Are We in a Bubble? | Top 10 Companies by Decade | Gold Historic Return YTD | Performance During Government Shutdowns
Release Date: 10/06/2025
Previewing Apple Meta Microsoft Google Earnings & Implied Volatility | Metals Rocking | Record Option Volumes | Greenland Volatility Pop | Bonds vs Gold
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about how it seems every metal is surging including Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, and what else? Plus, Shane reports on the options conference and record option volumes. Oh, and did the market and volatility overreact to Greenland? It lasted all of one day. Oh, we have a big earnings week coming so what is the options market predicting for earnings moves? Big earnings week Implied volatility of most of the Mag 7 pre-earnings Record options contract volumes Greenland market event that lasted all of one day Volatility...
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Commodity Boom? | Energy Stocks Running | Tariffs Don’t Matter? | Market Broadening| Earnings Season is Here
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether the tariffs matter to the market anymore. Plus, energy stocks break out even though oil is still below $60. Later, how we continue to see broadening in participation of the bull market beyond the mag 7 stocks. Of course, earnings season is starting and in the end earnings matter above all else. Earnings matter in the long run XOM Exxon some back Energy stocks no longer hibernating How stocks can do well even if the underlying commodity isn’t Commodity next boom? Does the Fed theoretically use taxpayer funds...
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High Valuation Ok? | Midterm Year Performance | Supreme Court Tariff Ruling | Google’s Number 2 | Payrolls
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether higher valuations are warranted based on rising profit margins. Then, they think about whether the upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariffs matters for the market. Later, they discussed Google passing Apple for the #2 highest valued company in the S&P 500 Index, midterm election years performance vs other years, regression channels in the S&P 500 Index, payroll numbers, interest rates, and even copper prices. Midterm year performance vs other presidential cycle years Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs and...
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2026 Stock Market Predictions Show | Big Winners 2025 | Outliers and Consensus | Gold, Rates, Markets, Economy, Bitcoin, The Dollar & More
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner, Mike Snyder, and yup Jay Pestrichelli makes an appearance to give our 2026 predictions. Where will markets, the economy, gold, the dollar, the fed, interest rates, bitcoin, recession, oil, bitcoin and much more plus a look back at who got 2025 right. 2026 Year End S&P 500 Index Targets VIX high for 2026 10 Year Treasury predictions Where will Bitcoin end 2026? Where will Oil, Gold, & the US Dollar End land in 2026? Outliers amongst the group and some consensus Why you shouldn’t trade off these Why committing to strategies rather than...
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Santa Claus Rally | Silver Goes Parabolic | S&P 500 Growth Due to Earnings & Multiple | International Stocks Rocking
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to talk about silver prices going parabolic while Gold, Copper, Platinum, and other metals are clocking in gains. Does the rally continue? They, they look at how well international markets have done crushing the S&P 500 Index this year where Spain’s IBEX 35 and South Korea’s KOSPI are the top dogs that no one saw coming. Later, they discussed the attribution to gains this year including how much it is due to earnings growth vs the growth of the forward PE multiple. Finally, discussing how much the S&P 500 Index companies’ turnover (and have...
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What if Bitcoin Goes Nowhere? | No Inflation | TSLA Volatility & SpaceX | Gold vs Bitcoin | Japan 10YR Yields
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI report and the bad beat for analysts. Then, they talk Bitcoin and what if it goes sideways for the next 5 years? Later, looking at Tesla TSLA implied volatility and whether SpaceX is creeping into its price plus how a small ETF is gaining flows because of a small allocation to SpaceX. We’ll also talk sector performance YTD in 2025, Bitcoin vs gold searches, and yup, a little Japan talk looking at their 10 year yields surging across 2% for the first time in a while and whether this is an issue. Gold vs...
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$1 million Now vs $1000 a Week for Life | Wall Street Prediction Cycle | Markets Go Up More Than Average | Goldilocks Markets | Apple’s Resilience
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to ask if you would rather have a $1 million lump sum vs $1000 per week for life if you won the lotter. Then, looking at some of the incoming 2026 Wall Steet year end S&P 500 Index targets. Don’t forget we’ll do our own 2026 prediction show. Later, Apple seems to be bucking the AI spend and its price has been resilient in 2025, so what goes right or wrong in 2026? Plus, how markets go up over time but more specifically, in years they are up it’s likely they are up more than average. Apple bet not to go all in on...
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Can’t Be a Bubble Without? | Contrarian Signal Consumer Sentiment Hits a Low | Gold vs Stocks | Earnings Guidance Rises
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Jurrien Timmer’s chart showing we aren’t in a bubble because the rise in markets is due to earnings not multiple gains. Plus, U of Michigan consumer sentiment hits a new low despite markets near all-time highs. Later, is Japan’s rise in interest rates a problem for stocks, bonds, or neither? Finally, looking at the returns of gold vs stocks plus surprising forward P/E ratio of Walmart vs Nvidia. Gold vs Stocks performance Jurrien Timmer’s market return attributions comparing earnings vs valuation gains Bubble...
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Small Caps Telling Us Rate Cuts | It’s Not Just the Mag 7 Near All-Time Highs | Fear & Greed Index Disconnect | HOPE Economic Sequence
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the coming Fed decision and what the market is telling us. Plus, CNN’s Fear and Greed Index is almost at extreme fear so why are most markets near all-time highs? Then, looking at the economy through the lens of Michael Kantro’s HOPE theory and whether the recent ADP employment report is giving mixed messages. All this and more this week. HOPE = Housing Orders Profits Employment Russell 2000 Cup or Vase with Handle pattern? Fed interest rate cut now at 94% probability Are small caps telling us more rate cuts...
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Nvidia Saves the Market? | Fed Cut Whisperers | MSCI to Dump Strategy? | Sentiment vs the Market
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Nvidia’s moves post earnings and whether the options market got it right. Then, what would happen if MSCI removes Strategy and index funds must liquidate? Later, did the Fed just say they are cutting without saying they are cutting? Plus, has sentiment ever been this bad near all-time highs? MSCI might dump MicroStrategy | Strategy from its index Fed enters the blackout period before their meeting Probability of an interest rate cut Did buying or selling the at-the-money Nvidia straddle work post earnings? Looking at...
info_outlineDerek Moore is joined by Mike Syder this week to talk about market performance during government shutdowns, gold’s historic YTD performance, and looking at how much turnover there is within the top 10 companies in the S&P 500 index. Plus, is ChatGPT causing a divergence in job growth since its release? Later, we discuss the increasing talk about whether we are in a bubble.
Is the stock market in a Bubble?
Gold’s YTD performance is in record territory
ChatGPT as a jobs killer
Government shutdowns and market performance
Typical length of government shutdowns
Full vs partial shut downs
14th strongest September S&P 500 Index return since 1950 so now what?
Who will replace EA Sports in the S&P 500 Index?
New companies join the S&P 500 Index including RobinHood and AppLovin
Mentioned in this Episode
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com