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Non-Depository Financial Institutions Exposed: Are NDFIs the Next 2008 Crisis? | Between The Lies 012

Between the Lies Podcast

Release Date: 10/27/2025

Boomer Home Equity Crisis: Why Housing Prices Must Fall for America to Recover | Between The Lies 023 show art Boomer Home Equity Crisis: Why Housing Prices Must Fall for America to Recover | Between The Lies 023

Between the Lies Podcast

Trump's team announced you might be able to raid your 401k for a down payment on a house. Sounds like IBC at first glance, right? Not even close.   Welcome to Between The Lies, where Rob Brayton from Perfect Spiral Capital helps me understand why government solutions to government-created problems always make things worse. This week we're tackling Kevin Hassett's proposal to let people withdraw 401k funds for home purchases, and why it's actually a desperation play disguised as help.   What We Cover: Why withdrawing from your 401k kills your future earning capacity permanently ...

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Visa, Mastercard, and the Coming Credit Crunch: Why Rate Caps Could Backfire | Between The Lies 022 show art Visa, Mastercard, and the Coming Credit Crunch: Why Rate Caps Could Backfire | Between The Lies 022

Between the Lies Podcast

I heard a rumor that Trump wants to cap credit card rates at 10%. Personally, I was just thinking it's already too easy to move up economically in America. Not like we have an unaffordability crisis constantly making headlines or anything.   Welcome to another episode where Rob Brayton from Perfect Spiral Capital and I break down another government solution that's likely to create more problems than it solves. Spoiler alert: When you cap what lenders can charge for risk, they just stop lending to risky people.   What We Cover: Why credit card rate caps mean fewer people get credit,...

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Housing Crisis Solution or Bait and Switch? Trump's Single-Family Ban | Between The Lies Podcast 021 show art Housing Crisis Solution or Bait and Switch? Trump's Single-Family Ban | Between The Lies Podcast 021

Between the Lies Podcast

Housing prices are too damn high. You can try Mamdani's approach, or you can try Trump's. Time will tell who's right. My guess is neither.   Welcome to another episode where Rob Brayton from Perfect Spiral Capital and I try to figure out what unforeseen and cataclysmic effects might come from Trump's latest housing market intervention. This week's headline: banning institutional investors like BlackRock from buying single-family homes.   Sounds great on the surface, right? Get the big bad corporations out of residential neighborhoods and maybe regular people can actually afford...

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Infinite Banking in Practice: Perfect Spiral Capital's 2026 Policy Loan Plans | Between The Lies 020 show art Infinite Banking in Practice: Perfect Spiral Capital's 2026 Policy Loan Plans | Between The Lies 020

Between the Lies Podcast

We barely contained ourselves last episode talking policy loans, so naturally we're back at it this week.   Welcome to another episode where Luke Tatum, Rob Brayton from Perfect Spiral Capital, and I dive into exactly how we're putting infinite banking to work in 2025. Not theory. Not sales pitches. Just real examples of what we're actually doing with our policies this year.   What We Cover: Luke's plan: Managing uneven income taxes, floating business expansion costs, and financing his nephew's first car Rob's vision: Launching his own podcast, exploring passive income...

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IBC Year-End Review: How Policy Loans Beat Bank Financing in 2025: Between The Lies 019 show art IBC Year-End Review: How Policy Loans Beat Bank Financing in 2025: Between The Lies 019

Between the Lies Podcast

As we close out 2025, Luke, Rob, and I wanted to do something different. Instead of talking theory, we're sharing exactly what we actually used our policy loans for this year.   Welcome to the Christmas edition of Between The Lies, where we get real about infinite banking in practice. Not the sales pitch version - the actual day-to-day mechanics of how this works when you're running your life and business.   I'll be honest - my policy is tiny. About $50 a month. That's it. But you know what? Once a year, without fail, my car needs something I don't have cash for. And every single...

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One Big Beautiful Bill Act Exposed: Tax Cuts Without Spending Cuts = Theft: Between The Lies 018 show art One Big Beautiful Bill Act Exposed: Tax Cuts Without Spending Cuts = Theft: Between The Lies 018

Between the Lies Podcast

Here we go again. Big tax refunds are on the way, I'm told. Sounds like the money printer is revving up again.   Welcome to another episode where Luke Tatum, Rob Brayton from Perfect Spiral Capital, and I try to make sense of political bribery disguised as tax policy. This week we're tackling Trump's "One Big Beautiful Bill Act" and why your bigger refund check is actually just theft with extra steps.   The pitch sounds great on the surface: expanded standard deductions, no tax on tips or overtime, boosted child tax credits tied to inflation. Everyone gets more money back! Don't you...

