Hotspotting
One of the many ways media misinforms Australian consumers is their misunderstanding of the difference between building approvals and actual construction of new dwellings. Right now, at a time when we have major dwelling shortages and construction costs are so incredibly high, there is a very important distinction between the number of dwelling approvals and the number of homes actually being built. The difference between the two is quite stark and it speaks to the biggest single problem amid the housing crisis – approvals often are not translating into actual construction of homes, because...
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The Great Australian Dream still exists, it’s just that - for many - it now means owning an apartment, not a house with a white picket fence. As property prices continue to grow, the dream of owning a freestanding house has morphed into the dream of owning an apartment - for more and more Australians. Apartment living is no longer just a financial choice, but a conscious decision to seek out a different way of living - a more affordable and low-maintenance lifestyle. The percentage of Australians who live in a freestanding house has been declining since the beginning of the new...
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Brisbane was one of the nation’s boom markets in 2024 and likely to do even better this year. The price data shows that Brisbane delivered a strong performance last year, both with house prices and in particular unit prices – but was third in the capital city growth rankings behind Adelaide and Perth. Figures from PropTrack and CoreLogic show Brisbane house prices overall were up 10% last year and unit prices around 15%. In 2025 we expect Brisbane to have another strong year and to overtake those other cities to be the national leader on price growth. ...
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🏡 Australia's Housing Crisis: Causes & Solutions With housing affordability at record lows and supply failing to keep up with demand, how did Australia's property market reach this crisis point? More importantly—how do we fix it? In this special episode of The Property Playbook, Tim Graham is joined by an expert panel to tackle one of the most pressing issues facing Australian homeowners, investors, and renters: 🎙️ Panel Guests: ✅ Michael Sukkar – Federal Shadow Housing Minister ✅ Kelly Ryan – CEO of the Real Estate Institute of Victoria (REIV) ✅ Terry Ryder –...
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Some investors are attracted to the cheap house prices and very high rental yields in resources sector towns but recent events in two of the nation’s iconic locations demonstrate why this can be a strategy fraught with peril. Hotspotting methodology dictates that a diverse economy is a core factor in any location we are willing to recommend – which means locations dominated by one industry sector seldom make it to our hotspots reports. A country town solely reliant on agriculture, a coastal enclave where everything depends on tourism and mining towns are all places we shy...
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I sometimes despair for Australians trying to make sense of real estate markets, when the standard of analysis and commentary in news media is so poor. Knee-jerk responses to short-term data sets from economists, journalists and often from the big-name research houses create a mass of confusing, conflicting and contradictory commentary. The commentary around price data is the worst example of this. For a long time, the biggest problem for consumers trying to make sense of market events has been commentators putting too much importance on short-term results. ...
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Regional Queensland had a pretty good year for price growth in 2024 but I’m predicting it will have an even better one in 2025. There’s mounting evidence that the combined weight of internal migrants moving to Queensland and investors increasingly pivoting from Western Australia to Queensland will drive significant price uplift this year. In 2024, according to PropTrack figures, the median house price for Regional Queensland increased 10%, which was well above the national average (4%), and better than our three biggest cities, but was slightly below the level of growth achieved in...
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Since the start of the pandemic in 2020, many of Australia’s property markets have experienced some extraordinary price growth. Many locations, both city-based and regional, achieved unprecedented price increases with median house and unit prices soaring as demand hit new highs. Where once a million-dollar house or unit median was unusual, that recent growth launched many locations into that club for the first time. As of January 2025, there were 1,194 suburbs or towns with a median house price or median unit price of $1 million or more – 50 more than in September 2024. These figures show...
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Was the Federal Treasurer being serious when he suggested that investors pass on the new interest rate cut to tenants in the form of cheaper rents? Has Jim Chalmers lost the plot completely or was he making a shallow pitch to voters on the eve of a Federal Election? To suggest that investor owners are in a position to hand out financial benefits to tenants because of this one, very small, isolated reduction in their costs suggests that Chalmers is either divorced from reality or he’s having a cheap shot at landlords to win favour with renters and maybe a few extra votes. I have to say that...
