Ep. 255: Chris Johnson on Trump vs China
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Release Date: 02/14/2025
Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez
Michael Sandel teaches political philosophy at Harvard University. His writings – on justice, ethics, democracy, and markets – have been translated into more than 30 languages. His course ‘Justice’ is the first Harvard course to be made freely available online and on television, being viewed by tens of millions worldwide. Michael has served on the President’s Council on Bioethics and is a member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Michael’s books relate enduring themes of political philosophy to the most vexing moral and civic questions of our time. His most recent works...
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Kenneth Rogoff is Maurits C. Boas Professor at Harvard University, and former chief economist at the IMF. He has long ranked among the top dozen most cited economists and is an international grandmaster of chess. His influential 2009 book with Carmen Reinhart, This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial Folly, shows the remarkable quantitative similarities across time and countries in the roots and aftermath of debt and financial crises. Rogoff is also known for his pioneering work on central bank independence, and on exchange rates. He is co-author of the widely used graduate text,...
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James van Geelen, founder of Citrini Research, which specializes in illuminating and demystifying the transformative 'megatrends' poised to shape societies, economies, and the market’s distribution of returns for years to come. In this podcast we discuss crossovers between emergency medicine and trading, importance of a beginner’s mindset, humility, and learning from others, macro and micro equals one feedback loop, and much more. Follow us here for more amazing insights:
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Zongyuan Zoe Liu is a senior fellow for China studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR). Her work focuses on international political economy, global financial markets, sovereign wealth funds, supply chains of critical minerals, development finance, emerging markets, energy and climate change policy, and East Asia-Middle East relations. Dr. Liu is the author of ‘Can BRICS De-dollarize the Global Financial System?’ and ‘Sovereign Funds: How the Communist Party of China Finances its Global Ambitions’. In this podcast we discuss US-China tensions in run-up to Trump...
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Mirza has a track record of 20 years in the field of researching and trading global foreign exchange. His methodology is built on comprehensive research on underlying fundamentals, rigorous scenario analysis, and a low-frequency, high-conviction approach for idea generation. Mirza has worked at top-tier sell-side firms, including Morgan Stanley, BNP Paribas, Deutsche Bank, and Point 72, a multi-strategy hedge fund. Mirza is now based in Canada and works for Desjardins, where he focuses on G7 currency research. In this podcast we discuss why Trump is targeting Canada, understanding Trump’s...
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Vania Stavrakeva is an Assistant Professor of Economics at the London Business School and has a PhD from Harvard. She has extensively studied exchange rate determination and how monetary policy, macroeconomics news and beliefs impact exchange rate movements. She has also produced innovative research on the global network of equity holdings and their impact on equity, fixed income and exchange rate markets. This podcast covers new approaches to understand exchange rate drivers, how lagged macro news impacts markets, investor holdings and asset prices, and much more. Follow us here...
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Andrew Polk is the co-founder and head of economic research at Trivium China, a Beijing-based strategic advisory firm. Before founding Trivium, he was China director at Medley Global Advisors. Previously, he was the resident China economist at The Conference Board’s China Center for Economics and Business. Andrew is the co-author of The Long, Soft Fall in Chinese Growth (The Conference Board, 2015) and maintains a deep network of professional contacts in the official, academic, and business communities in China (built over a decade of living in China and working on China issues). This...
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Gary Gerstle is the Paul Mellon Professor of American History Emeritus and Paul Mellon Director of Research at the University of Cambridge. He is the author and editor of more than ten books, including two prize winners, American Crucible: Race and Nation in the Twentieth Century (2017) and Liberty and Coercion: The Paradox of American Government from the Founding to the Present (2015). His most recent book, The Rise and Fall of the Neoliberal Order: America and the World in the Free Market Era (2022), was chosen as a Best Book of 2022 by the Financial Times and Prospect Magazine. He has also...
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Thanos is the Founder and CIO of ABP Invest, which he founded in 2015. He began his career as an Economist for the UK Government Economic Service through the Civil Service Fast Stream during the ERM Crisis of 1992. Thanos then embarked on a 20-year asset management career with CSFB Investment Management (Credit Suisse) and Investec Asset Management (Ninety-One) managing assets across fixed income, emerging markets, multi-asset and currency management. In this podcast, we discuss Russia-Ukraine and Trump vs EU, whether Europe can step up, US vs China, and much more. ...
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Randy Schwimmer is Vice Chairman of Churchill, where he oversees the Investor Solutions Group. Previously, he served as Co-Head of Senior Lending, responsible for senior lending origination and capital markets. Randy also serves on the firm’s Executive Committee and Senior Lending Investment Committee. Randy is also the Founder and Publisher of The Lead Left, Churchill’s weekly newsletter reviewing deals and trends in the capital markets. He also produces Private Capital Call, a monthly podcast. Prior to Churchill, Randy held senior roles at BNP Paribas and JP Morgan Chase. In this...
info_outlineChris Johnson spent nearly two decades at the CIA focusing on China and Asia. Today, Chris is the President and CEO of China Strategies Group. He also serves as a Senior Fellow on Chinese Politics at the Asia Society Policy Institute’s Center for China Analysis and is a senior fellow in the office of the president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), the preeminent foreign and security policy think tank in Washington, DC. In this podcast, we discuss working at the CIA, what type of leader is Chinese President Xi Jinping, how US policy towards China has evolved since Obama, and much more.
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