Passive Income for Wealth Creation with Lior Gantz - CREPN #223
Commercial Real Estate Pro Network
Release Date: 11/21/2019
Commercial Real Estate Pro Network
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info_outline BIGGEST RISK with Neal BawaCommercial Real Estate Pro Network
J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you, Neal Bawa, what is the BIGGST RISK? Neal Bawa So I'll give you two risks that affect insurance prices, and all other forms of prices in the United States. So one is a bigger, sort of more, you know, overarching risk. The second one is, is well known to us this. So the first one is climate change, we are continuing to see devastating impacts of climate change in many markets. It is a political, you know, issue where, you know, half of America doesn't want to acknowledge what is happening in markets like Florida and Texas and many other markets, like...
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info_outline BIGGEST RISK with DJ McClureCommercial Real Estate Pro Network
J Darrin Gross: I'd like to ask you, DJ McClure. What is the BIGGEST RISK? DJ McClure: I think right now, one of the BIGGEST RISK that I see among many is the number of properties that are, you know, approaching a debt restructure, you know, there's a lot of short term bridge that for a lot of properties that's coming due. And so one or two things are going to happen, obviously, they're going to be able to, if they're able to put together the funds to structure a refinance, you know, it's likely going to be into a different loan structure or excuse me a loan program, predominantly, your...
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J Darrin Gross: I'd like to ask you, Joey Klein, what is the biggest risk? Joe Kline: Sure. I don't have an insurance related answer. So that's, that's good. I have to say, I do think that your industry is a very fascinating one. And I think if we had more time, I'd love to throw some of these back at you. Because insurance is a very rapidly changing industry over the past couple of years as well. I look, I think that any Anyone, anyone who makes their money solely via Commission has to constantly be thinking about risk. And if you're not, you probably won't be doing it for...
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info_outline BIGGEST RISK with Jeremy FriedmanCommercial Real Estate Pro Network
J Darrin Gross 0:00 And I'd like to ask you, Jeremy Friedman, what is the BIGGEST RISK? Jeremy Friedman 0:05 But as we discussed before the call, that's actually the one largest risk item that we that does keep us up at night and that we're working diligently on at the moment is our insurance. And I think it's so this is not to be clear to your listeners, you did not prompt me for that at all this is this is our biggest risk at the moment, as we see it. We being located on the coast, the Gulf Coast of Alabama, and we have several coastal...
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info_outline BIGGEST RISK with Christian GoreCommercial Real Estate Pro Network
J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you, Christian Gore, what is the BIGGEST RISK? Christian Gore That's a great question. I would say, generally speaking, I would say geo geo political risk, that, that can significantly kind of affect what the Fed does or doesn't do. Yeah, we've, there's a lot of things going on overseas. I know we were fortunate enough not to kind of have to, you know, be involved with it daily. But there's there's significant geopolitical risks in our view going on right now. That, you know, who knows what, what what can happen, but there's a direct...
info_outlinePassive Income is the goal of all investors seeking wealth creation.
Lior Gantz is the founder and editor of the number one rated financial newsletter, Wealth Research Group.
At 12 years of age, Lior had to go to work out of necessity. His father’s business was struggling, and there was no money. He hustled, babysitting, teaching basketball, and delivering goods to others. By the age of 16, he had saved $20,000.
His banker suggested he invest his money to earn greater returns. In order to do so, Lior needed his parents to sign a waiver, which they gladly provided. His grandfather gave him two books on investing, and Lior was hooked on passive income.
In 2015 his friends urged Lior to publish his thoughts and ideas, which was the creation of Wealth Research Group. This is where Lior publishes his thoughts and observations for readers who want to learn about wealth creation.
Global Economy
Lior’s father’s business was furniture and upholstery. It’s demise was due to the changing global economy that is full of new, cheaper goods from foreign countries. His failure to adjust forced Lior to learn a new way early in life. The blessing to experience this at an young age helped Lior create an expectation based on global competition rather than tradition ready for disruption.
Peak Open Borders
Western corporations have taken advantage of cheap labor overseas. This cheap labor provided a greater profit spread for investors. The downside is loss of traditional jobs and trade in balance. The ultimate question that needs to be answered: are cheaper goods more valuable than the loss of jobs? While cheap goods are good for consumers, the loss of jobs depletes the consumers needed to consume the cheap goods.
Transition
The price of progress is the pain of change. Consumers like cheap goods. Within an economic system, wages only go up. So, how does a system convert from a traditional economy to a nimble world economy?
There are 48 countries that produce for less than China. You cannot regress to compete against cheap labor. Change requires skills. Workers need to be trained for the jobs in the new economy so that they can contribute to the new economy.
Competing in a Global Economy
Governments have a few tools available to change the course of the economy; lower interest rates or impose tariffs on foreign imports. Historically, the US has preferred low cost foreign goods and chosen to lower interest rates rather than impose tariffs.
The challenge with any governmental use of its tools, is whether or not the desired results will happen. When the US lowers interest rates to make borrowing money less expensive, the hope is to make low cost capital available for companies to borrow. This allows them to make additional purchases.
Millennial Outlook
Millennials are gainfully employed and paying down their student debt. As they progress professionally, they are inheriting higher paying positions vacated by retiring baby boomers. Millennials income is projected to peak in 2030. At the same time, they are coupling up and looking for suburban housing to raise a family.
This momentum will continue and will shift the demand for housing from the multifamily to the single family. This will be the new wave of housing demand.
Private Equity Funds
Private Equity is flexible. Where they see opportunity with a positive return, they go. It is projected that these funds that acquired huge real estate portfolios in the crash will look to sell these as the millennials become buyers.
If the cost to acquire a home is beyond the cost to rent, millennials may continue to rent.
Neighborhoods access to good schools, safe neighborhoods will continue to attract parents of small children. But, home ownership is no longer sacred.
BIGGEST RISK
Each week I ask my guest, “What is the Biggest Risk Real Estate Investors face?”
BIGGEST RISK: You have to know what you are investing in and who you are investing with. If you invest in large proven companies, you are investing in the culture more than the people. You can trust that the culture will continue to drive profits. However, when you invest in small companies, this is speculative, because it is not proven. In this case, it is important to know the who.
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