Perspectives: Episode 109 - May your algorithms be true and your AI agent benevolent
Release Date: 02/06/2025
'Perspectives' by Escala
In this episode of Perspectives, Escala Chief Investment Officer, Tracey McNaughton, explores the question: who will pay for the building of strategic capability? From sovereign balance sheets and bond markets to private capital and Australia's superannuation system, she examines how the "Price of Sovereignty" could reshape investing for years to come. (0:44) Can governments actually afford another nation-building cycle? (3:30) Does that mean bond markets become a much bigger part of this story? (5:13) So, the price of sovereignty isn't just the cost of building new...
info_outline'Perspectives' by Escala
In this episode of Perspectives, Escala Chief Investment Officer, Tracey McNaughton, explores why the world is shifting from efficiency to resilience. Drawing on insights from General David Petraeus, the discussion examines how nations are rebuilding strategic capability, why private capital is increasingly funding critical infrastructure, and what the rise of the Sovereignty Trade means for investors. (0:56) For years investors thought of geopolitics and technology as separate conversations. (2:33) What changed? Why are governments suddenly prepared to sacrifice efficiency in favour of...
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In this episode, Escala Investment Analyst, David Bruty interviews Paul Moore, founder and Chief Investment Officer of PM Capital. Paul discusses how he and his team implement their contrarian investment philosophy, how the PM Global Companies Fund is constructed, and how healthcare is an emerging theme in the fund’s portfolio.
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In this episode of Perspectives, Escala Chief Investment Officer, Tracey McNaughton, unpacks a series of eye-opening conversations with leading AI investors and operators exploring how AI-native companies are redesigning workflows, reshaping industries, and blurring the lines between software, services, and private equity. (1:34) What struck me reading through your notes wasn’t just the excitement around AI – it was that people are starting to describe AI not as a tool anymore, but as an operating system. (4:21) One thing that also came through very strongly in these conversations was...
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In this episode of Perspectives, Escala Chief Investment Officer, Tracey McNaughton, takes us inside the Milken Institute Global Conference 2026, from space-based AI breakthroughs to the massive infrastructure buildout powering the next wave of innovation. (1:09) Alright, you’ve been roaming the halls at Milken earlier this week. Before we get into that, tell us about how it feels on the ground in the US right now. (3:27) You mentioned before you left that there were over 300 sessions across two hotels – the Beverly Wilshire and the Beverly Hilton. (5:03 How did he arrive at creating...
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In this episode, Escala Head of Managed Funds, Stephen Dickinson, speaks with Richard Blackburn from CVC Capital Partners. Richard discusses CVC’s origins and evolution into a leading global private equity firm, why Europe remains a particularly attractive market for private equity returns, and how CVC creates value through disciplined underwriting, active ownership and long-term value creation across its portfolio.
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In this episode of Perspectives, Escala Chief Investment Officer, Tracey McNaughton, explains why today’s geopolitical tensions signal a deeper structural shift – and what it means for markets, alliances, and investors. (1:08) Is the current state of the world only as permanent as Trump remains in office? In other words, is this just a phase, or are we actually living through something more structural? (2:30) So, even if the political backdrop changes, the system itself has already shifted? (4:29) Let’s talk about that, because alliances have always been the backbone of the global...
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In this episode of Perspectives, Escala Chief Investment Officer, Tracey McNaughton, explains how long-term investors are staying loose on the bars in response to the current oil shock. Plus, why managing today’s risks is bringing back yesterday’s solutions - from steering wheel locks to decades-old pipelines. (0:47) Tracey, there’s a lot hitting markets at once. How do you keep your composure? (3:43) Back in 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine, the oil price hit over $120 per barrel. The peak so far is under that. And yet, despite this, the price at the pump here in Australia is higher...
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In this episode of Perspectives, Escala Chief Investment Officer, Tracey McNaughton, talks about today’s tensions in the Middle East, why geopolitical volatility is often shorter than feared and what it means for US-China relations. Plus, why credit investing demands ruthless diversification. (0:53) Let’s start with the geopolitical shock. The United States and Israel have launched coordinated strikes on Iran, escalating tensions in a way we haven’t seen for years. (1:42) We saw something similar in February 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine. Oil spiked to over $120 a barrel. But within...
info_outline'Perspectives' by Escala
In this episode of Perspectives, Escala Chief Investment Officer, Tracey McNaughton, talks about the release of Escala’s The Agenda publication, what a shifting global order means for investors and how it is shaping the way Escala constructs portfolios. (0:52) This is the 7th edition now. Before we get into the details, remind us - what is The Agenda? Is this a tactical playbook for the next 12 months? (1:47) And that didn’t just start yesterday, did it? Inequality has been building for some time in a number of countries – Australia and the US (3:07) So, markets recovered - but...
info_outlineThis week Escala Partners CIO, Tracey McNaughton, reflects on what has been a blistering start to the year. President Trump is setting records with the number of executive orders he creates; tariffs are creating uncertainty and DeepSeek is disrupting. It’s enough to make your AI Agent’s head spin.
(1:03) Tracey, we're 18 days into the new US administration and no fewer than 48 executive orders have been issued. That has to be a record, doesn't it?
(1:46) Tracey, occupying a lot of the market's attention at the moment is tariffs, and so far few of the threats have actually been implemented with tariffs on Mexico and Canada delayed for a month. Although the 10% tariff on China came into effect on Tuesday this week. But how are you thinking about this, and how impactful will it be?
(3:56) Tracey, is it physically possible for all this manufacturing to come back on shore in the US?
(6:03) Tracey, still a lot of unknowns with regards to tariffs. So let's move on to something slightly more certain. It's AI – and why is this Chinese company ‘DeepSeek’ in the news so much?
(7:56) Tracey, what does this mean for investors?
(11:23) So, Tracey, we've spoken about this on our morning meetings. But what kind of AI applications are we talking about, and how will they make money for the user?
(15:27) Tracey, you mentioned earlier Agentic AI? Now, what is that? And is it the next big thing?