Hotspotting
Two very different headlines have summed up the problems for Australia’s ongoing housing shortage. One of the recent media headlines declared that building approvals were at a two-year high and that things were improving for the nation’s housing shortage. The other described why building approvals are almost irrelevant – it said that project deferrals are occurring at a record rate. The reality of the current crisis is this: it doesn’t matter how many houses and apartments are approved for construction – and it doesn’t matter how many re-zonings state governments push through...
info_outline Webinar Replay: Reflections & Projections - A Deep Dive into Real Estate Trends & ForecastsHotspotting
In this insightful webinar, Terry Ryder, founder of Hotspotting, and Tim Graham, Hotspotting’s General Manager, analyze the surprises and trends of 2024 in the Australian property market and share their projections for 2025. With decades of combined experience, they provide investors with actionable advice on navigating the coming year. Key Highlights 2024 in Review Defying Predictions: Despite high interest rates and inflationary pressures, property prices rose by an average of 5.53% nationally in 2024. Perth led with an astonishing 18.7% growth, followed by regional Western Australia,...
info_outline Best Buys ResultHotspotting
You don’t have to be super rich or invest $1 million to make big capital gains in residential real estate: you just need to follow Hotspotting’s signature report, the National Top 10 Best Buys report. Those who followed the tips in our report of a year ago could have made close to $100,000 in capital gains spending as little as $400,000 – or $180,000 in gains after investing $630,000. In December 2023 we published our National Top Best Buys reports for Summer 2023-34. Our top 10 locations for investors to consider covered a wide range of price points, from less than $300,000 and above $1...
info_outline Listings RiseHotspotting
The greatest complaint heard most often in real estate across Australia is that there are plenty of buyers, but a shortage of listings. The number of properties for sale has been well short of the levels needed for a balanced market, particularly in the boom cities of Adelaide, Brisbane and Perth. But that is steadily changing. According to SQM Research, total listings of properties for sale nationwide grew 7.6% in November and are now more than 10% higher than a year ago. Perhaps most significantly, there were major rises in November in those three boom cities, with the...
info_outline Media AbsurditiesHotspotting
Things are constantly changing in real estate nationwide but the one factor that never changes is this: we can always rely on news media to distort the facts and deliver a steady flow of misinformation to Australian consumers, all in the interests of attracting readership, with little regard for accuracy, honesty or fairness. The past week or so has been chockful of media nonsense. If you can believe the headlines, the national property boom is over, house prices are plunging, the rental boom is over and the North Queensland city of Townsville is a mining town. One of the constants of my...
info_outline 2025 PredictionsHotspotting
Rumours of the death of ‘the national property boom’ are greatly exaggerated – especially since we didn’t have a national property boom in 2024. Rather, over the past 12 months, we have seen differing market cycles in many locations - as is the usual state of play in real estate throughout Australia. Strong property price growth was recorded in Perth, Adelaide, and Brisbane in 2024, but not in Melbourne, Sydney, Canberra, Darwin or Hobart. Similarly, in the regional areas, there were declining and stagnating markets, as well as some where prices were showing good price...
info_outline Regional Investment BoomHotspotting
Victoria’s real estate market is witnessing a significant shift as young first-home buyers increasingly seek affordable housing in regional areas. According to recent data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), first-home buyer loans in Victoria soared to 4,202 in July – the highest number in nearly two years. This surge reflects growing confidence among young buyers and a trend towards exploring housing options beyond Melbourne. Nationally, the Commonwealth Bank of Australia and the Regional Australia Institute report that the flow of people from cities...
info_outline Units Beat HousesHotspotting
Hotspotting was among the first to identify and highlight the most significant change in the Australian real estate scene – the emerging trend which we document in the quarterly editions of the report titled The Rise and Rise of Apartments., published in association with Nuestar. This trend has turned upside down the dominant paradigm in real estate, that houses out-perform apartments on capital growth. There is now growing evidence that attached dwellings are mounting a strong challenge to houses. It has long been believed that land content was the big thing in driving...
info_outline Why a Buyer’s Agent Is a Game-Changer for Property Investors | Featuring Chris GrahamHotspotting
Thinking of buying property on your own? 🏡 In this episode of The Property Playbook, host Terry Ryder is joined by Chris Graham, Senior Property Advisor at Australian Hotspot Advocacy, to explore why engaging a buyer’s agent could be the key to securing your next winning investment. What You'll Learn: What a buyer’s agent does and how they work exclusively for the buyer’s interests. The value of off-market properties and how buyer’s agents can provide access. Why having a professional on your team ensures due diligence and avoids costly mistakes. How to identify a trustworthy...
