Vanguard--4 to 5% Stock Market Growth Over Next 10 Years (Should You Change Your Retirement Strategy?)
The Power Of Zero Show
In this episode of the Power of Zero Show, David McKnight looks at headlines, such as those from Vanguard, BlackRock or Morningstar, that have predicted a dismal forecast for stock market returns over the next decade. Since such articles predict 4-5% annual growth for the next decade, many investors are pondering whether they should take some chips off the table. Back in 2015, those same institutions and companies stressed that valuations were too high and that, since the markets had a great run, it couldn’t possibly continue anymore. Vanguard forecasted 4-6% returns, BlackRock predicted...
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Should You Take Social Security Early Given the Scary Trust Fund Report?
The Power Of Zero Show
The 2025 Social Security Trustees Report is out and the news is bleak. This episode of the Power of Zero Show looks at the potential repercussions if nothing changes by 2033. If things don't improve, Social Security will face a cash flow deficit that triggers a 23% across-the-board benefit cut - and that's one year earlier than predicted. But that's not all… in fact, it gets far worse, says host David McKnight. The system is already $72.8 trillion in the red, an unfunded liability that's twice the size of the national debt and $10 trillion worse than 2024. This is by no means a temporary...
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The Vindication of Indexed Universal Life and Fixed Indexed Annuities: What the Ernst & Young Study Finally Proves
The Power Of Zero Show
Ernst & Young recently came out with a new updated study, which is likely to scandalize mainstream financial experts like they did with their 2021 study. Back then, they asked the question, “Is the stock market-only retirement approach really the strategy that gives you the highest levels of income and the best outcomes over a 30-year retirement?” In their new study, on the other hand, they substituted Indexed Universal Life for Whole Life, and Fixed Index Annuities for Deferred Income Annuities – a move that led to unexpected and spectacular results. Host David McKnight...
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Can Republicans Actually Make the Trump Tax Cuts Permanent?
The Power Of Zero Show
President Trump’s proposed Big Beautiful Bill (BBB), which has been getting everyone’s attention of late, is the topic of this episode of The Power of Zero Show. Host David McKnight points out that the “crown jewel” of the BBB is the extension of the 2017 Trump tax cuts. The 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCGA) brought about cuts to individual income taxes, corporate taxes, and a dramatic expansion of the estate tax exemption. While corporate tax cuts were made permanent – going from 35% to 21% – the tax cuts for individuals and estates had an expiration date. If the status quo...
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Doug Andrew: Consider Rolling Your IRA into an IUL (Good idea?)
The Power Of Zero Show
David McKnight addresses Doug Andrew’s recommendation of turning your IRA into an IUL. David agrees with some of Andrew’s views, including his objection to rolling a 401(k) into an IRA, and then leaving it there until you die. Given the exploding national debt, most experts predict that taxes 10 years from now will have to rise dramatically to keep the U.S. solvent… Doug Andrew lists Indexed Universal Life as his “favorite financial vehicle because of liquidity, safety, predictable rates of return, and tax-free growth”. David is skeptical of advice that denigrates every tax-free...
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Financial Collapse in 3 Years?
The Power Of Zero Show
This episode of The Power of Zero Show revolves around a recent Ray Dalio video in which he issued warnings about the U.S. debt crisis. In the clip, Dalio appears to be giving America three years to get their act together and to right the fiscal ship of state. Dalio mentions the draft of his new book that goes through the mechanics of the debt – and highlights the supply-demand problem he believes will occur if the deficit doesn’t go from the current 7.2% of GDP to about 3% of GDP. Dalio touches upon what people should do when there isn’t an adequate supply-demand balance. He believes...
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Will Safe Harbor Rules Protect You If You Do a 4th Quarter Roth Conversion?
