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Property Investors: Why Playing It Safe Could Cost You a Fortune show art Property Investors: Why Playing It Safe Could Cost You a Fortune

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

What if the decisions that make you feel safest as a property investor are actually the ones most likely to cost you a fortune?   Waiting for interest rates to settle sounds sensible. Keeping your money in cash feels secure. Avoiding investment debt appears responsible, while buying in the same locations everyone else is talking about provides the comfort of following the crowd.   Yet each of these choices can carry hidden risks.   In today’s show, I want to explore one of the most important psychological traps property investors face: confusing familiarity with safety and...

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Why Property Investors Should Think Like Vampires | Simon Kuestenmacher show art Why Property Investors Should Think Like Vampires | Simon Kuestenmacher

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

What if the secret to becoming wealthy wasn’t being smarter than everyone else?   What if it wasn’t timing the market, picking the next hot suburb, or finding some clever tax loophole?   What if the real secret was simply living long enough to let good assets quietly compound in the background?   Now, I know that sounds strange, but in a recent article in The New Daily Simon Kuestenmacher used a fascinating idea he called “vampire economics.”   His argument was that if vampires existed, they should be incredibly wealthy.   After all, they don’t retire. They...

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Australia’s Missing Middle: The Property Development Opportunity Hiding in Plain Sight show art Australia’s Missing Middle: The Property Development Opportunity Hiding in Plain Sight

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

Australia’s housing debate seems to offer us two choices: a detached home on an increasingly unaffordable block of land, or an apartment in a large tower.   Between those two forms of housing is what planners call the “missing middle”.   This includes duplexes, terraces, townhouses, maisonettes, courtyard housing and small low-rise apartment buildings. They provide more homes than a conventional suburban subdivision, while retaining much of the space, privacy and neighbourhood character people value.   So why aren’t we building more of them, particularly in the...

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Property Investors: I Wrote This Book 20 Years Ago — Here's What I Got Wrong show art Property Investors: I Wrote This Book 20 Years Ago — Here's What I Got Wrong

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

Twenty years ago I wrote a book that I honestly thought would sell a few thousand copies to friends and colleagues.   Instead, it became Australia's best-selling property investment book, and it's sat on the bookshelf of tens of thousands of investors who've gone on to build genuine wealth using the strategies inside it.   Today we're doing something a little different. Instead of me interviewing a guest, I'm handing the microphone over, and my colleague from Metropole, Joseph Bellotta, who is going to interview me about the brand new edition of "How to Grow a Multi-Million Dollar...

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Property Investors: A valuer's opinion on how long this downturn could run | Scott Chapman show art Property Investors: A valuer's opinion on how long this downturn could run | Scott Chapman

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

There is one thing every property investor wants to know right now. How long is this property downturn actually going to last?   You've heard all sorts of opinions. Some people say it's almost over. Others are telling you we're heading for a crash that will make 2008 look like a picnic. Neither of those is right, and today's guest has the data to prove it.   By the end of today's show, you're going to understand exactly what history tells us about how long property downturns run for, why some markets are falling harder than others, and what you need to be doing right now if the...

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Why Smart Property Investors Make Dumb Decisions - 5 biases costing you money | Louise Bedford show art Why Smart Property Investors Make Dumb Decisions - 5 biases costing you money | Louise Bedford

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

Smart investors still make expensive mistakes, and surprisingly often, the problem begins inside their own heads.   We like to believe that our investment decisions are based on facts, careful analysis and rational judgment. Yet cognitive biases quietly shape which facts we notice, which risks we dismiss and which stories we choose to believe.   They encourage property investors to follow the crowd, cling to underperforming assets, chase yesterday’s winning markets and become more confident precisely when they should be more cautious.   Louise Bedford – “The Money...

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AI Won’t Make You Rich as a Property Investor - But This Mindset Might | Dr. Noah St. John show art AI Won’t Make You Rich as a Property Investor - But This Mindset Might | Dr. Noah St. John

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

Most property investors don’t fail because they lack access to information.   In fact, today they have more information, more data, more forecasts, more podcasts, more software, more AI tools, and more opinions than ever before.   And that may be part of the problem.   Because when your brain is wired for survival, uncertainty can feel like danger. So rather than making clear, strategic decisions, many investors freeze, over-research, procrastinate, follow the crowd, or chase the next shiny object.   That’s why I wanted to bring Dr. Noah St. John back onto the...

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The Property Investment Skill Most Investors Never Learn show art The Property Investment Skill Most Investors Never Learn

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

What if the greatest threat to your property investment success isn’t choosing the wrong suburb, paying too much or getting your timing wrong?   What if it’s your inability to remain disciplined when the headlines become frightening, the forecasts turn gloomy and everyone around you starts questioning whether property is still a good investment?   Over the last six years, Australian property investors have lived through a pandemic, lockdowns, recession warnings, emergency-low interest rates, a property boom, rapid inflation, a punishing interest rate cycle, construction failures,...

