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SVB and Signature Bank: The Roles of Risk Modeling, Culture and Stress Testing

GARP Risk Podcast

Release Date: 04/14/2023

Stress Testing: Current Issues, Regulatory Analysis, and a Sneak Peek at the Future show art Stress Testing: Current Issues, Regulatory Analysis, and a Sneak Peek at the Future

GARP Risk Podcast

Hear from Cristian deRitis, deputy chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, on the stress testing impact of heightened geopolitical risk, constantly shifting tariffs, climate risk developments, and AI/ML evolution. This podcast examines stress testing challenges and trends, with an eye on how regulation and recent events are shaping these important exercises. Regulatory stress tests play a key role in ensuring that large banks hold enough capital withstand extreme recessions, while internal stress tests at banks are used for everything from capital and liquidity planning to risk monitoring,...

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Tariffs, Trade Wars, and the Credit Risk Reckoning show art Tariffs, Trade Wars, and the Credit Risk Reckoning

GARP Risk Podcast

Hear from Michael Crumpler, CEO, Credit Benchmark and Jon Hilsenrath, former Wall St. Journal senior writer and founder of Serpa Pinto Advisory, as we examine early warning signs, strategic responses, and innovative risk management approaches needed in today's volatile trade environment. This podcast explores the intersection of trade policy and credit risk, offering insights for senior risk managers navigating an increasingly complex global landscape: Rising Credit Risk: How tariffs are reshaping the credit risk landscape across key global sectors and what early warning signs risk...

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AgenticAI: The Next Frontier in Intelligent Decision-Making show art AgenticAI: The Next Frontier in Intelligent Decision-Making

GARP Risk Podcast

Hear from Zeynep Tunc at SAS, who is leading risk management activities across Northern Europe, to learn about AgenticAI, a groundbreaking approach to decision making that interacts dynamically with its environment to achieve specific goals. Key topics: How AgenticAI differs from traditional AI through dynamic environmental interaction The technology behind the revolution: reinforcement learning, decision theory, and cognitive modeling Real-world applications in autonomous vehicles, loan approvals, portfolio management, and collections Critical ethical considerations including...

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Inside the Mind of a Buy-Side CRO show art Inside the Mind of a Buy-Side CRO

GARP Risk Podcast

Hear from Peter Mortensen, the chief risk officer of Russell Investments, about inflation volatility, tariffs, liquidity risk, AI threats and benefits, and ERM. Across the financial services spectrum, amid a global environment of uncertainty and political upheaval, risk management is as daunting as ever in 2025. Banks, for example, must contend with everything from cybersecurity hazards and the rise of AI to regulatory risk, global debt problems and increased supply-chain risk. Investment managers, meanwhile, face many of the same challenges but are also concerned with portfolio management,...

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Forecasting 2025: Risk Trends and Predictions show art Forecasting 2025: Risk Trends and Predictions

GARP Risk Podcast

Hear from Moody’s Analytics’ Cris deRitis about cybersecurity, AI, deglobalization, regulatory risk, global debt problems, geopolitical volatility, supply-chain risk, and other key issues that will impact risk managers this year. In 2024, the complex obstacles facing financial institutions and their risk managers were illuminated by headline-grabbing risk events – including the CrowdStrike IT outage, the fall of Republic First Bank, terrorist attacks on commercial shipping vessels in the Red Sea, and a plethora of climate-change-abetted natural disasters. Indeed, multi-faceted risks...

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Modernizing Risk Management in Today’s Competitive Landscape show art Modernizing Risk Management in Today’s Competitive Landscape

GARP Risk Podcast

Join Martim Rocha, Global Head of Risk Banking Solutions at SAS, and Luis Jesus, Senior Manager at SAS, as they discuss how financial institutions can transform their risk management to thrive in today's volatile market. Financial organizations today face heightened regulatory scrutiny while contending with siloed, legacy risk systems. But those that embrace AI, cloud, and integration can unlock new levels of efficiency, scalability, and proactive insights. Hear expert strategies for building a future-ready risk ecosystem - one that delivers governance, control, and competitive...

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Operational Resilience: Current Challenges and the Road Ahead show art Operational Resilience: Current Challenges and the Road Ahead

GARP Risk Podcast

Hear from Pedro Morales, the Director and Global Head of AML/Sanctions Compliance at Google, about AI, cyber threats, fraud, third-party risk, regulation and other complex operational resilience obstacles, trends and risks. The Federal Reserve defines operational resilience as the ability to deliver operations, including critical operations and core business lines, through a disruption from any hazard. In an interconnected world rife with volatility and uncertainty, there are certainly a plethora of hazards that can disrupt a business, and managing operational resilience is therefore a...

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2025 Trends in Banking: The AI Maturity Pivot show art 2025 Trends in Banking: The AI Maturity Pivot

GARP Risk Podcast

Join industry experts Theodora Lau, founder of Unconventional Ventures and co-author of The Metaverse Economy and Beyond Good, and Julie Muckleroy, Global Banking Strategist at SAS as they explore the critical crossroads of AI in banking for 2025. This podcast delves into how banks are shifting from AI hype to strategic implementation, focusing on building foundational elements like data governance and trust. The conversation examines how mature approaches to AI can align investment with board priorities, select strategic use cases, and ultimately deliver meaningful return...

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Generative AI: Trends, Benefits and Risks show art Generative AI: Trends, Benefits and Risks

GARP Risk Podcast

Hear from Bo Xu, a Principal at Boston Consulting Group (BCG) and a member of GARP’s Risk and AI Advisory Committee, about GenAI use cases and challenges, as well as its impact on modeling, governance, regulation and risk careers. Even though generative AI is in its early days, its already having a big effect in financial risk management. As a powerful, interactive technology that can understand natural language, quickly search through reams of data and provide human-style answer to questions, GenAI is being used today for everything from data processing to risk monitoring and measurement...

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Real-time Customer Decisions in the Age of AI show art Real-time Customer Decisions in the Age of AI

GARP Risk Podcast

Hear from Terisa Roberts, Global Head of Risk Modeling and Decisioning at SAS and Sarah Murphy, Principal Director of Accenture Data and AI, as we explore real-time customer decision making and what it means for portfolio monitoring. Thanks to the internet and artificial intelligence, consumers today can make financial decisions through multiple channels, resulting in a new level of competitive pressure for the sector. Financial services firms must make decisions that are not only fast and reliable, but also automated. Real-time customer decisioning plays a pivotal role in achieving these...

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More Episodes

Hear from risk modeling expert Tony Hughes about the parts various risk management techniques played in recent bank failures, as well as the current challenges facing modelers.

Risk models have grabbed headlines for all the wrong reasons over the past couple of years, and now they are in the news again thanks to the sudden collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank. People want to know why the internal risk models at these banks did not properly account for interest-rate risk and why they seemed completely unprepared when their depositors made a mad dash for the exits.

The failures have also raised thought-provoking questions about liquidity risk management deficiencies, the proper use of stress testing, risk governance problems, and the flaws in current bank regulation.

What’s more, these issues are being raised at a time when modelers are contending with other significant challenges, such as forecasting for expected credit losses during a time of great uncertainty.

Risk modeling maestro Tony Hughes, Risk Intelligence’s “Risk Weighted” columnist, joins GARP editorial director Robert Sales to discuss some of the hottest FRM issues of today.

 

Speaker's Bio:

Tony Hughes is a risk modeling and ESG expert. He has more than 20 years of experience as a senior risk professional in North America, Europe and Australia, specializing in model risk management, model build/validation and quantitative climate risk solutions.