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One of the most significant housing stories in the past year has slipped under the radar of news media, with very little commentary. The latest official data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that it now costs over $500,000 to build the average house in this country. That’s the cost of construction of the dwelling and doesn’t include the land price. Given that the price of residential land is also escalating to record price levels, the reality is that the typical house and land package in a capital city is beyond the reach of most young buyers. This, in...
info_outlineHotspotting was among the first to identify and highlight the most significant change in the Australian real estate scene – the emerging trend which we document in the quarterly editions of the report titled The Rise and Rise of Apartments., published in association with Nuestar.
This trend has turned upside down the dominant paradigm in real estate, that houses out-perform apartments on capital growth. There is now growing evidence that attached dwellings are mounting a strong challenge to houses.
It has long been believed that land content was the big thing in driving property values and that units lacked this quality.
Increasingly, it’s clear that this theory about capital growth needs to be re-considered and to acknowledge that attached dwellings like apartments have qualities that houses don’t have and which are important to growing numbers of buyers.
The latest Housing Affordability Report, jointly released by CoreLogic and ANZ, has
observed that capital city unit prices increased more over the three months to October 2024, than did house prices over the same period, suggesting a growing preference among home-buyers and investors for units as an affordable option in getting into the market.
The growth difference was small, but it’s merely the latest in a growing set of figures showing the rising performance of units.
In the month of October, the median price growth for units was higher than for houses in the nation’s five biggest cities and also for the combined regions.
This was also the case for the October quarter.
In annual terms, price growth has been better for units than houses in the three capital cities leading the nation on market growth – Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth. Units have also out-performed in the regional markets of Queensland, WA, NSW and Victoria.
The annual growth in median unit prices, according to CoreLogic, has been 18% in Adelaide, 19% in Brisbane and 24% in Perth. Those are spectacular increases and provide compelling evidence to disprove the notion that attached dwellings don’t perform on capital growth.
There are also growing numbers of suburbs around Australia where unit price growth is higher, both in the short-term and the long-term.
The Hotspotting Research Hub shows that at Noosa Heads on the Sunshine Coast, the five-year growth average is 10% per year for houses and 17% per year for units. At Surfers Paradise on the Gold Coast, it’s 8% per year for houses and 12% per year for units.
There are many other similar examples across the nation.
REA Group, which publishes realestate.com.au, has recently highlighted locations where unit price growth is outpacing houses.
Megan Lieu, Economic Analyst at REA Group, says:
“Historically, house values have risen at a faster rate than units, but with affordability pressures, units are being preferred by many homebuyers.”
“In certain suburbs,” she says, “unit prices have grown at more than double the rate of houses over the past year.”
Searches for units on realestate.com.au have also been trending upwards since mid 2020. They now make up close to 40% of all buy searches on-site.
Lieu says that, while the strong performance of units has been evident nationwide, there are areas where demand for units has been particularly high, resulting in significant price increases compared to houses.
In New South Wales, for example, the annual growth in unit values in Engadine, Wagga Wagga and Merimbula has outpaced houses by around 6 percentage points.
In Victorian, Safety Beach, Templestowe Lower and Warragul are examples of locations which have experienced stronger growth in their values compared to houses by considerable margins.
The largest difference in value growth between units and houses in Queensland was observed in the Brisbane suburbs of Waterford, Nundah and Waterford West. Units in Waterford and Waterford West increased at more than twice the percentage of houses in these suburbs in the past 12 months.
PropTrack says that, with housing affordability at its lowest level in three decades, it's to be expected that people are turning to more economical options, especially in suburbs where the gap between house and unit values is significant.
But Hotspotting analysis shows that affordability is NOT the only reason that demand for units is rising. More buyers are choosing attached dwellings for location, for lifestyle and also for safety and security at a time of growing concerns about escalating crime levels.
For all those reasons, each quarter Hotspotting publishes a national report titled The Rise and Rise of Apartments, in association with the leading real estate marketing company Nuestar.
And it proves, emphatically, the units are now a strong option for buyers seeking not only affordability, but strong capital growth as well.