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Are Life Insurance Companies Safe? Mutual vs Stock Companies & PE Firm Truth: Between The Lies Episode 017 show art Are Life Insurance Companies Safe? Mutual vs Stock Companies & PE Firm Truth: Between The Lies Episode 017

Between the Lies Podcast

We keep getting asked in the YouTube comments: How are you any type of alternative when life insurance companies still make money off investments? This week's Between The Lies tackles that question head-on with some uncomfortable truths Bloomberg doesn't want you to understand. Luke and Rob break down a recent Bloomberg article warning about private equity firms creating "credit hazards" in retirement funds. The article highlights companies like Apollo Group and Athene taking risky leveraged positions with your money. But here's what Bloomberg conveniently omits: They're talking about...

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Markets Without Memory: Investing When Big Tech Has No Track Record | Between The Lies 016 show art Markets Without Memory: Investing When Big Tech Has No Track Record | Between The Lies 016

Between the Lies Podcast

Welcome back to Between The Lies, where we navigate economic uncertainty with Austrian economics and practical wealth strategies. I'm Nicky P, joined by Luke Tatum and Rob Brayton from Perfect Spiral Capital.   This week we tackle something that should terrify every investor: what happens when the people you trust to predict market behavior can only shrug? Nvidia and Alphabet together make up 13% of the S&P 500. Bitcoin ranks third in global market cap. These aren't century-old companies with predictable patterns. We're literally older than significant portions of the market we're...

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Trump's 50-Year vs FDR's 30-Year Mortgage: Why Bigger Isn't Better | Between The Lies 015 show art Trump's 50-Year vs FDR's 30-Year Mortgage: Why Bigger Isn't Better | Between The Lies 015

Between the Lies Podcast

Trump just announced 50-year mortgages to "fix" the housing crisis. His logic? If FDR's 30-year mortgages were good, then 50-year mortgages must be better. Bigger number equals better, right? Wrong. In this episode, Luke Tatum and Rob Brayton from Perfect Spiral Capital break down the mathematical reality behind Trump's latest intervention. The numbers are brutal: After 10 years of payments on a 50-year mortgage, 93% of your money goes to interest. You'd have just 7% equity in your home. You don't hit the 50/50 point—where your payment is equally split between principal and...

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Washington's SNAP Shackles: When Foreign Aid Trumps Your Groceries |  Between The Lies 014 show art Washington's SNAP Shackles: When Foreign Aid Trumps Your Groceries | Between The Lies 014

Between the Lies Podcast

Welcome to day 36 of the "apocalypse" - also known as the longest government shutdown in US history. Except nothing actually collapsed. Parks closed while we sent billions overseas. SNAP benefits are being held hostage while Congress gets paid. It's almost like they're using your groceries as a political weapon.   Luke Tatum & Rob Brayton from Perfect Spiral Capital, and myself break down the strangest hostage crisis in American history - where 42 million people (34% of which are children) get caught in the crossfire between politicians arguing about which subsidies matter more....

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Welcome back to Between The Lies, where we drag financial crises out of the shadows before they destroy your wealth. I'm Nicky P, and I'm joined by the money truth-tellers at Perfect Spiral Capital - Luke Tatum and Rob Brayton.
 
This week we're getting way outside my depth, but what I keep hearing in all this noise is we are right at the precipice of another huge financial crisis. The question isn't if - it's when, and are you ready?
 
What We Cover:
  • What NDFIs actually are (and why they're not automatically evil)
  • How Chase Bank just wrote off $150 billion in bad NDFI loans
  • Why this feels like 2008's subprime crisis all over again
  • The Dodd-Frank bail-in rules that let banks take YOUR deposits
  • Why FDIC insurance won't save you this time
  • How decades of low interest rates created this mess
Key Takeaways: Rob breaks down non-depository financial institutions - companies like Visa and PayPal, but also the risky subset doing subprime mortgages and sketchy car loans. Luke exposes the bail-in reality: when the next crisis hits, banks won't use taxpayer money. They'll use YOUR deposits to recapitalize themselves. That's the actual law now.
We also tackle the uncomfortable math: If Chase is writing off $150 billion, what's happening at smaller institutions? Where there's smoke, there's fire, and these odd ripples in the NDFI space should have everyone paying attention.
 
The Reality Check: Corporate greed isn't the problem - it's a feature of the system. You have a legal obligation to maximize shareholder returns. Banks have to chase higher yields when rates are artificially low. And when it all comes crashing down? Government bails out Wall Street, not Main Street. We saw this movie in 2008.
But here's the empowering part: You're the only person who's going to look out for you. The buck stops with you. Big daddy government isn't coming to save you - they're going to bail out their friends while you lose everything.
 
Perfect Spiral Capital Insight: Rob emphasizes why he does what he does - to help people build insulation from these crises. Luke reveals the opportunity: a lot of millionaires were made in 2008 by people with dry powder ready to deploy. If you have capital in a safe place (and I'm not talking about a bank), you can capitalize on crisis while others panic.
 
The silver lining? If you know this is coming, you can position yourself now. Get your money out of banks beyond what you need for daily operations. Build capital reserves in insurance companies that profited during 2008. Be ready to buy when others are selling.
 
Ready to stop being a victim of the next financial crisis? Visit PerfectSpiralCapital.com/podcast for their free toolkit on protecting and growing your wealth regardless of what Wall Street does.