info_outline Melbourne Market MythsHotspotting
Melbourne’s property market remains the great under-achiever of the nation but that may be about to change. A number of key indicators suggest better performance by the Melbourne property market is imminent. One pointer to better times is the latest Property Sentiment survey by API magazine, which recorded a major turnaround in investor attitudes towards the Victorian property market. The survey asked: Which state or territory do you regard as having the best property investment prospects for the next 12 months? Mid-year Melbourne and Victoria attracted only 8.6...
info_outlineHotspotting was among the first to identify and highlight the most significant change in the Australian real estate scene – the emerging trend which we document in the quarterly editions of the report titled The Rise and Rise of Apartments., published in association with Nuestar.
This trend has turned upside down the dominant paradigm in real estate, that houses out-perform apartments on capital growth. There is now growing evidence that attached dwellings are mounting a strong challenge to houses.
It has long been believed that land content was the big thing in driving property values and that units lacked this quality.
Increasingly, it’s clear that this theory about capital growth needs to be re-considered and to acknowledge that attached dwellings like apartments have qualities that houses don’t have and which are important to growing numbers of buyers.
The latest Housing Affordability Report, jointly released by CoreLogic and ANZ, has
observed that capital city unit prices increased more over the three months to October 2024, than did house prices over the same period, suggesting a growing preference among home-buyers and investors for units as an affordable option in getting into the market.
The growth difference was small, but it’s merely the latest in a growing set of figures showing the rising performance of units.
In the month of October, the median price growth for units was higher than for houses in the nation’s five biggest cities and also for the combined regions.
This was also the case for the October quarter.
In annual terms, price growth has been better for units than houses in the three capital cities leading the nation on market growth – Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth. Units have also out-performed in the regional markets of Queensland, WA, NSW and Victoria.
The annual growth in median unit prices, according to CoreLogic, has been 18% in Adelaide, 19% in Brisbane and 24% in Perth. Those are spectacular increases and provide compelling evidence to disprove the notion that attached dwellings don’t perform on capital growth.
There are also growing numbers of suburbs around Australia where unit price growth is higher, both in the short-term and the long-term.
The Hotspotting Research Hub shows that at Noosa Heads on the Sunshine Coast, the five-year growth average is 10% per year for houses and 17% per year for units. At Surfers Paradise on the Gold Coast, it’s 8% per year for houses and 12% per year for units.
There are many other similar examples across the nation.
REA Group, which publishes realestate.com.au, has recently highlighted locations where unit price growth is outpacing houses.
Megan Lieu, Economic Analyst at REA Group, says:
“Historically, house values have risen at a faster rate than units, but with affordability pressures, units are being preferred by many homebuyers.”
“In certain suburbs,” she says, “unit prices have grown at more than double the rate of houses over the past year.”
Searches for units on realestate.com.au have also been trending upwards since mid 2020. They now make up close to 40% of all buy searches on-site.
Lieu says that, while the strong performance of units has been evident nationwide, there are areas where demand for units has been particularly high, resulting in significant price increases compared to houses.
In New South Wales, for example, the annual growth in unit values in Engadine, Wagga Wagga and Merimbula has outpaced houses by around 6 percentage points.
In Victorian, Safety Beach, Templestowe Lower and Warragul are examples of locations which have experienced stronger growth in their values compared to houses by considerable margins.
The largest difference in value growth between units and houses in Queensland was observed in the Brisbane suburbs of Waterford, Nundah and Waterford West. Units in Waterford and Waterford West increased at more than twice the percentage of houses in these suburbs in the past 12 months.
PropTrack says that, with housing affordability at its lowest level in three decades, it's to be expected that people are turning to more economical options, especially in suburbs where the gap between house and unit values is significant.
But Hotspotting analysis shows that affordability is NOT the only reason that demand for units is rising. More buyers are choosing attached dwellings for location, for lifestyle and also for safety and security at a time of growing concerns about escalating crime levels.
For all those reasons, each quarter Hotspotting publishes a national report titled The Rise and Rise of Apartments, in association with the leading real estate marketing company Nuestar.
And it proves, emphatically, the units are now a strong option for buyers seeking not only affordability, but strong capital growth as well.