PE Contraction | Salesforce vs Exxon | Nvidia is Cheap? | Volatility Skew | PPI Beats
Release Date: 03/01/2026
Broken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how a strong dollar, high oil prices, and the normal midterm year market cycle are dominating the talk around the stock market. If there was no Iran conflict, would the market be in the same spot? Later, looking at the options markets on Micron before next week’s earnings. Finally, why the Strait of Hormuz is causing supply issues. Straight of Hormuz oil tanker conundrum Oil and the US Dollar jump and why it may not be good news for earnings Implied Volatility on Micron Pricing the long and short straddles on Micron...
info_outlineBroken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to riff on volatility surging including VIX and VVIX. What volatility changes mean to market makers having to sell or buy more shares to hedge. Later, examine the largest 1 week surge in oil historically and where last week ranks. Plus, asking if OpenAI will wind up being the winner or more like Netscape. All this and more this week. OpenAI vs other AI companies as the eventual winner Explaining what VVIX is in relation to the VIX Why changes in volatility cause market makers to have to sell or buy shares of underlying Energy sector...
info_outlineBroken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to explain how the market just got cheaper on a forward valuation standpoint. Plus, how Nvidia EPS estimates reached a new all-time high while the stock trends sideways. Later, comparing Salesforce and Exxon, where they look at a multiple expansion vs a multiple contraction. Finally, they delve into an increase in the near-term volatility skew, and the hot PPI numbers. What is volatility skew Salesforce vs Exxon Nvidia goes sideways even though earnings and sales estimates reach new highs What does it me when stocks forward multiples contract...
info_outlineBroken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs and the market reaction. Plus, looking at what the options market is predicting for Nvidia post earnings moves. Later, WTI oil prices moving higher, did the energy sector bull run predict this? Finally, breaking down the GDP release and whether the baring the government shutdown, GDP would have been higher. All this and more this week. GDP release and breakdown No inflation from tariffs Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs What other justifications Trump admin can use to still impose tariffs...
info_outlineBroken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI release and how there isn’t any evidence that tariffs are causing any issues with inflation. So, does this mean the Fed has a green light to cut rates? As the market broadens, you might be surprised what sectors are leading and hint, it’s not tech. CPI Inflation report No inflation from tariffs Fed interest rate cuts Mag 7 passes the baton to energy, materials, and staples Nvidia earnings are coming up so what does the implied volatility say at this point? Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore’s book Broken...
info_outlineBroken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to chat about the meltdown in bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy $MSTR). Why would investors choose MSTR over just Bitcoin? The enterprise value vs market value of its Bitcoin holdings. Later, The Mag 7 aren’t all acting alike as Apple is surging while Microsoft is in a bear market. Later, is volatility too high given we are so close to the previous all-time high in the S&P 500 Index? Bitcoin vs Strategy Bitcoin melts down Strategy $MSTR enterprise value vs the value of its Bitcoin holdings Apple vs Microsoft Why...
info_outlineBroken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner this week to discuss the parabolic moves in silver and gold including the record amount of trading. Plus, was PPI a big deal or no problem? Later, looking at the forward valuations of Walmart vs Nvidia in a hypothetical game of which one would you rather hold? You could also flip a coin which would be as good as any analysis. Meanwhile, earnings estimates have ticked higher while the S&P 500 Index moved lower, illustrating a multiple contraction in the forward PE ratio. Silver and Gold go parabolic Record trading volumes in silver and gold...
info_outlineBroken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about how it seems every metal is surging including Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, and what else? Plus, Shane reports on the options conference and record option volumes. Oh, and did the market and volatility overreact to Greenland? It lasted all of one day. Oh, we have a big earnings week coming so what is the options market predicting for earnings moves? Big earnings week Implied volatility of most of the Mag 7 pre-earnings Record options contract volumes Greenland market event that lasted all of one day Volatility...
info_outlineBroken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether the tariffs matter to the market anymore. Plus, energy stocks break out even though oil is still below $60. Later, how we continue to see broadening in participation of the bull market beyond the mag 7 stocks. Of course, earnings season is starting and in the end earnings matter above all else. Earnings matter in the long run XOM Exxon some back Energy stocks no longer hibernating How stocks can do well even if the underlying commodity isn’t Commodity next boom? Does the Fed theoretically use taxpayer funds...
info_outlineBroken Pie Chart
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether higher valuations are warranted based on rising profit margins. Then, they think about whether the upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariffs matters for the market. Later, they discussed Google passing Apple for the #2 highest valued company in the S&P 500 Index, midterm election years performance vs other years, regression channels in the S&P 500 Index, payroll numbers, interest rates, and even copper prices. Midterm year performance vs other presidential cycle years Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs and...
info_outlineDerek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to explain how the market just got cheaper on a forward valuation standpoint. Plus, how Nvidia EPS estimates reached a new all-time high while the stock trends sideways. Later, comparing Salesforce and Exxon, where they look at a multiple expansion vs a multiple contraction. Finally, they delve into an increase in the near-term volatility skew, and the hot PPI numbers.
What is volatility skew
Salesforce vs Exxon
Nvidia goes sideways even though earnings and sales estimates reach new highs
What does it me when stocks forward multiples contract (rerate)
Getting into the PPI release
Mentioned in this Episode
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com