Tariff Tumble | Historical Anomaly Gold vs Oil | Buying Opportunity or Continuation of Weakness? | Volatility Ahead of SCOTUS Tariff Hearing
Release Date: 10/13/2025
Oil the Dollar and Rates | Normal Midterm Year Market | Micron Earnings Implied Volatility | There Is Always Something to Worry About
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Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how a strong dollar, high oil prices, and the normal midterm year market cycle are dominating the talk around the stock market. If there was no Iran conflict, would the market be in the same spot? Later, looking at the options markets on Micron before next week’s earnings. Finally, why the Strait of Hormuz is causing supply issues. Straight of Hormuz oil tanker conundrum Oil and the US Dollar jump and why it may not be good news for earnings Implied Volatility on Micron Pricing the long and short straddles on Micron...
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OpenAI the Next Netscape? | VVIX Surge | Is This the End of the Selloff? | Oil Goes Parabolic This Week
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Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to riff on volatility surging including VIX and VVIX. What volatility changes mean to market makers having to sell or buy more shares to hedge. Later, examine the largest 1 week surge in oil historically and where last week ranks. Plus, asking if OpenAI will wind up being the winner or more like Netscape. All this and more this week. OpenAI vs other AI companies as the eventual winner Explaining what VVIX is in relation to the VIX Why changes in volatility cause market makers to have to sell or buy shares of underlying Energy sector...
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PE Contraction | Salesforce vs Exxon | Nvidia is Cheap? | Volatility Skew | PPI Beats
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Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to explain how the market just got cheaper on a forward valuation standpoint. Plus, how Nvidia EPS estimates reached a new all-time high while the stock trends sideways. Later, comparing Salesforce and Exxon, where they look at a multiple expansion vs a multiple contraction. Finally, they delve into an increase in the near-term volatility skew, and the hot PPI numbers. What is volatility skew Salesforce vs Exxon Nvidia goes sideways even though earnings and sales estimates reach new highs What does it me when stocks forward multiples contract...
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GDP Breakdown | Tariffs Not Going Away | Nvidia Earnings | Oil Moving Higher | Market Likes Tariff Ruling?
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Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs and the market reaction. Plus, looking at what the options market is predicting for Nvidia post earnings moves. Later, WTI oil prices moving higher, did the energy sector bull run predict this? Finally, breaking down the GDP release and whether the baring the government shutdown, GDP would have been higher. All this and more this week. GDP release and breakdown No inflation from tariffs Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs What other justifications Trump admin can use to still impose tariffs...
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Still No CPI Inflation from Tariffs | Interest Rate Cuts Coming | Surprising Sectors Leading Market | All Eyes on Nvidia Earnings & Implied Volatilty
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Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI release and how there isn’t any evidence that tariffs are causing any issues with inflation. So, does this mean the Fed has a green light to cut rates? As the market broadens, you might be surprised what sectors are leading and hint, it’s not tech. CPI Inflation report No inflation from tariffs Fed interest rate cuts Mag 7 passes the baton to energy, materials, and staples Nvidia earnings are coming up so what does the implied volatility say at this point? Mentioned in this Episode Derek Moore’s book Broken...
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Bitcoin & Strategy $MSTR Meltdown | Apple is Up While Microsoft Bear Market | VIX Too High With Market Within ATH
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Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to chat about the meltdown in bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy $MSTR). Why would investors choose MSTR over just Bitcoin? The enterprise value vs market value of its Bitcoin holdings. Later, The Mag 7 aren’t all acting alike as Apple is surging while Microsoft is in a bear market. Later, is volatility too high given we are so close to the previous all-time high in the S&P 500 Index? Bitcoin vs Strategy Bitcoin melts down Strategy $MSTR enterprise value vs the value of its Bitcoin holdings Apple vs Microsoft Why...
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Parabolic Silver and Gold | Mini Multiple Contraction | Nvidia vs Walmart | Earnings Estimates Growing
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Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner this week to discuss the parabolic moves in silver and gold including the record amount of trading. Plus, was PPI a big deal or no problem? Later, looking at the forward valuations of Walmart vs Nvidia in a hypothetical game of which one would you rather hold? You could also flip a coin which would be as good as any analysis. Meanwhile, earnings estimates have ticked higher while the S&P 500 Index moved lower, illustrating a multiple contraction in the forward PE ratio. Silver and Gold go parabolic Record trading volumes in silver and gold...
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Previewing Apple Meta Microsoft Google Earnings & Implied Volatility | Metals Rocking | Record Option Volumes | Greenland Volatility Pop | Bonds vs Gold
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Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about how it seems every metal is surging including Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, and what else? Plus, Shane reports on the options conference and record option volumes. Oh, and did the market and volatility overreact to Greenland? It lasted all of one day. Oh, we have a big earnings week coming so what is the options market predicting for earnings moves? Big earnings week Implied volatility of most of the Mag 7 pre-earnings Record options contract volumes Greenland market event that lasted all of one day Volatility...
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Commodity Boom? | Energy Stocks Running | Tariffs Don’t Matter? | Market Broadening| Earnings Season is Here
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Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether the tariffs matter to the market anymore. Plus, energy stocks break out even though oil is still below $60. Later, how we continue to see broadening in participation of the bull market beyond the mag 7 stocks. Of course, earnings season is starting and in the end earnings matter above all else. Earnings matter in the long run XOM Exxon some back Energy stocks no longer hibernating How stocks can do well even if the underlying commodity isn’t Commodity next boom? Does the Fed theoretically use taxpayer funds...
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High Valuation Ok? | Midterm Year Performance | Supreme Court Tariff Ruling | Google’s Number 2 | Payrolls
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Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether higher valuations are warranted based on rising profit margins. Then, they think about whether the upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariffs matters for the market. Later, they discussed Google passing Apple for the #2 highest valued company in the S&P 500 Index, midterm election years performance vs other years, regression channels in the S&P 500 Index, payroll numbers, interest rates, and even copper prices. Midterm year performance vs other presidential cycle years Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs and...
info_outlineDerek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to talk about Friday’s tumble in stocks after the 100% China tariffs were announced. More to come or another buying opportunity? Plus, looking at the anomaly of gold being up but oil being down in the same year. Market doesn’t care about the government shutdown. Volatility brewing through the Nov 5th Supreme Court tariff review?
100% Tariffs proposed on China
Stocks finally have a bad day
SCOTUS (Supreme Court of the United States) upcoming tariff hearing on November 5th
Gold up but oil down so is that a historical anomaly?
Is this another buy the dip opportunity or will we see weakness continue?
Affect of market maker positioning in stock prices due to selloff and rise in volatility
We were due based upon research showing one of longest streaks ever without 3% pullback
Why we hedge
Mentioned in this Episode
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com