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624. THE DEMOGRAPHIC CLIFF IS HERE

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

Release Date: 02/04/2025

651. GAME PLAN FOR THE ENHANCED ACT show art 651. GAME PLAN FOR THE ENHANCED ACT

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

The unfolding changes to the ACT take effect everywhere in September. Are you ready? Let two nationally recognized experts in education–your hosts of the Tests and the Rest podcast–help you understand both the ACT enhancements and how students should navigate them. This free Game Plan for the Enhanced ACT webinar was presented live as part of the Tests and the Rest Seminar Series. What are five things you will learn in this episode? How is the ACT changing? How does the Enhanced ACT compare to the Legacy test? What is the difference between the ACT and SAT? Which tests should...

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650. HOW CAN PAST POOR DECISIONS AFFECT COLLEGE ADMISSIONS? show art 650. HOW CAN PAST POOR DECISIONS AFFECT COLLEGE ADMISSIONS?

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

To err is human, which makes adolescence a particularly intense expression of the human condition. Yes, we all make mistakes, but some are more glaring and likely to impact acceptance than others. But which ones? Amy and Mike invited student advocates Susan Stone and Kristina Supler to clarify how past poor decisions can affect college admissions. What are five things you will learn in this episode? What kinds of past poor decisions might hurt admissions chances? Can criminal charges prevent someone from getting into college?  How can social misconduct impact college...

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649. AI AND THE COLLEGE ADMISSIONS PROCESS show art 649. AI AND THE COLLEGE ADMISSIONS PROCESS

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

In a process with as many steps as choosing, applying to, and being accepted at a target higher education institution, small improvements in efficiency at any point can compound dramatically for both applicants and admissions offices. Amy and Mike invited ed tech entrepreneur Sam Bernstein to explore the current state of AI and the college admissions process. What are five things you will learn in this episode? How is AI changing the way students search for colleges and navigate the application process? How should students and parents be using AI in the college process—and where should...

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648. EXTEMP WITH AMY & MIKE: May 2025 show art 648. EXTEMP WITH AMY & MIKE: May 2025

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

The Tests and the Rest podcast has always been relentlessly focused on exploring important topics in testing, admissions, education, and learning with amazing expert guests. Sometimes, though, we enjoy an unstructured opportunity to discuss our own takes on major issues, upcoming events, and our endeavors at the intersection of business and education. Catch up with us in the latest episode of EXTEMP with Amy & Mike. What are five things you will learn in this episode? How was the IECA Conference in Detroit? Was our presentation on Scaling Your Practice well received? What projects...

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647. THE PREDICTIVE VALIDITY OF TEST SCORES IN COLLEGE ADMISSIONS show art 647. THE PREDICTIVE VALIDITY OF TEST SCORES IN COLLEGE ADMISSIONS

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

The last thing anybody wants to do is sit for a meaningless test. Entrance exams like the SAT & ACT should be able to inform both test takers and target institutions about the likelihood of success at the next level. So do they? Amy and Mike invited educator David Blobaum to explore the predictive validity of test scores in college admissions. What are five things you will learn in this episode? Research says that SAT/ACT scores are better predictors of success at Ivy-plus colleges than are high school grades–why? Have any other colleges beyond the Ivy-plus colleges made similar...

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646. ENROLLING IN A TRADE SCHOOL show art 646. ENROLLING IN A TRADE SCHOOL

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

Not everyone assumes that life after high school automatically entails immediate enrollment in college. Many teens graduate ready to pursue a more practical education. Amy and Mike invited education market researcher Brady Colby to explain the implications of enrolling in a trade school. What are five things you will learn in this episode? What exactly is a trade school?  What are recent trends for trade schools? Why might trade schools be getting more popular?  How should parents or guidance advisors incorporate trades into post-high school planning?  Are the rise of...

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645. TRUE COLLEGE ROI show art 645. TRUE COLLEGE ROI

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

One should not take on what is potentially the biggest expense of a lifetime lightly. Motivated students can absolutely make sure college pays off academically, socially, and emotionally; financially, though, can be a big question mark. Amy and Mike invited educator Gage Mersereau to define the concept of true college ROI. What are five things you will learn in this episode? What does ROI mean in the context of college? What are the major factors to determine your true college investment? Why should plans after graduation factor into college plans? Why should ROI factors be understood...

