Commercial Real Estate Pro Network
Today, my guest is Travis Watts. Travis is a multifamily apartment investor, public speaker and the Director of Investor Development at Ashcroft Capital. And in just a minute, we're going to speak with Travis Watts about Lessons Learned Through the Market Cycle 2022 to 2025.
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J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you. Travis Watts, What is the BIGGEST RISK? Travis Watts I would say, in 25 we talked a lot about market and rates and the discounts, and you know why we're bullish, or why I'm bullish on multifamily, I would say it's more than ever. It's the operator that you're about to invest with. Okay, do they have a lot of distress on their books? Are they losing properties currently? Are they not? Not that any single answer to that is like a red flag and rule them out. But you want to dive a little deeper and make sure that they're dedicated to staying in this...
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Today, my guest is Danielle Ash. Danielle Ash is a partner in the real estate group and co chair of the ground leases practice as well as the impact practice at Adler & Stachenfeld, a law firm based in New York that is solely focused on real estate. And in just a minute, we're going to speak with Danielle Ash about Demystifying the Reality of Affordable Housing Returns and Risk Profiles.
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J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you. Danielle Ash, what is the BIGGEST RISK? Danielle Ash Well, I'm going to give a self serving answer, and then I'm going to give more of an investor based type answer. So the self serving answer, I think, is, you know, people come to me from all different sectors of real estate and at all different parts of their career, from early stage developers, sponsors to, you know, super high net worth sovereign wealth funds, who've been investing for 50 plus years. And I do think one of the biggest mistakes or risks that people face is not having good counsel...
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Today, my guest is Mark Goldfinger. Mark Goldfinger is the General Manager Head of North America at Mindspace, a global flexible workspace provider that redefines the workplace experience for companies of all sizes, and in just a minute, we're going to speak with Mark Goldfinger about flexible workspace solutions.
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J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you, Mark Goldfinger, what is the BIGGEST RISK? Mark Goldfinger I think it's great question. I think in the co working ecosystem, or in the flexible office space, you know, ecosystem, I think one of the biggest risks is landlords starting to take on the opportunity to create their own turnkey sublet solutions for smaller companies, and kind of take business from us. Now, I don't think that they're able to really run the hospitality arm that we are, because that's not their business, and we put a lot of pride into that. But I think that's definitely one thing we...
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Today, my guest is Chris Zona. Chris Zona is a partner at Mandelbaum Barrett PC in New York, and a trial attorney specializing in Complex Commercial Litigation, and in just a minute, we're going to speak with Chris Zona about Turning Conflict into Capital Litigation as a Real Estate Investment Tool.
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J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you, Chris Zona, what is the BIGGEST RISK? Chris Zona Sure. So I think it really fits within what we're talking about. I think the biggest risk for investors that are in this this realm is that you need to be comfortable with taking over a potential non performing note, right? Like there is no way to avoid risk when you're making this sort of play. So what you need to do is kind of, you know, balance minimizing the risk through your diligence process, because you don't want to take on something that you're not ready to you don't want to overextend in...
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Today, my guest is Travis King. Travis is the founder and CEO of Realm, where he is responsible for overseeing all aspects of the organization with a particular focus on culture, strategy and investments.
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J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you. Travis King, what is the BIGGEST RISK? Travis King It's a great question. It's actually really hard to try to encapsulate it in one thing, so maybe I might give a multifaceted answer, if that's okay with you. One thing I would say that is paramount in real estate, and I alluded to it earlier, is the only real way I know to lose money in real estate is to lever inappropriately. So leverage at the end of the day, that's how you lose control of your properties, right? And that happens. So then I you peel that onion a little bit and say, Okay, well, how...
info_outlineWell, you know, people ask me about this in terms of real estate, what's going to happen with the economy, as you know, with political elections, what is it going to go up or down a recession or continue in this? You know, We're in one of the longest expansion periods in a long time. And for me, on a national level, I don't see that there's going to be a lot of risk within real estate as a whole.
Based upon the interest rates, I think if the market does begin to slow, you know, the Fed is going to lower the prime. We wait. We may get down to two or even zero interest rates just to keep the economy going. So from that perspective, I think that real estate is still a solid play.
But if I'm looking for us. What we have determined internally is that there's too much political instability here where we are in Illinois. And so what you were saying in terms of like, can we can we avoid it? You know.
Illinois is having a decrease in population of 6 percent over the past 10 years, which is putting a greater burden on the people that are remaining. And we have the pension problems. And, you know, historically, you know, people say, well, you know, they just did a bunch of things to approve legislation which are basically sin taxes.
But my concern is the money is not actually going to pay off those pensions. It's just going to be used to spend in other areas, which is historically have happened in Illinois for the past 20, 30 years.
So why is it going to be different? So what we have done is we've stopped buying in Illinois. And for us, that's how we are mitigating or perhaps even transferring because we're looking at states that are more tax progressive and where we're seeing growth.
And so that is what we're trying to do is and that's why we've expanded throughout the Midwest. That's why we have the properties in Ohio. We're looking in Louisville or we're looking in Kentucky. We're looking in North Carolina. We're looking at Michigan.
We're looking at places that are trying to encourage economic development. So either through PACE the Opportunity Zones or the tax benefits for it so that we have greater stability and less risk.