Timing the Market vs. Following the Trend: What Actually Works
The Retirement Fiduciary Podcast
Release Date: 06/26/2025
The Retirement Fiduciary Podcast
In this episode of The Retirement Fiduciary Podcast, host Adam Koós takes the guest seat on The Aligned Money Show with George G. The conversation blends financial insight with personal backstory as Adam opens up about his unexpected past in music, his path to becoming a Chartered Market Technician, and the investment strategies he uses today to help clients protect and grow their wealth. This episode covers everything from election-season uncertainty to the pros and cons of trend following, what most people misunderstand about timing the market, and why building the right portfolio is...
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In this episode of The Retirement Fiduciary Podcast, host Adam Koós interviews Sharad Mehta, the Founder and CEO of REsimpli, a revolutionary real estate software platform. Sharad shares his remarkable journey from working as an accountant to becoming a successful real estate investor and entrepreneur. After flipping over 800 properties and managing a portfolio of 60 free-and-clear rental units, Sharad realized the need for a more efficient way to run his business. This insight led him to develop REsimpli, an all-in-one software solution designed to streamline real estate investing by...
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In this episode of The Retirement Fiduciary, Adam Koos concludes his NERD-vember series with Part 2 of "Major Factors to Consider When Investing," shifting focus to two additional critical factors in investing: momentum and volume. Building on the foundation set in Part 1, Adam explains how these indicators can help you better understand market behavior and make more informed investment decisions. By exploring the role of momentum, he shows how the speed of price changes can signal future trends, while his discussion on volume highlights its importance in confirming those trends. ...
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In this episode Adam is diving into the first part of his NERD-vember series, doing a deeper dive into 2 of the major factors to consider when investing... price and trend. Adam will be looking at these 2 indicators and how to use them to determine if it's a good TIME to buy, or when it's a good time to buy or sell your current investments. Examing the highs and lows of recent market history, Adam shares more on how trends and moving averages work and how to take this into account when making your financial decisions. Libertas Wealth: Subscribe on...
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In this episode of "The Retirement Fiduciary," Adam sits down with Dan Baron, an expert in estate planning, elder care law, probate, and business succession, to simplify the often daunting process of estate planning. Together, they explore important topics like whether or not you should avoid probate and how the probate process can impact your assets. Dan introduces the concept of asset shrinkage, explaining how poor planning can lead to significant loss of wealth over time, especially in the face of rising nursing home costs, which he discusses in detail with average figures from across the...
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"Up The Escalator - Down The Elevator" In this episode of The Retirement Fiduciary, Adam explores the concept of "Daylight," a key metric that investors should pay close attention to when markets become volatile. Daylight refers to the average price of an investment over a specified period, offering a clearer picture of an asset’s performance by smoothing out short-term fluctuations. Adam explains how this metric can help investors make better decisions, especially when market conditions are unpredictable or erratic. Using examples from the past five years, Adam illustrates how Daylight has...
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In this episode of The Retirement Fiduciary, Adam welcomes back Rachel Alley, Realtor and Team Leader for The Millennium Group at Keller Williams Capital Partners in Central Ohio. Rachel revisits the podcast to discuss the significant shifts in the residential real estate market since her last appearance over two years ago. She highlights the challenges buyers and homeowners face today, particularly with interest rates more than doubling, and provides insights into how these changes are reshaping the market. Rachel also explores the topic of refinancing, offering guidance on when it makes...
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In this episode of The Retirement Fiduciary, host Adam welcomes Natalie Siston, a dynamic speaker and best-selling author of "Let Her Out: Reclaim Who You've Always Been." Natalie dives into her upbringing in a small Ohio town of just 600 people and how these humble beginnings significantly shaped her career trajectory. She explains the pivotal role this close-knit community played in inspiring her to establish her coaching business, "Small Town Leadership," which focuses on harnessing the values and lessons from small-town life to achieve professional success. Natalie also delves into her...
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In this quick episode Adam demystifies the strategy of tax-loss harvesting and its benefits for investors. Adam explains how this technique allows you to turn investment losses into financial gains by offsetting capital gains with capital losses, reducing your overall tax liability. Adam discusses how to avoid paying taxes come tax season by trimming investments you own that have unrealized losses to wash out gains from earlier in the year. He also covers when it makes sense to utilize tax-loss harvesting, addressing some of the main complaints about the practice and offering...
info_outlineIn this episode of The Retirement Fiduciary Podcast, host Adam Koós takes the guest seat on The Aligned Money Show with George G. The conversation blends financial insight with personal backstory as Adam opens up about his unexpected past in music, his path to becoming a Chartered Market Technician, and the investment strategies he uses today to help clients protect and grow their wealth.
This episode covers everything from election-season uncertainty to the pros and cons of trend following, what most people misunderstand about timing the market, and why building the right portfolio is the key to sticking with your plan.
Whether you're a retiree, a pre-retiree, or someone just looking for a better way to manage risk in today’s market, this episode offers candid advice and a reminder that real financial planning is more than just picking investments.
Episode Timestamps:
01:00 – Two Truths and a Lie: Adam’s Singing Past Revealed
05:30 – What’s Top of Mind: Markets, Elections, and Uncertainty
07:30 – Should You Wait to Invest Until After the Election?
10:00 – Adam’s Approach to Market Volatility and Trend Following
13:00 – Tactical vs. Strategic Models: Why Adam Uses Both
16:00 – Analogies That Help Clients Understand Complex Strategies
18:00 – Recency Bias and Why Portfolios Fail
20:00 – U.S. Debt, GDP, and Economic Outlook
22:00 – The #1 Retirement Planning Tip Most People Ignore
23:00 – Where to Find a Fiduciary Advisor
Key Takeaways:
🔹 Trend Following Is Not Timing: It’s not about predicting the market—it’s about following patterns and adjusting when they change.
🔹 Election Uncertainty Is Normal: Markets don’t care who wins. They care about knowing who wins.
🔹 Diversification Alone Isn’t Enough: Combining buy-and-hold with tactical models can protect against major downturns.
🔹 Analogies Help: Whether it’s tornado sirens, playoff teams, or March Madness—clear comparisons make financial strategies easier to grasp.
🔹 Don’t Delay Planning: Most people don’t create a financial plan until age 52. That’s too late. Start now.
🔹 Voice of the Market > Opinions: Markets don’t care what you think. They respond to data, not feelings.
🔹 Crystal Balls Don’t Work: Be honest with clients. No one can predict the future—but you can prepare for it.
Key Quotes from Adam Koós:
🗣 “Markets don’t care who wins elections—they care about the uncertainty before we know who wins.”
🗣 “Every seven tornado sirens, one touches down. That’s why you still go to the basement.”
🗣 “People don’t abandon their plan because of a bad advisor—they abandon it because they’re in the wrong portfolio.”
🗣 “I’ve got a crystal ball on my desk—but it doesn’t work.”
🗣 “Planning isn’t just for wealthy people. It’s for anyone who doesn’t want to hope their retirement works out.”
🔗 Connect with George and The Aligned Money Show:
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Show Page: Aligned Money Show – https://moneyalignmentacademy.com
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LinkedIn: George G – https://www.linkedin.com/in/georgeg (placeholder – update if needed)
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Website: https://moneyalignmentacademy.com
📣 The ADRENALINE Advisor Brand:
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🔗 Stay Connected with ADRENALINE Advisor:
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Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/adrenaline.advisor
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LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/adrenaline-advisor-consulting/
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Email: [email protected]
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Website: https://www.adrenalineadvisor.com
🔗 Connect with Adam Koós:
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LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/adamkoos/