110: Debunking the Fear Porn- Economic Cycles and Housing Stability
Release Date: 11/24/2023
116: Housing Market Insights: Buy and Hold, Self-Management and Why the Housing Market is Holding Strong
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
Today's episode, Jason sits down for an interview with Vince Rodriguez of RE Social podcast. Jason discusses real estate investment strategies, cautioning against relying solely on appreciation in cyclical markets like California due to unpredictable downturns and low cash flow. He advocates for investing in linear markets offering sustainable, long-term growth and consistent cash flow. Jason's company, Empowered Investor, teaches conservative buy-and-hold strategies for turnkey rental properties in vetted markets, emphasizing remote self-management for increased profitability and control. He...
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115: The Expert Systems Trader with Steven Cawiezell
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
In this interview excerpt, Jason Hartman discusses his path into real estate investing, which began at age 20. After selling his real estate company and finding traditional financial advice inadequate, he focused on nationwide income properties. He founded his current company to assist others, emphasizing the unique advantages of the US market, including tax benefits and reliable data. Hartman advises investors to prioritize properties with immediate cash flow (aiming for the 1% rule), remain "area agnostic," and diversify geographically across 3-5 markets. He stresses utilizing free...
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114: Navigating Mortgage Rates: Tips for Homebuyers and Investors
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
Today Dan Barrett from Adwords Nerds welcomes Jason to his show. Jason shares valuable insights about market cycles, the economy, the real estate market, and predictions for the future. He emphasized the importance of understanding market dynamics and making decisions based on data rather than emotions. They discuss the impact of interest rates on the housing market, highlighting the current inventory shortage and the influence of historically low mortgage rates on homeowner behavior. Jason stresses the importance of asking "compared to what?" to gain a clearer perspective on economic...
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113: Real Estate Investing Strategy: Focus on Cash Flow Over Appreciation
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
Jason gives an interview on the “Dean Rogers Show” as he discusses the economy and real estate market, emphasizing the importance of data-backed insights over sensationalism. Jason presents the concept of inflation-induced debt destruction, highlighting real estate’s unique advantages. He discusses the government’s strategy of inflating currency to manage debt, correlating it with real estate investment principles. He analyzes low inventory in the housing market, attributing it to favorable mortgage rates, and predicts a prolonged shortage due to cheap mortgage locks. He suggests...
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112: Real Estate Mastery: Jason Hartman on Single Family Strategies and Future Predictions
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
Jason Hartman discusses the current state of the single family housing market with Ken McElroy. He explains there are three types of markets - linear, cyclical, and hybrid. Linear markets like Memphis and Indianapolis see slow, steady growth. Cyclical markets like LA and Miami experience volatile booms and busts. Hybrid fall in between. Despite rising rates, most of the country has seen modest home price declines, except some western markets. This is due to low inventory; there are only 500,000 homes listed compared to a normal 1.2 million. Demand has fallen 20% but supply remains very tight....
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111: 2024 Housing Market Forecast: Why Home Prices Are Set to Soar Despite Challenges
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
Jason and Bridger talk about the housing market, the economy, and financial trends, noting that millennials and Gen Z are gradually entering it, causing a housing inventory shortage. Despite rising interest rates, the market still faces low inventory levels. The conversation shifts to the potential impact on banks due to an inverted yield curve, bond values, and the housing market’s reliance on new construction. They also explore the possibility of a banking crisis and discuss the Fed’s role in managing interest rates. Jason concludes with insights on the strength of the U.S. dollar, the...
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110: Debunking the Fear Porn- Economic Cycles and Housing Stability
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
Michael Zuber talks to Jason about the housing market and the potential for a housing crash. Jason provides insights into why a housing crash hasn’t occurred so far, emphasizing the need for millions of distressed sellers as a key ingredient for a crash. He also mentions that people who predict crashes often lack a comprehensive understanding of economic cycles and are influenced by past traumatic events like the 2007-2008 housing crash. Additionally, the conversation touches on unemployment and its potential impact on the housing market, with Jason arguing that banks are more likely to work...
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109: Inflation-Induced Debt Destruction: How Real Estate Trumps Traditional Investments
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
Jason joins Robert Helms and Russell Gray of The Real Estate Guys as they discuss the investment opportunities in single family housing in the real estate market, highlighting its flexibility, universality, and government backing. Jason suggested that investors should follow the US government’s business plan, and emphasized the resilience of the real estate market despite economic challenges. The group also talks about the advantages of negotiating the price and financing of properties, and discussed the importance of understanding the full range of benefits that come with real estate...
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108: Real Estate Market Analysis 2023: Why Housing Prices Remain Strong & Resilient
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
Jason and Will Denis of the Flippin’ SoFlo podcast discuss various aspects of the current real estate market and the impact of interest rates and inflation. They emphasize the importance of looking at data rather than getting caught up in fear-based news and offer insights into why the real estate market remains strong despite economic challenges. They mention that low-interest rates have led to affordable mortgage payments for many homeowners, making it unlikely for a real estate crash to occur without distressed sellers in mass quantities. Additionally, they discuss inventory levels and...
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107: Financial Survival Network with Kerry Lutz
Jason Hartman In the Hot Seat
Kerry Lutz has been a student of Austrian Economics since 1977. While attending Pace University, he stumbled upon an extensive cache of Austrian Economic Literature in a dark, musty, abandoned section of the school’s library. After graduating from The New York Law School, he became an attorney and life long serial entrepreneur. His diverse career has included: running a legal printing company, practicing commercial law and litigation and founding a successful distressed asset investment company. After the 2008 financial collapse and the continued global economic deterioration, Kerry realized...
info_outlineMichael Zuber talks to Jason about the housing market and the potential for a housing crash. Jason provides insights into why a housing crash hasn’t occurred so far, emphasizing the need for millions of distressed sellers as a key ingredient for a crash. He also mentions that people who predict crashes often lack a comprehensive understanding of economic cycles and are influenced by past traumatic events like the 2007-2008 housing crash.
Additionally, the conversation touches on unemployment and its potential impact on the housing market, with Jason arguing that banks are more likely to work with homeowners than rush to foreclose, especially if they have substantial equity in their properties. The discussion also briefly mentions the role of technology companies in the economy and the concept of leveraging in real estate.
Overall, the conversation focuses on the factors affecting the housing market’s stability and the likelihood of a housing crash, with a critical view of those who sensationalize such predictions for personal gain.
#HousingTrends #Economy #HousingMarket #EconomicCycles
Key Takeaways:
1:29 Packaged Commodities Investments are doing very well
3:00 Why the housing market hasn’t crashed just yet
5:56 The ONE ingredient one MUST have for a housing crash and profiles of a Crash bro
8:21 Don’t be lazy; study more than one recession
10:16 Very low inventory plus unemployment and it’s insurance
15:45 Median monthly mortgage payment & number of mortgages by interest rate and foreclosure timelines
19:39 Altos Research inventory numbers
23:38 Drop in activity- not north of 6M homes for a decade
25:58 The FED looks like it’s forcing a recession
32:43 A crystal ball on rate cuts and book recommendation
35:49 Jobs growth and some thoughts on the future of the economy
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