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644. EXTEMP WITH AMY & MIKE: April 2025 show art 644. EXTEMP WITH AMY & MIKE: April 2025

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

The Tests and the Rest podcast has always been relentlessly focused on exploring important topics in testing, admissions, education, and learning with amazing expert guests. Sometimes, though, we enjoy an unstructured opportunity to discuss our own takes on major issues, upcoming events, and our endeavors at the intersection of business and education. Catch up with us in the latest episode of EXTEMP with Amy & Mike. What are five things you will learn in this episode? What have Amy and Mike been up to in the last month? How is Amy using ChatGPT? What is College Eagle? What updates...

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643. A TEST TAKER’S PERSPECTIVE ON THE ENHANCED ACT  show art 643. A TEST TAKER’S PERSPECTIVE ON THE ENHANCED ACT

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

The ACT has been a remarkably stable exam, administered in roughly the same way for decades. However, a new version is on the horizon, and some intrepid souls have braved the uncertainty of the field test to experience it. Amy and Mike invited someone who sat for the April 2025 Enhanced ACT to share the test taker’s perspective. What are five things you will learn in this episode? What were your general impressions about the enhanced ACT test experience in the digital format? What did you find to be the same on the enhanced ACT? What did you find to be different on the enhanced ACT? ...

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642. GETTING READY FOR THE AP ECONOMICS EXAM show art 642. GETTING READY FOR THE AP ECONOMICS EXAM

Tests and the Rest: College Admissions Podcast

The Advanced Placement exams represent some of the most challenging subject-specific standardized tests a high schooler might ever take, and AP Economics is no exception. Amy and Mike believe that every test warrants smart, serious preparation, so we invited educator Michael Rodriguez to share valuable strategies, insights, and resources for getting ready for the AP Economics exam.  What are five things you will learn in this episode? What is tested on the Macro vs Micro AP Economics exam? How do students score points on the AP Economics exam? What are the highest priority topics on...

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More Episodes

The entire edifice of higher education and industry depends on a steady flow of students coming in and qualified graduates flowing out. What happens to the system when the crucial input of applicants drops dramatically? Amy and Mike invited journalist Jon Marcus to answer that very question, because the dreaded demographic cliff is here.

What are five things you will learn in this episode?

  1. What exactly is a demographic cliff?

  2. What have colleges done to prepare for a decline in applicants? 

  3. Which schools are most and least threatened by the demographic cliff?

  4. How does the demographic pattern benefit applicants? 

  5. How will this shift in population impact schools and society?

MEET OUR GUEST

Jon Marcus is higher-education editor at The Hechinger Report and also writes for The Washington Post, The New York Times, Wired, NPR, and other magazines, newspapers, and websites. Jon holds a master’s degree in journalism from Columbia University and a bachelor’s degree from Bates College, and attended Oxford University. He teaches journalism at Boston College and Northeastern University.

Jon previously appeared on this podcast in episode 201 to discuss How College Board and ACT are Changing.

Find Jon at [email protected] or on Bluesky/X at @jonmarcusboston.

LINKS

The number of 18-year-olds is about to drop sharply, packing a wallop for colleges — and the economy

A looming 'demographic cliff': Fewer college students and ultimately fewer graduates

Despite public perception, and for the first time in decades, college acceptance rates are going up

Nonprofit Explorer - ProPublica

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DEMOGRAPHIC TRENDS AND COLLEGE ADMISSIONS

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ABOUT THIS PODCAST

Tests and the Rest is THE college admissions industry podcast. Explore all of our past episodes on the show page and keep up with our future ones by subscribing to our email newsletter.

ABOUT YOUR HOSTS

Mike Bergin is the president of Chariot Learning and founder of TestBright. Amy Seeley is the president of Seeley Test Pros and LEAP. If you’re interested in working with Mike and/or Amy for test preparation, training, or consulting, feel free to get in touch through our contact page.