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Boomers Got Rich by Lucky Timing. What Happens to the Next Generation? | Ashley Owen show art Boomers Got Rich by Lucky Timing. What Happens to the Next Generation? | Ashley Owen

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

Did baby boomers become wealthy because they were better investors, or were they simply born at the right time?   It is a confronting question, because millions of Australians who bought property, invested in shares and contributed to superannuation over the past 40 years enjoyed one of the strongest financial tailwinds in modern history.   From the early 1980s, inflation and interest rates generally trended lower. As the cost of money fell, asset values rose, borrowing became progressively easier, and property, shares and bonds delivered unusually strong long-term returns. ...

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The 4 Decisions That Matter More Than Every Property You'll Ever Buy | Stuart Wemyss show art The 4 Decisions That Matter More Than Every Property You'll Ever Buy | Stuart Wemyss

Property Investment & Wealth Creation Australia | The Michael Yardney Podcast

What if I told you that almost none of the financial decisions you agonise over actually matter?   Most investors worry about interest rates, the next hot suburb, tax changes, market timing, stock picking, and whether they should buy now or wait.   But what if 95% of your financial future is shaped by just a handful of decisions - many of them made quietly, early, and often without enough thought?   That’s the fascinating idea we’re unpacking today with Stuart Wemyss, founder of ProSolution Private Clients, who says there are really only a handful of decisions in your...

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More Episodes

Did baby boomers become wealthy because they were better investors, or were they simply born at the right time?

 

It is a confronting question, because millions of Australians who bought property, invested in shares and contributed to superannuation over the past 40 years enjoyed one of the strongest financial tailwinds in modern history.

 

From the early 1980s, inflation and interest rates generally trended lower. As the cost of money fell, asset values rose, borrowing became progressively easier, and property, shares and bonds delivered unusually strong long-term returns.

 

Of course, plenty of boomers worked hard, saved carefully and made sensible decisions. Yet effort alone does not explain the extraordinary increase in household wealth. Timing played a much larger role than many people are comfortable admitting.

 

My guest today, Ashley Owen, believes that this golden era has ended. He argues that younger Australians are entering a very different world, with persistent inflationary pressures, higher average interest rates and potentially lower real returns across property, shares and bonds.

 

If Ashley is right, investors can’t simply extrapolate the returns of the last 30 or 40 years into the future. Retirement calculations may be too optimistic, traditional asset allocations may be less reliable, and the next generation may need to save more, invest differently and remain invested for longer.

 

In this episode I’m speaking with Ashley Owen about how Australia’s investment environment has changed across generations.

 

Join me as we unpack what this means for investors, retirees, and the next generation.

 

Takeaways 

 

• Inflation is global, so Western economies tend to rise and fall together.

• Long periods of falling inflation create unusually strong returns across most asset classes.

• Government borrowing and loose fiscal policy can keep inflation pressures elevated.

• Military spending has repeatedly triggered major inflation spikes throughout history.

• The best recent investing decade was boosted by declining inflation and interest rates.

• Shares generally outperform bonds and cash during most long-term market cycles.

• Bonds can deliver weak or negative real returns during high inflation periods.

• Australian housing holds up better because debt is eroded by inflation over time.

• Rising protectionism and re-shoring increase costs across goods, wages, and supply chains.

• Starting early and avoiding crowd behaviour matter more than chasing short-term trends.

 

Chapters

• 05:08 - Why investors need a 150-year view of inflation
• 08:54 - Three lessons from 150 years of global inflation
• 22:26 - Every driver of the golden era has now reversed
• 29:38 - What returns look like in high-inflation decades
• 37:29 - Why Australian housing is the standout asset class

 

Links and Resources:

 

Answer this week’s trivia question here - https://www.propertytrivia.com.au/

•        Win a copy of How To Grow A Multi-Million Dollar Property Portfolio In Your Spare Time.

•        Every entry receives a copy of a fully updated Michael Yardney Property Report.

 

Michael Yardney – Subscribe to my Property Update newsletter here

 

 

Get the team at Metropole to help build your personal Strategic Property Plan. Click here and have a chat with us. 

 

Ashley Owen, Director of Owen Analytics https://www.owenanalytics.com.au/

 

Get a bundle of eBooks and Reports at: www.PodcastBonus.com.au

 

Also, please subscribe to my other podcast Demographics Decoded with Simon Kuestenmacher – just look for Demographics Decoded wherever you are listening to this podcast and subscribe so each week we can unveil the trends shaping your future.

 

About The Michael Yardney Podcast | Property Investment And Wealth Creation Australia

 

The Michael Yardney Podcast is one of Australia’s leading property investment podcasts, helping investors understand the Australian property market and build long-term wealth through strategic property investing.

 

Each week we explore:

 

• Australian property market updates
• Property investment strategies in Australia
• Melbourne property market trends
• Sydney property market forecasts
• Brisbane property investment opportunities
• Capital growth property strategies
• Property cycles in Australia
• Negative gearing and tax strategy
• Interest rates and their impact on property
• Buyer’s agent insights and investment planning

 

If you’re serious about building a high-performance property portfolio and creating financial freedom through real estate, this podcast will give you the clarity and strategy you need.

 

Learn more at:
https://propertyupdate.com.au
https://metropole.com.au