Property Investors: The Inflation Number You're Told Is Lying to You | Ashley Owen
Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast
Release Date: 07/29/2026
Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast
July has delivered the clearest evidence yet that Australia’s property market has changed direction, but the headline figures only tell part of the story. Capital city house prices fell by 1.5 per cent over the month, the sharpest national decline since August 2022, while Sydney recorded a particularly significant fall of 2.7 per cent. Melbourne house prices are now almost 6 per cent lower since the beginning of the year, and prices also declined across Brisbane, Adelaide, Perth and Darwin during July. Yet look beneath those monthly figures and Australia still has...
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You’ve probably heard the media, politicians and economists talking about “the inflation rate” as though every Australian is experiencing the same increase in their cost of living. But the official CPI figure may bear little resemblance to what is happening in your household. Because here's the uncomfortable truth. That headline number is an average. It's a blend of everything from lettuce to laptops, and if your money goes on housing, health care, insurance and electricity rather than imported gadgets and clothing, your real cost of living has probably been running well...
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Most investors think the goal is to eventually build a portfolio that throws off enough passive income to live on. It sounds sensible, doesn’t it? Buy assets, collect the rent or dividends, and one day replace your salary. But what if that idea is not only outdated, but mathematically inefficient? What if chasing income too early actually leaves you with less wealth, less flexibility, and more risk in retirement? Today I’m joined by Stuart Wemyss who back in 2018, published Investopoly, built around eight golden rules for building wealth. Since...
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Right now, thousands of Australian property investors are being drawn to off-the-plan properties like moths to a flame. And I understand why. After the 2026 Federal Budget changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax, new properties are suddenly looking very attractive. The marketing is glossy, the tax benefits sound compelling, and the salespeople are convincing. But here's what those salespeople won't tell you. Signing that contract is the easy part. What happens over the next two years - and at settlement - can financially ruin you. Today, I'm chatting with Dorian...
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Most of us spend years trying to figure out money - what to do with it, how to invest it, how to make it work harder. But imagine if someone had taught you the fundamentals when you were a child. Because here's what I've seen over the years - the families who build lasting generational wealth don't just accumulate assets. They pass on the mindset, the habits, and the financial literacy that lets the next generation take it even further. So what if we could give our kids that advantage? What if we could raise children who grow up genuinely confident about money, investing,...
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Here's a question that makes almost every Australian a bit uncomfortable if they're honest with themselves. Do you actually want housing to become more affordable, or do you just want it to become more affordable for your kids while your own home keeps growing in value? That tension sits underneath almost every conversation about housing affordability in this country, and it's rarely spoken about directly. By the end of this episode, you'll understand why affordability isn't really one problem but several problems wearing the same name, why a property crash wouldn't...
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What if someone handed you the answers before you sat the exam? That's essentially what today's guest is doing. After decades of personal property investing and working alongside hundreds of investors at Metropole, Adam Hubbard has distilled everything he's learned - the wins, the near-misses, and the lessons that only time and experience can teach - into 10 principles that could genuinely reshape how you approach building wealth through property. These aren't theories. They're hard-won truths from someone who has lived through multiple market cycles, seen investors...
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Australia’s property market has changed gears again. For the last few years, we’ve had a market driven by strong population growth, a chronic shortage of homes, tight rental markets and buyers who were desperate to get in before prices moved further away from them. But according to Domain’s latest FY2027 Forecast Report, we’re now entering a very different phase. Sydney and Melbourne house prices are forecast to fall over the next year, and Canberra is also expected to soften. At the same time, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth are still forecast to...
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House prices are falling across most of our capital cities right now, and the rate of decline is actually picking up speed. Now, I know what the headlines are going to say about that. They'll call it a crash, a correction, a crisis — and frankly, most of those headlines will be written to scare you, not inform you. So what's really going on? Is this the beginning of something serious, or is this just a market catching its breath after three extraordinary years of growth? Today, I cut through the noise as I am joined by Dr. Andrew Wilson Chief Economist at My...
info_outlineYou’ve probably heard the media, politicians and economists talking about “the inflation rate” as though every Australian is experiencing the same increase in their cost of living.
But the official CPI figure may bear little resemblance to what is happening in your household.
Because here's the uncomfortable truth. That headline number is an average. It's a blend of everything from lettuce to laptops, and if your money goes on housing, health care, insurance and electricity rather than imported gadgets and clothing, your real cost of living has probably been running well above what the news is telling you.
Today we're going to pull that number apart. We're going to look at who actually suffers the highest inflation in this country, why government policy is doing more damage to your cost of living than any war or supply shock, and why understanding your own personal inflation rate matters just as much to your wealth-building strategy as your choice of property.
By the end of this episode you'll know exactly where you sit on what my guest calls the inflation pyramid, which categories of spending are quietly eating your returns, and why housing costs in particular have become one of the clearest examples of government-made inflation in the country.
My guest today is Ashley Owen, Principal of Owen Analytics and one of the most respected independent economists and investment analysts in Australia.
Takeaways
• Official CPI figures hide big differences between household spending patterns and real cost pressures.
• Renters face stronger inflation because more of their budget goes to utilities, taxes, and housing costs.
• Government-driven costs push housing inflation higher through taxes, regulation, and construction bottlenecks.
• Imported goods often offset inflation, but local services keep rising through wage and productivity pressures.
• Insurance, healthcare, and education climb faster because they rely heavily on expensive Australian labour.
• Personal inflation rates matter more than averages when planning retirement withdrawals and long-term cash flow.
• Higher inflation erodes mortgage balances over time, benefiting borrowers who own quality assets.
• Delayed rate cuts and political spending can keep interest rates higher for longer.
• Land scarcity in concentrated cities pushes up property values and construction costs.
• Wealth plans must outperform inflation or purchasing power steadily shrinks over decades.
Links and Resources:
Answer this week’s trivia question here - https://www.propertytrivia.com.au/
• Win a copy of How To Grow A Multi-Million Dollar Property Portfolio In Your Spare Time.
• Every entry receives a copy of a fully updated Michael Yardney Property Report.
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Ashley Owen, Director of Owen Analytics https://www.owenanalytics.com.au/
Articles mentioned in the podcast:
· Housing inflation higher than CPI
https://www.owenanalytics.com.au/2026jul20-housing-inflation
· What's your personal inflation rate?
https://www.owenanalytics.com.au/2026jul14-infl-categ
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About The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment And Wealth Creation Australia
The Michael Yardney Podcast is one of Australia’s leading property investment podcasts, helping investors understand the Australian property market and build long-term wealth through strategic property investing.
Each week we explore:
• Australian property market updates
• Property investment strategies in Australia
• Melbourne property market trends
• Sydney property market forecasts
• Brisbane property investment opportunities
• Capital growth property strategies
• Property cycles in Australia
• Negative gearing and tax strategy
• Interest rates and their impact on property
• Buyer’s agent insights and investment planning
If you’re serious about building a high-performance property portfolio and creating financial freedom through real estate, this podcast will give you the clarity and strategy you need.
Learn more at:
https://propertyupdate.com.au
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