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Powell Probably Won’t Excite, But Bailey Might

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Release Date: 07/26/2024

The Week Ahead – The End of the Beginning, or the Beginning of the End? show art The Week Ahead – The End of the Beginning, or the Beginning of the End?

Nomura – The Week Ahead

This week, in the US, we assess the latest strong/weak labour market data and look ahead to next week’s inflation print. Politics is in focus in Asia, ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting and following India’s state elections, with inflation data also due in both China and India. In Europe, we also discuss local politics in the UK and the recent changes to our ECB and BoE rate calls. Chapters: US: 2:00; China: 8:35; India: 18:35; Europe: 26:00

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The Week Ahead – Up and Up show art The Week Ahead – Up and Up

Nomura – The Week Ahead

This week, in the US, we recap the FOMC meeting and key data and look ahead to the coming Payrolls report. In Europe, we review the ECB and BOE policy announcements and outlook, and preview central bank meetings in Sweden and Norway. Across Asia, we preview earnings data in Japan and the upcoming central bank meetings in Malaysia and Australia. And in a bonus special interview, Jon Cohn discusses the market backdrop. Chapters: US: 2:26; Market Special Segment: 10:19, Europe: 17:04; Japan: 22:25; Asia: 25:20; Australia: 29:13

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The Week Ahead – Central Banks' Bigger Bark Than Bite show art The Week Ahead – Central Banks' Bigger Bark Than Bite

Nomura – The Week Ahead

This week, we preview decisions from the Fed, ECB, and BOE, but expect no fireworks. In Asia, the BOJ may sound hawkish but BOT is likely dovish. In a special segment, our head of Global Macro Research, Rob Subbaraman, argues that the bark of central banks will be bigger than their bite. Chapters: US: 2:10; Europe: 8:37; Japan: 15:48; Asia: 20:28; Central Banks Special Segment: 22:48

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The Week Ahead – Diverging Fortunes show art The Week Ahead – Diverging Fortunes

Nomura – The Week Ahead

This week, we discuss our views on the ceasefire from a US perspective, the latest from the Fed, and fiscal policy in Europe. Rate decisions in Indonesia and Philippines are the focus in Asia, with a hike seen from the latter. We preview key UK labour market and inflation data, and European surveys, ahead of the BoE’s April meeting. Chapters: US: 1:43; Asia: 10:20; Europe: 17:03

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The Week Ahead - It's a Fragile Truce show art The Week Ahead - It's a Fragile Truce

Nomura – The Week Ahead

This week, we discuss our views on the ceasefire from a US perspective, the latest from the Fed, and fiscal policy in Europe. We preview key data such as China’s Q1 GDP and India’s March CPI, as well as the MAS decision. We feature our latest special reports on why China is looking resilient and whether Asian central banks will hike rates or not. Chapters: US: 1:51; Europe: 9:37; China: 15:41; Asia: 22:09

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The Week Ahead – They Think It's All Over... show art The Week Ahead – They Think It's All Over...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

This week, we look back at the effects already being felt across the global economy. In the US, we preview employment and inflation releases, and outline why we pushed back the timing of our Fed cut expectations. In Europe, we discuss the latest inflation data, how this shock differs from 2022, and the political response to recent developments. In Asia, we note that the shock is evolving into broader supply shortages, preview March CPI prints, and discuss rate decisions by RBI, BoK, and RBNZ. Chapters: US: 2:25; Europe: 8:44; Asia: 14:56

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Special Edition: Nomura Central Bankers' Seminar show art Special Edition: Nomura Central Bankers' Seminar

Nomura – The Week Ahead

With geopolitics and the US economy in focus at our Central Bankers’ Seminar, we are delighted to bring two expert speakers to the podcast. Former Fed Governor and NEC Chair Lael Brainard discusses the outlook for the US economy and the path for the Federal reserve. Economic historian and geopolitical expert Niall Ferguson gives his views on the Iran war and how it will impact the geopolitical landscape in the short and long term.

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The Week Ahead - Deal or No Deal? show art The Week Ahead - Deal or No Deal?

Nomura – The Week Ahead

This week, The Middle East conflict remains front and centre. In the US, we discuss the conflict and the health of the consumer and preview the March Payrolls report. In Europe, we compare the spike in oil and gas prices with the 2022 experience and examine recent survey and coming inflation data. Across Asia, we examine how the Middle East crisis is impacting China and Japan, and preview key data releases over the week ahead. Chapters: US: 2:15; Europe: 9:32; China: 14:54; Japan: 21:11;  Asia: 26:16

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The Week Ahead - The Fallout from Epic Fury show art The Week Ahead - The Fallout from Epic Fury

Nomura – The Week Ahead

This week, we discuss our views on the policy signals from recent decisions by the Fed, ECB and BOE. In the Middle East, we continue to monitor the impact of the Iran conflict on their respective economies, and any signs of possible de-escalatio, or not. We also have a special segment with Craig Chan, our global head of FX strategy, discusses which currencies could be vulnerable versus those that are more resilient. Chapters: US: 1:45; Europe: 11:15; Special Segment - FX: 18:30

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The Week Ahead - Iran, Oil, and the Central Bank Response show art The Week Ahead - Iran, Oil, and the Central Bank Response

Nomura – The Week Ahead

This week, we preview central bank policy responses amid the elevated uncertainity in the Middle East. In the US, we see the economy as relatively insulated from Middle East turmoil and discuss likely FOMC communication next week. In Europe, we discuss the risk of earlier ECB rate hikes and delayed Bank of England rate cuts Across Asia, we expect a less dovish tone from Bank Indonesia, more hawkish projections from the CBC in Taiwan, and discuss the risk of a rate hike in Australia. Chapters: US: 1:45; Europe: 8:20; Japan: 14:35; Asia: 18:45

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More Episodes

Hear from George Moran, Host & European Economist, David Seif, Chief Economist for Developed Markets, Andrzej Szczepaniak, Senior European Economist, and Yusuke Miyairi, FX Strategist, as they review the key market drivers over the week ahead. It's one of the busiest weeks on the podcast with the FOMC, BoE, BOJ, nonfarm payroll and top-tier data out of the Euro area.

Chapters: US (02:20), Europe (07:53), Asia (12:00)