Tea and Crumpets
We take a wicked look upward, where both unidentified drones and market valuations reside. We also discuss the upcoming Fed meeting, investor sentiment, and the outlook for corporate margins (and employment) as AI gains greater adoption. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outline Gamma Claus is Coming to TownTea and Crumpets
We discuss the recent mania around levered ETFs and the market mechanics that make these so volatile. We also take our first look at investor response to Trump’s win and what we think some of the over (and under) reactions have been so far, and what the true implications of changes in fiscal and regulatory policy may mean. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outline Undecided BoatersTea and Crumpets
This week, Will and Adam discuss how markets typically respond to the election cycle, and the importance of staying committed to the long-term view when it comes to investing. We also do a deep, some may say submarine, dive on the phenomenon causing some of the extreme weather we are seeing, and compare this type of explosion and its effects to how the explosion of post-Covid stimulus has affected inflation, stocks, and bonds. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outline Not Chicken AnymoreTea and Crumpets
We recap the historically strong year-to-date performance of equities and compare Q3 versus the first half of the year. We also delve into the potential market implications of the upcoming presidential elections as well as the ongoing (and escalating) conflict in the Middle East. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outline Podcast or podcats?Tea and Crumpets
Special guest Kalee Kreider joins us to discuss the recent presidential debate, its impact on the November election, and all things political. We also explore the impact of broad trends like inflation and AI on the election, the economy, and markets. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outline We Need These JobsTea and Crumpets
Will and Adam discuss the large downward revision in job creation and analyze its causes and implications. With the Fed meeting in Jackson Hole, they review its current stance on interest rates versus market expectations, as well as the divergent paths the market has historically taken around rate cutting cycles. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outline Hiatus OverTea and Crumpets
Will and Adam return to provide insight on recent market tumult. We look at the causes (recession concerns, Japanese bank policy) and the effects (sharp decline, quick rebound, spike in volatility). We compare what is normal about today’s environment versus the anomalies that cause us some concern. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outline Happy BirthdayTea and Crumpets
We wish Formidable a happy 11th birthday, though the more eccentric among us may say “get well soon”, instead. Regardless, we look back on our approach to college planning and the merits of trade schools in the era of AI. We also examine AI’s broader implications for inflation, wages, and stocks, both those that area direct beneficiaries (like the Magnificent Seven) and those that have, so far, been left behind from a performance perspective, where we see opportunity. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outline Saul GrippoTea and Crumpets
Will and Adam review the new Bearcats flavored Grippo chips, and compare them to the Fed’s approach on inflation. We take a look at what the lack of movement in oil prices is telling us about inflation and the economy, and how higher interest rates are (or, more accurately, are not) constricting some measures of financial conditions. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outline There’s No Way Wainscott Will Approve This TitleTea and Crumpets
We discuss the fluid situation in the Middle East, its impact on oil, and, ultimately, its importance as a key stumbling block on the Fed’s path to 2% inflation. The changing expectations regarding Fed rate cuts and how those should (theoretically) affect valuations for stocks are also key topics, as are some of the recent divergences in the historical relationships between things like gold and real rates. Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting .
info_outlineWill and Adam provide an update on the continued fallout in the banking sector, including what it means for consumers and markets. The surprising rebound in technology stocks despite a nascent banking crisis is also analyzed and compared to what we experienced during the financial crisis. We also debate what the opposite of inverted is and why it is important to our outlook for the economy. For even more, click here to read Will’s comments on Silicon Valley Bank in Barron’s.
Learn more about Formidable Asset Management, Will Brown, and Adam Eagleston by visiting www.formidableam.com.