Low Inflation. Weak Rupee. Falling Stocks. What’s REALLY Going On?
Capitalmind with Deepak & Shray
Release Date: 01/28/2026
Capitalmind with Deepak & Shray
Is India really becoming uninvestable, or are investors missing the bigger picture? In this episode of the Capitalmind Podcast, Shray Chandra, Co-founder at Capitalmind Financial Services, speaks with Deepak Shenoy, Founder and CEO, Capitalmind Mutual Fund, about the current pessimism around Indian markets and whether we may be approaching a point of peak pessimism. The discussion covers: • Why investors are bearish on India right now • The bear case around the rupee, crude oil, gold imports, FPI outflows and AI disruption • Lessons from previous market crises in 2002, 2009, 2013, 2020...
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What's the deal with AI? Can it manage your money? Can it make you rich? Artificial Intelligence is changing much more than how we invest. It could fundamentally reshape careers, incomes, financial advice and the way we build wealth. In this episode of the Capitalmind Podcast, Shray Chandra, Co-founder at Capitalmind Financial Services, speaks with Deepak Shenoy, Founder & CEO of Capitalmind Mutual Fund, and Vashistha Iyer, Executive Director, Capitalmind Mutual Fund, about one of the biggest questions facing investors today: Can AI optimize your investments - and what happens if it...
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Most investors obsess over finding the best mutual fund to invest in. But what if avoiding the worst fund matters far more than picking the absolute best? In this episode, host Shrey Chandra sits down with Deepak Shenoy (Founder & CEO, Capitalmind Mutual Fund) and Anoop Vijaykumar (Head of Equity & Fund Manager, Capitalmind Mutual Fund) to tackle one of the most searched questions in personal finance: how to pick mutual funds that actually deliver long-term returns — without constantly second-guessing your choices. Using 10 years of FlexiCap fund data across 18 funds, they reveal...
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Shray sits down with Deepak Shenoy from Capitalmind to unpack the real playbook for NRIs thinking about investing in India — the taxes, the paperwork, the returns, and the traps nobody warns you about. What we uncover: The 3 types of NRIs who should invest in India — and the ones who absolutely shouldn't. Why patriotism and FOMO are the worst investment strategies. The real return math: 12% in rupees, ~8% in dollars after currency depreciation — and why falling inflation could change this equation entirely. Stocks vs. mutual funds vs. real estate: Why your passport decides your...
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India is reporting 8%+ GDP growth and cooling inflation, yet stock market returns are muted, the rupee continues to weaken, and everyday expenses feel anything but stable. So which reality should we trust? In this episode, Deepak and Shray unpack the contradictions shaping India’s economy today. From headline vs core inflation to GDP data quality, rupee depreciation, and why markets aren’t rewarding growth, they connect macro numbers to lived experience. A nuanced, data-driven conversation on what truly lies beneath the headlines and what it means for investors, policy watchers, and...
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Shray sits down with Deepak Shenoy from Capitalmind to expose how proxy advisors, index manufacturers, credit rating agencies, and one costly habit are secretly making decisions about your investments. What we uncover: Proxy Advisors: How Glass Lewis and ISS voted against Elon Musk's $1 trillion Tesla package—and why their word has become gospel for fund managers managing your money Index Manufacturers: Why NSE and BSE make subjective calls in supposedly "objective" indices. The HDFC-HDFC Bank merger and Reliance-Jio demerger reveal they're acting more like fund managers than neutral...
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For 17 years, Deepak Shenoy has made annual Diwali predictions about markets, crashes, interest rates, and more. But how many were actually right? Shray sits down with Deepak Shenoy from Capitalmind to examine his prediction history from 2007 to 2024. He correctly called the 2008 crash and Trump's 2024 victory. But real estate and gold? Wrong almost every year. We break down why most predictions fail and what makes the rare successful ones different. Deepak explains the three elements of valid predictions (direction, magnitude, timeframe), why cash on sidelines signals crashes, how AI...
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When Indian Equity Markets Go Sideways: Are Alternative Assets Worth It? Indian equities have been flat for over a year. So where should you actually put your money? Shray sits down with Deepak Shenoy from Capital Mind to break it all down. Silver just hit $50 for the first time in 45 years. Deepak explains the Hunt Brothers saga, the Thailand import drama, and why silver might only deserve 2% of your portfolio. Gold – it's outperformed. But should you buy now? Only 30% of the time has gold beaten Nifty over 10 years. We also discuss foreign stocks, why debt funds aren't just parking...
info_outlineCapitalmind with Deepak & Shray
When Indian Equity Markets Go Sideways: Are Alternative Assets Worth It? Indian equities have been flat for over a year. So where should you actually put your money? Shray sits down with Deepak Shenoy from Capital Mind to break it all down. Silver just hit $50 for the first time in 45 years. Deepak explains the Hunt Brothers saga, the Thailand import drama, and why silver might only deserve 2% of your portfolio. Gold – it's outperformed. But should you buy now? Only 30% of the time has gold beaten Nifty over 10 years. We also discuss foreign stocks, why debt funds aren't just parking...
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What do DreamFolks, Dream11, JSW Steel, and Donald Trump’s H-1B visa policy all have in common? Each shows how unexpected risks can reshape markets and investments overnight. Deepak Shenoy and Shray Chandra break down 5 types of risk you never saw coming from business model collapse and legal shocks to regulation, policy changes, and passive investing illusions. Chapters: 00:00 - Intro 01:53 - DreamFolks 16:19 - JSW Steel and Bhushan Steel & Power 30:41 - Dream11 & Crypto currency 41:56 - H1B Visa situation 52:10 - When money moves markets
info_outlineIndia is reporting 8%+ GDP growth and cooling inflation, yet stock market returns are muted, the rupee continues to weaken, and everyday expenses feel anything but stable.
So which reality should we trust?
In this episode, Deepak and Shray unpack the contradictions shaping India’s economy today. From headline vs core inflation to GDP data quality, rupee depreciation, and why markets aren’t rewarding growth, they connect macro numbers to lived experience.
A nuanced, data-driven conversation on what truly lies beneath the headlines and what it means for investors, policy watchers, and India’s economic trajectory heading into 2026 and beyond.
Chapters:
00:00 - Introduction
01:15 - GDP growth 8.2% but contradictions everywhere
02:32 - Are we booming or fizzling out?
02:55 - Let's start with inflation
08:09 - Headline inflation 0.71% vs core inflation 4.1%
10:07 - Why people don't believe 0.7% inflation
12:08 - Bangalore rent example - 28k to 60k
15:10 - Supply will moderate rent prices
17:37 - Inflation expectations matter
21:05 - Uncertainty makes planning difficult
22:07 - What's happening with the rupee?
22:36 - Economics standing on its head
24:08 - Gold making current account look worse
28:31 - RBI needs to decide - control or not?
31:37 - GDP - 8.2% real growth
35:29 - Base year problem - still using 2011-12
40:37 - Discrepancies in GDP calculation
43:11 - What's driving growth?
43:16 - Manufacturing doing well at 9%
47:43 - Financial services growth worrying
48:05 - Is 8% growth here to stay?
51:42 - China grew 10% for 15 years
56:22 - Stock market - just a bad year?
59:16 - Small players will benefit more
1:05:38 - SEBI new rules on TER and BER
1:06:04 - What are the changes?
1:17:47 - TER vs BER explained
1:23:23 - Who benefits from new rules?
1:30:18 - Brokerage reduction impact
1:34:16 - Impact on sell-side research
1:36:17 - BER is more comparable going forward