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Financial Collapse in 3 Years?

The Power Of Zero Show

Release Date: 06/25/2025

Two Experts Debate When You Should Take Social Security—But here’s the TRUTH! show art Two Experts Debate When You Should Take Social Security—But here’s the TRUTH!

The Power Of Zero Show

Today’s episode revolves around one of the biggest financial debates among pre-retirees and retirees: When should you take Social Security? Host David McKnight touches upon the recent debate of two of the smartest voices in the field – Dr. Laurence “Larry” Kotlikoff and Dr. Derek Tharp – on this exact question. Dr. Tharp, out of the University of Southern Maine, notes that economists commonly recommend delaying social security benefits until age 70. Boston University’s Dr. Kotlikoff agrees and explains that delaying can give you a 76% higher monthly benefit compared to taking...

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What REALLY Happened with Kyle Busch's $8 Million Lawsuit against Pacific Life show art What REALLY Happened with Kyle Busch's $8 Million Lawsuit against Pacific Life

The Power Of Zero Show

David McKnight looks at what happened when NASCAR legend Kyle Busch reportedly lost $8+ million in what was supposed to be a tax-free retirement plan. The plan Busch relied on was built around an indexed universal life insurance policy. According to Kyle and Samantha Busch’s lawsuit, they paid more than $10.4M into several IUL policies issued by Pacific Life Insurance between 2018 and 2022. While these policies were pitched as a safe, self-funding, tax-free retirement plan, things didn’t go as promised…  Poor design, unrealistic expectations, a delayed 1035 exchange, and poor...

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The Financial Guru Hall of Shame--Who's Leading You Off a Cliff? show art The Financial Guru Hall of Shame--Who's Leading You Off a Cliff?

The Power Of Zero Show

David McKnight focuses on three of the biggest names in personal finance – Dave Ramsey, Suze Orman, and Ken Fisher – and why you should be careful with following their advice. David emphasizes that anyone trying to wring the most efficiency out of their retirement savings should focus on advice that’s backed by math… not soundbites. While David Ramsey is the right person for people who are making less than they are spending, the same can’t be said for his retirement planning advice. For instance, he claims that 100% of cash value life insurance sucks 100% of the time.  For...

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Suze Orman Says 3%, Bill Bengen Says 4.7%--Who’s Right on Sustainable Withdrawal Rates? show art Suze Orman Says 3%, Bill Bengen Says 4.7%--Who’s Right on Sustainable Withdrawal Rates?

The Power Of Zero Show

David McKnight compares the approach of some of the biggest names in personal finance: Suze Orman, and William “Bill” Bengen (the man who invented the 4% Rule). In a recent interview covered by MSN, Suze Orman declared flat out that the 4% Rule is dead since markets are volatile, interest rates fluctuate, and people are living longer. David shares the “origin story” of how the 4% Rule came to be – and its creator Bill Bengen. Interviewed by MSN, Bengen updated his research and concluded that, based on current data, a 4.7% withdrawal rate is now sustainable. David compares Orman’s...

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Why Dave Ramsey’s Roth Conversion Advice Could Cost You a Fortune show art Why Dave Ramsey’s Roth Conversion Advice Could Cost You a Fortune

The Power Of Zero Show

David McKnight discusses one of the most destructive pieces of retirement advice he has ever heard: that you should never do a Roth conversion in retirement or within five years of retiring. Dave Ramsey believes you should forego doing a Roth conversion if you’re within five years of retirement or are already retired – because of the so-called Five-Year Rule. The problem with this approach, according to David, is that Ramsey is misinterpreting what that rule actually means, in addition to confusing multiple rules and applying them to the wrong people. Ramsey’s advice, continues David,...

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Four Ways to Pay Tax on Your Roth Conversion show art Four Ways to Pay Tax on Your Roth Conversion

The Power Of Zero Show

David McKnight addresses something that can make or break your Roth conversion strategy: how you actually pay the tax. David kicks things off by sharing that Federal and state estimated tax payments are usually made in four equal installments: April 15th, June 15th, September 15th, and January 15th of the following year.  Did you know that doing a Roth conversion in December, like many people do, will lead to the IRS pretending that income was earned evenly throughout the year? If you don’t account for that, you could get hit with an underpayment penalty (8% of the underpaid amount)....

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I’m 52 Years Old and Have No Bonds in My Portfolio (Smart or Dangerous?) show art I’m 52 Years Old and Have No Bonds in My Portfolio (Smart or Dangerous?)