The Power Of Zero Show
David McKnight looks at why many people wait until the fourth quarter to do a Roth conversion, the potential penalties, and what can be done to avoid having to pay underpayment penalties to the IRS. David begins the episode by highlighting the fact that a lot of investors wait until Q4 before they do a Roth conversion – and they prefer to pay taxes on it in cash instead of simply having the taxes withheld by the IRS. From a mathematical standpoint, it’s the correct thing to do because it allows you to get 100% of the converted dollars into your tax-free account. However, if you didn’t...
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How to Avoid the Roth Over-Conversion Trap
The Power Of Zero Show
In today’s episode, David McKnight focuses on whether you should do a Roth conversion, how much you should convert per year, and whether it’s possible to over-convert to Roth. David explains that an effective tax rate is the actual percentage of your income that you pay in taxes after accounting for deductions, exemptions, and credits. For David, the only reason you should do a Roth conversion is if you believe that your effective tax rate in retirement will be higher than your marginal tax rate today. David touches upon a couple of reasons why your effective tax rate in retirement could...
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The Problem with Target Date Funds
The Power Of Zero Show
David McKnight looks at Target Date Funds (TDFs) and why their set-it-and-forget-it approach to investing is NOT something you should rely on. David kicks things off by explaining how TDFs work, including why they tend to be a popular option for novice investors. While it sounds like an excellent approach, David points out two major flaws. “A lot of the problems with TDFs come down to sustainable withdrawal rates in retirement,” says David. The 4% Rule consists of you being able to withdraw 4% of your day one balance in retirement, adjusted every year thereafter for inflation....
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I've Maxed Out My 401(k), Now What?
The Power Of Zero Show
In this episode of the Power of Zero Show, host David McKnight discusses the scenario in which you have maxed out your 401(k) and are wondering where you should invest the rest of your money. The episode kicks off with David addressing the type of 401(k)s you should be investing in first. There are two types of 401(k)s: the traditional pre-tax 401(k) and the Roth 401(k). Should you go for a traditional 401(k) or a Roth 401(k)? It all depends on whether you think your tax bracket is likely to be lower or higher in retirement… With the national debt set to hit $62 trillion by the year 2035,...
info_outlineIn this episode of the Power of Zero Show, host David McKnight discusses the scenario in which you have maxed out your 401(k) and are wondering where you should invest the rest of your money.
The episode kicks off with David addressing the type of 401(k)s you should be investing in first.
There are two types of 401(k)s: the traditional pre-tax 401(k) and the Roth 401(k).
Should you go for a traditional 401(k) or a Roth 401(k)? It all depends on whether you think your tax bracket is likely to be lower or higher in retirement…
With the national debt set to hit $62 trillion by the year 2035, David believes that, “There isn’t any way the Federal Government can service that type of debt without increasing taxes.”
Planning on retiring past 2035 and you’re currently in the 24% tax bracket? Then, David recommends opting for a Roth 401(k).
This year, you can put $23,500 into your Roth 401(k) if you’re younger than 50, and $31,000 if you’re over the age of 50.
David talks about what to do if you’re married and have maxed out your Roth 401(k), as well as what you can do if your modified adjusted gross income is less than $246,000 as a married couple, or $161,000 as a single filer.
David illustrates the scenario in which relying on a LIRP (Life Insurance Retirement Plan) would make sense.
According to a recent Ernst & Young study, if you can save between 3 and 5 years worth of living expenses in your LIRP by day 1 of retirement, you can increase the sustainable withdrawal rate of your stock portfolio from 4% to as high as 8%.
David points out that there’s no limit on how much you can put into your LIRP and, unlike with what happens with Roth contributions, you are not constrained by your modified adjusted gross income level.
Another point in favor of opting for a LIRP is the fact that it grows safely and productively – the growth of the money in your LIRP is linked to the upward movement of a stock market index.
Whatever that index does in any given year, you get to keep up to a cap that’s typically between 10% and 12%. Index going down? Then, you’re simply credited a zero.
Mentioned in this episode:
David’s national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America’s Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track
PowerOfZero.com (free video series)
@mcknightandco on Twitter
@davidcmcknight on Instagram
David McKnight on YouTube
Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com