16 - Preparing for Debate AI with Geoffrey Irving
AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
Release Date: 07/01/2022
AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
Road lines, street lights, and licence plates are examples of infrastructure used to ensure that roads operate smoothly. In this episode, Alan Chan talks about using similar interventions to help avoid bad outcomes from the deployment of AI agents. Patreon: Ko-fi: The transcript: FAR.AI: FAR.AI on X (aka Twitter): FAR.AI on YouTube: The Alignment Workshop: Topics we discuss, and timestamps: 01:02 - How the Alignment Workshop is 01:32 - Agent infrastructure 04:57 - Why agent infrastructure 07:54 - A trichotomy of agent infrastructure 13:59 - Agent IDs 18:17 - Agent channels...
info_outline 38.0 - Zhijing Jin on LLMs, Causality, and Multi-Agent SystemsAXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
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info_outline 37 - Jaime Sevilla on AI ForecastingAXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
Epoch AI is the premier organization that tracks the trajectory of AI - how much compute is used, the role of algorithmic improvements, the growth in data used, and when the above trends might hit an end. In this episode, I speak with the director of Epoch AI, Jaime Sevilla, about how compute, data, and algorithmic improvements are impacting AI, and whether continuing to scale can get us AGI. Patreon: Ko-fi: The transcript: Topics we discuss, and timestamps: 0:00:38 - The pace of AI progress 0:07:49 - How Epoch AI tracks AI compute 0:11:44 - Why does AI compute grow so smoothly?...
info_outline 36 - Adam Shai and Paul Riechers on Computational MechanicsAXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
Sometimes, people talk about transformers as having "world models" as a result of being trained to predict text data on the internet. But what does this even mean? In this episode, I talk with Adam Shai and Paul Riechers about their work applying computational mechanics, a sub-field of physics studying how to predict random processes, to neural networks. Patreon: Ko-fi: The transcript: Topics we discuss, and timestamps: 0:00:42 - What computational mechanics is 0:29:49 - Computational mechanics vs other approaches 0:36:16 - What world models are 0:48:41 - Fractals 0:57:43 - How the...
info_outline New Patreon tiers + MATS applicationsAXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
Patreon: MATS: Note: I'm employed by MATS, but they're not paying me to make this video.
info_outline 35 - Peter Hase on LLM Beliefs and Easy-to-Hard GeneralizationAXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
How do we figure out what large language models believe? In fact, do they even have beliefs? Do those beliefs have locations, and if so, can we edit those locations to change the beliefs? Also, how are we going to get AI to perform tasks so hard that we can't figure out if they succeeded at them? In this episode, I chat with Peter Hase about his research into these questions. Patreon: Ko-fi: The transcript: Topics we discuss, and timestamps: 0:00:36 - NLP and interpretability 0:10:20 - Interpretability lessons 0:32:22 - Belief interpretability 1:00:12 - Localizing and editing models'...
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What's the difference between a large language model and the human brain? And what's wrong with our theories of agency? In this episode, I chat about these questions with Jan Kulveit, who leads the Alignment of Complex Systems research group. Patreon: Ko-fi: The transcript: Topics we discuss, and timestamps: 0:00:47 - What is active inference? 0:15:14 - Preferences in active inference 0:31:33 - Action vs perception in active inference 0:46:07 - Feedback loops 1:01:32 - Active inference vs LLMs 1:12:04 - Hierarchical agency 1:58:28 - The Alignment of Complex Systems group Website of...
info_outline 31 - Singular Learning Theory with Daniel MurfetAXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast
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info_outlineMany people in the AI alignment space have heard of AI safety via debate - check out AXRP episode 6 (axrp.net/episode/2021/04/08/episode-6-debate-beth-barnes.html) if you need a primer. But how do we get language models to the stage where they can usefully implement debate? In this episode, I talk to Geoffrey Irving about the role of language models in AI safety, as well as three projects he's done that get us closer to making debate happen: using language models to find flaws in themselves, getting language models to back up claims they make with citations, and figuring out how uncertain language models should be about the quality of various answers.
Topics we discuss, and timestamps:
- 00:00:48 - Status update on AI safety via debate
- 00:10:24 - Language models and AI safety
- 00:19:34 - Red teaming language models with language models
- 00:35:31 - GopherCite
- 00:49:10 - Uncertainty Estimation for Language Reward Models
- 01:00:26 - Following Geoffrey's work, and working with him
The transcript: axrp.net/episode/2022/07/01/episode-16-preparing-for-debate-ai-geoffrey-irving.html
Geoffrey's twitter: twitter.com/geoffreyirving
Research we discuss:
- Red Teaming Language Models With Language Models: arxiv.org/abs/2202.03286
- Teaching Language Models to Support Answers with Verified Quotes, aka GopherCite: arxiv.org/abs/2203.11147
- Uncertainty Estimation for Language Reward Models: arxiv.org/abs/2203.07472
- AI Safety via Debate: arxiv.org/abs/1805.00899
- Writeup: progress on AI safety via debate: lesswrong.com/posts/Br4xDbYu4Frwrb64a/writeup-progress-on-ai-safety-via-debate-1
- Eliciting Latent Knowledge: ai-alignment.com/eliciting-latent-knowledge-f977478608fc
- Training Compute-Optimal Large Language Models, aka Chinchilla: arxiv.org/abs/2203.15556