied AI. He advises Fortune 500 companies, investment firms, and startups across industries on data & AI strategy, building data science teams, and developing end-to-end machine learning solutions.  Before his current venture, he was a partner and managing director at an international investment firm, where he built the predictive analytics and investment research practice. He was also a senior executive at a global fintech company with operations in 15 markets, advised Central Banks in emerging markets, and consulted for the World Bank....

info_outline Ep. 364: William Beach on the US Fiscal Precipice, Tax Reform, and AI’s Impact on Labour show art Ep. 364: William Beach on the US Fiscal Precipice, Tax Reform, and AI’s Impact on Labour

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

William W. Beach is the Senior Fellow in Economics at the Economic Policy Innovation Center (EPIC) and the Coffin Fellow at the Calvin Coolidge Presidential Foundation. Beach also serves on the UKG Workforce Institute Advisory Board.   Prior to these appointments, Beach was the fifteenth Commissioner of Labor Statistics at the Bureau of Labor Statistics in Washington, DC. He took up his duties there on March 28, 2019. Prior to joining BLS, Dr. Beach was vice president for policy research at the Mercatus Center at George Mason University from February of 2016 to March of 2019; and,...

info_outline Ep. 363: Martin Wolf on AI’s Colossal Impact, Central Banking Risks, and the Democratic Recession show art Ep. 363: Martin Wolf on AI’s Colossal Impact, Central Banking Risks, and the Democratic Recession

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Martin Wolf is the chief economics commentator at the Financial Times in London. He was awarded the CBE (Commander of the British Empire) in 2000 ‘for services to financial journalism’. In this podcast, we discuss: AI: The Ultimate General-Purpose Technology Market Complacency in the Middle East Jay Powell’s "Superb" but Flawed Legacy The "Perverse" Risks of Kevin Warsh The UK’s Productivity Puzzle and Brexit From "Democratic Recession" to Depression The "Graduate Trap" and Disaffected Youth Advice for the Next Generation 

info_outline Ep. 362: Dan Rasmussen on Private Equity’s Stranded Assets, Private Credit, and the AI Bubble show art Ep. 362: Dan Rasmussen on Private Equity’s Stranded Assets, Private Credit, and the AI Bubble

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Daniel Rasmussen is the founder and managing partner of Verdad Advisers, an investment firm with over $1 billion in assets under management across multiple asset classes. He is the author of The Humble Investor (2025) and American Uprising (2011). Prior to founding Verdad, he worked at Bain Capital Private Equity and Bridgewater Associates. In this podcast, we discuss: Investing as Meta-analysis The Evolution of Private Equity Stranded Software Assets The Private Credit Mirage The "Adjusted EBITDA" Trap Small-Cap Growth Dangers The AI Capex Cycle AI Productivity Mindset

info_outline Ep. 361: Neil Dutta on the US Economic Outlook, Fed Policy Stasis, and AI’s Role in Consumer Wealth show art Ep. 361: Neil Dutta on the US Economic Outlook, Fed Policy Stasis, and AI’s Role in Consumer Wealth

Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

Neil Dutta is Head of Economic Research at Renaissance Macro Research (renMac). He leads their macroeconomic research efforts, with an emphasis on analysing the US economy, the Federal Reserve, global trends, and cross-market investment themes. He is considered a market economist, looking at the economic data and trying to highlight the risks to the consensus as he sees them.  Prior to RenMac, Neil spent seven years at Bank of America-Merrill Lynch. There, he was a Senior Economist covering both the United States and Canada. In this podcast, we discuss: Neil's Wall...

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Alex Gurevich is the Founder and CIO of HonTe Advisors, LLC. Alex has been involved in trading for over 20 years; holding various roles on Wall Street that included the launch of fixed income derivative trading franchises as well as running the macro book at JP Morgan. More recently, Alex has transformed his very successful family office into a global macro strategy suitable for institutional investors. He is the author of The Next Perfect Trade (2015) and soon to be published The Trades of March. Alex was born and raised in St. Petersburg, Russia and earned his PhD in mathematics from the University of Chicago. On this podcast we discuss:

  1. How games like chess, go and poker can help your investing
  2. Why sticking to take profits and stops is important
  3. Which markets follow valuation
  4. Alex’s experience of trading COVID in March 2020 and lessons learned
  5. How to think about the current inflation debate
  6. US real yields could head lower
  7. Recent front-end sell is overdone
  8. Australia could be a stand-out market
  9. Dollar view
  10. Why equities don’t follow the economic cycle
  11. Books that influenced Alex: Lord of the Rings (Tolkien), On Being Certain (Burton)
  12. Sci-fi book recommendations: Hyperion (Simmons), Ender’s Game (Card), Rise of a Merchant Prince (Feist), The Dagger and the Coin (Abraham), Expanse (Corey)