The Power Of Zero Show

David McKnight explains why he has chosen to avoid bonds entirely and why you might want to rethink how you protect your portfolio as you approach retirement. David kicks things off by illustrating the so-called sequence of returns risk. According to conventional wisdom, bonds tend to be less volatile, so they help smooth out the rough years in the stock market.  However, bonds aren’t the safety net they used to be. And over long periods of time, bonds tend to underperform stocks by a wide margin. David warns against “stuffing your portfolio with bonds just to be safe.”  The...

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Dave Ramsey is Right About Bonds, but Not for the Reasons He Thinks show art Dave Ramsey is Right About Bonds, but Not for the Reasons He Thinks

The Power Of Zero Show

David McKnight addresses something Dave Ramsey has been saying for years: “You should NEVER own bonds in retirement!” David points out that the tool that actually solves the problem Ramsey has been trying to avoid is the same one he spent years mocking on his call-in show: the Fixed-Indexed Annuity. Ramsey’s argument is that stocks outperform bonds over time – hence, bonds should be avoided as they’re “slow, underperforming, and risky.” David indicates what Ramsey is half right about, as well as something he’s missing the mark on… David discusses how bonds can act as a sort...

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What is the Power of Zero Retirement Philosophy? show art What is the Power of Zero Retirement Philosophy?

The Power Of Zero Show

David McKnight walks you through what he believes to be the retirement strategy of the future: the Power of Zero approach. Congress recently passed the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which makes the Trump tax cuts permanent. The brackets were set to expire in 2026, but now we’re told they’re here to stay… By 2035, the U.S. will need massive infusions of cash just to cover the interest on the debt of $37 trillion, not to mention Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and defense. When the Government needs money and no one else will loan it the money, it does the one thing it’s always done in...

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Greatest Retirement Mistake show art Greatest Retirement Mistake

The Power Of Zero Show

While on the golf course with his son, David McKnight got asked a question, by a couple of men in their early 70s, every pre-retiree and retiree wonders at some point: “What’s the biggest mistake people make when preparing for retirement?” Many people spend their entire career saving money in tax-deferred accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs. As that balance grows larger every year, it’s easy to get the illusion that all that money belongs to you, while a larger portion actually belongs to the IRS.  How much of that sum you ultimately get to keep depends on what tax rates happen to be...

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More Episodes

This episode of The Power of Zero Show revolves around a recent Ray Dalio video in which he issued warnings about the U.S. debt crisis.

In the clip, Dalio appears to be giving America three years to get their act together and to right the fiscal ship of state.

Dalio mentions the draft of his new book that goes through the mechanics of the debt – and highlights the supply-demand problem he believes will occur if the deficit doesn’t go from the current 7.2% of GDP to about 3% of GDP.

Dalio touches upon what people should do when there isn’t an adequate supply-demand balance.

He believes that looking back at history will show you that the current problems are the results of history repeating itself.

A recession isn’t the one thing Dalio is afraid of… the breakdown of the monetary order is! 

Host David McKnight talks about the bid other countries may have on the U.S. fiscal debt, as well as the related crisis of confidence of sorts.

According to a recent Penn Wharton study, if the U.S. doesn't right their fiscal ship of state by 2040, no combination of raising taxes and/or reducing spending will arrest the financial collapse of the nation.

David believes that in the next 10 to 15 years, the U.S. is likely to need huge infusions of capital to avoid a financial collapse, the likes of which we haven’t seen since the Great Depression.

What should you do? If you have the lion’s share of your Retirement Savings, IRAs or 401(k)s, you need to act now while tax rates are historically low.

Since we’re on the cusp of Trump extending his tax cuts for another 8 years, it’s important to know that, if you count 2025, we’ll have historically-low tax rates for another 9 years.

David is in favor of taking action before tax rates increase, also because he believes that, come 2034, tax rates aren't going to simply revert back to what they were in 2017.

If the American fiscal ship doesn’t get right on time, we could go back to seeing high tax rates that were part of the past – such as 94% in the last two years of World War II, or 89% as it was throughout the entire decade of the 70s.

 

 

Mentioned in this episode:

David’s national bestselling book: The Guru Gap: How America’s Financial Gurus Are Leading You Astray, and How to Get Back on Track

DavidMcKnight.com

DavidMcKnightBooks.com

PowerOfZero.com (free video series)

@mcknightandco on Twitter 

@davidcmcknight on Instagram

David McKnight on YouTube

Get David's Tax-free Tool Kit at taxfreetoolkit.com

Ray Dalio

Penn Wharton