Nomura – The Week Ahead
This week, we expect on-hold decisions by the Fed, BOE, SNB, Riksbank, Norges Bank, RBA and BI, but hikes by BOJ, BSP and CBC. We expect the Fed, BOE, SNB, Riksbank, Norges Bank, RBA and BI to all keep policy rates unchanged. By contrast, we see the BOJ, BSP, and CBC as likely to hike at a measured pace. Statements will be non-committal across the board, and all eyes on Fed Chair Warsh who will likely try to be balanced. Chapters: US:1:53, UK:9:05, Japan:14:54, Asia:14:59.
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Eminent speakers at the Nomura Investment Forum Asia – Dr. Ng Eng Hen and Sir Richard Moore – discuss geopolitics, US-China relations, and the Middle East conflict. Dr Ng Eng Hen, formerly Singapore’s Defence Minister, shares his thoughts on shifts in US policies and the implications for Asia. Sir Richard Moore, senior strategist at Sixth Street and former MI6 chief, weighs in on prospects of a long drawn-out war in Iran.
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Uncertainty in the Middle East continues, as key central bank meetings approach. In the US, we examine the resilience of the economy and preview the upcoming CPI report. In Europe, we review recent inflation data and explain why we expect an ECB rate hike next week. In Japan, we preview the Q1 GDP report and take a close look at the BOJ. Across Asia, we share our take on key data coming out in Japan and China, touch on the Trump/Xi meeting and preview the central bank meeting in Indonesia next week. Chapters: US: 01:57, Japan: 11:56, Asia:15:50, Europe: 16:47.
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We discuss the economic impact and investment opportunities of geopolitical transitions, China shock, and the AI revolution reshaping Asia. At the sidelines of Nomura's Investment Forum Asia (NIFA) in Singapore, we highlight key takeaways from our new anchor report “Asia Rewired.” Shifts like the AI revolution and trade realignment are rewiring Asia, creating winners and losers as well as investment opportunities. China, Malaysia, South Korea, Australia, and Singapore stand to benefit the most, while lower-income economies face some challenges.
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This week, geopolitical tensions may be cooling but the fallout is rising with growth, inflation and central bank reactions evolving rapidly. We look ahead to the US labour market data and the ongoing hawkish shift in Fed communications. In Asia, we preview the RBI’s next meeting and look ahead at inflation data around the region. In Europe, we discuss what factors – such as inflation expectations – could shift our views on the ECB and BoE. Chapters: US: 2:27; Asia: 11:01; Europe: 17:09;
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This week, after a sharp rise in global bond yields, we await key inflation data in the US and Euro area, and discuss the fallout in Asia. We preview US core PCE and Euro area inflation, discuss a change in our Fed forecasts, and update on UK politics. In Asia, we preview decisions by the BOK and RBNZ, as well as core inflation in Singapore. And, in a special segment, Albert Leung, our Head of Asia rates strategy, discusses rising global bond yields and opportunities in Asia. Chapters: US: 2:10; London: 11:02, Asia: 16:50; Special Market Segment: 23:51
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This week, in the US, we examine the health of the consumer and the challenges facing incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh. In Europe and the UK, we examine UK politics, key incoming data and ECB communication. In Japan, we discuss economics and geopolitics, with the visit from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent this week. Across Asia, we share our take on key data coming out in Japan and China, touch on the Trump/Xi meeting and preview the central bank meeting in Indonesia next week. Chapters: US: 2:08; Europe: 7:34; China: 13:07; Japan: 17:41; Asia: 22:04; Australia: 26:14
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This week, in the US, we assess the latest strong/weak labour market data and look ahead to next week’s inflation print. Politics is in focus in Asia, ahead of the Trump-Xi meeting and following India’s state elections, with inflation data also due in both China and India. In Europe, we also discuss local politics in the UK and the recent changes to our ECB and BoE rate calls. Chapters: US: 2:00; China: 8:35; India: 18:35; Europe: 26:00
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This week, in the US, we recap the FOMC meeting and key data and look ahead to the coming Payrolls report. In Europe, we review the ECB and BOE policy announcements and outlook, and preview central bank meetings in Sweden and Norway. Across Asia, we preview earnings data in Japan and the upcoming central bank meetings in Malaysia and Australia. And in a bonus special interview, Jon Cohn discusses the market backdrop. Chapters: US: 2:26; Market Special Segment: 10:19, Europe: 17:04; Japan: 22:25; Asia: 25:20; Australia: 29:13
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This week, we preview decisions from the Fed, ECB, and BOE, but expect no fireworks. In Asia, the BOJ may sound hawkish but BOT is likely dovish. In a special segment, our head of Global Macro Research, Rob Subbaraman, argues that the bark of central banks will be bigger than their bite. Chapters: US: 2:10; Europe: 8:37; Japan: 15:48; Asia: 20:28; Central Banks Special Segment: 22:48
info_outlineThis week, we discuss our views on the ceasefire from a US perspective, the latest from the Fed, and fiscal policy in Europe. Rate decisions in Indonesia and Philippines are the focus in Asia, with a hike seen from the latter. We preview key UK labour market and inflation data, and European surveys, ahead of the BoE’s April meeting. Chapters: US: 1:43; Asia: 10:20; Europe: 17:03