#73: Quarterly Edge – Q3 2025: Liberation Day to Bond Stability
Release Date: 07/01/2025
Blue Chip FM
Want to learn more about our long-term approach during volatile markets? bluechippartners.com/contact Markets have been anything but calm lately, with investors navigating a sharp rise in volatility driven by geopolitics, tariff rhetoric, central bank scrutiny, and shifting sentiment. In this episode of Blue Chip NOW!, the team breaks down five stories impacting global markets—from renewed tariff threats tied to geopolitical tensions, to surging demand for gold and other perceived safe-haven assets. The conversation emphasizes how headline-driven markets can distort short-term...
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Learn more about our perspectives on markets, policy developments, and long-term planning: www.bluechippartners.com Markets started 2026 at record highs, but the biggest conversations this week are coming straight from Washington. In this episode of Blue Chip NOW!, we break down how President Trump’s latest headlines are influencing financial markets — including renewed scrutiny of the Federal Reserve, proposed restrictions on defense contractor dividends and buybacks, and a potential ban on large institutional investors purchasing single-family homes. We discuss how markets appear to...
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👉 Need help making sense of today’s markets? In this episode, the team walks through a timely Thanksgiving-week market update covering U.S. equities, Federal Reserve expectations, cryptocurrency volatility, and international market performance. The conversation begins with the sharp move higher in equities—powered largely by the AI theme and companies such as Alphabet. They discuss the tension between AI-driven enthusiasm and the macro tug-of-war created by evolving interest-rate expectations. The hosts emphasize how today’s...
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Volatility happens. Preparation is what counts. Connect with Blue Chip: In this episode of Blue Chip NOW!, Daniel Dusina, CFA, Matt Mondoux, CFA, CMT, CFP®, and Daniel Seder, CFA, CMT, CFP® dive into the recent turbulence across markets, especially among artificial intelligence and big tech stocks. The team discusses how AI-linked giants like Nvidia, Meta, and Oracle collectively shed $800 billion in value over one week — signaling that investor optimism around endless AI growth might be tempering. The team weighs whether this volatility is simply a natural “hiccup” in a fast-moving...
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Spend Confidently. Live without Regret: https://www.bluechippartners.com In this episode of Blue Chip Now, hosts Daniel Dusina, CFA, Matt Mondoux, CFA, CMT, CFP®, and Dan Seder, CFA, CMT, CFP® dive into the latest market shifts sparked by renewed U.S.-China trade tensions. The team discusses how President Trump’s floated 100% tariffs on China rattled markets, the psychology behind investor reactions, and why certain sectors are more exposed than others. They explore how political rhetoric, corporate earnings, and sentiment cycles all shape short-term volatility — and why markets may be...
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Spend Confidently. Live without Regret: In this edition of Blue Chip NOW! Quarterly Edge, Chief Investment Officer Daniel Dusina and Managing Partner Dan Seder break down the state of the U.S. economy, markets, and what could be ahead for investors. They highlight the economy’s surprising resilience, with GDP growth revised up to 3.8%, supported by strong consumer spending and healthy balance sheets—even as labor market softness emerges. Inflation has ticked higher, but with the Fed cutting rates to support employment, the challenge is avoiding a rebound in price pressures. The...
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Spend Confidently. Live without Regret: The Federal Reserve met on September 17 — and markets expect a 25 basis point rate cut. But will the Fed deliver? In this episode of Blue Chip Now, we break down interest rate expectations, inflation concerns, and what the dot plot tells us about the rest of 2025. We also cover: • Why $7 trillion in money market funds could shake up equities and bonds 💵 • Nvidia facing antitrust scrutiny in China amid trade negotiations 🇨🇳 • Musk’s $1B Tesla stock buy — confidence or just a headline? 🚗⚡ • Investor sentiment, market risks, and...
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In this edition of the Blue Chip NOW! Quarterly Edge, Daniel Dusina, CFA, and Dan Seder, CFA, CMT, CFP® unpack the complex economic landscape heading into the second half of 2025. They highlight how uncertainty — driven primarily by unresolved tariff developments — is affecting not only investor sentiment but also labor market behaviors. Notably, data shows that job-switchers are no longer seeing significantly higher wage growth compared to those staying with the same employer, indicating a broad shift in corporate caution and workforce dynamics.
The episode also explores rising U.S. debt levels relative to GDP and why perception—not just the math—matters most when it comes to financial system risk. Shifting gears to the stock market, the hosts reflect on the post-Liberation Day sell-off, sector-specific volatility, and the persistent influence of geopolitical tensions like the Israel-Iran conflict. They close by discussing the resilience of the bond market, noting that higher yields and sustained foreign investment suggest an enduring value proposition for fixed income allocations.
Individual views and opinions expressed in the podcast, article, or other media included herein may not necessarily reflect the views and opinions of Blue Chip Partners, LLC. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not intended to provide and should not be relied on for individualized financial, tax, legal or accounting advice. You should consult your own professional financial, tax, legal, accounting, or equivalent advisers prior to making any investment decision. All investments involve a degree of risk, including the risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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Dan Seder: https://www.bluechippartners.com/about/our-team/daniel-seder/
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Timestamps:
00:00:00 — Welcome & Episode Overview - Introduction to this quarter’s market review: economy, stocks, and bonds.
00:01:12 — The Economic Outlook for 2025 - Why 2025 has been defined by information overload and lingering uncertainty.
00:02:39 — Job Switching No Longer Pays - New data reveals that wage incentives for job-hoppers have declined dramatically.
00:03:27 — Quits Rate & Corporate Caution - Employers and employees alike are “hunkering down” amid economic ambiguity.
00:04:41 — Tariff Overhang and Prolonged Uncertainty - How unresolved tariff policies are freezing confidence and outlooks.
00:05:55 — Debt-to-GDP: A Perception Game - U.S. debt isn’t a mechanical risk—until perception makes it one.
00:08:32 — The Three Safety Factors for U.S. Debt - Why interest rates, GDP growth, and foreign demand are key to debt stability.
00:10:11 — Stock Market Volatility Post-Tariffs - Liberation Day triggered a wide sell-off—was it justified?
00:12:28 — Tech Recovery & Market Expectations - Are we in a bubble or just climbing back to fair value?
00:14:27 — S&P 500: Cap-Weighted vs. Equal-Weighted - An analysis suggesting the market may be unevenly priced, based on recent economic indicators and trends.
00:15:56— Middle East Conflict & Oil Prices - How geopolitical tensions in Iran/Israel affect oil—and possibly your portfolio.
00:17:42 — Oil Shocks & Historical S&P Performance - Surprising data: markets often recover or thrive after oil spikes.
00:18:33 — Bond Market Stability & Opportunity - Despite concerns about tariffs, higher yields and stable demand potential opportunities in bonds. 00:20:03 – Bond Market Resilience Post-Liberation Day
00:22:18 – Tariff Fallout Fails to Deter Foreign Demand