Hotspotting
How accurate are property market forecasts when tested against real results? In this episode, Hotspotting revisits the March 2024 National Top 10 Best Buys Report to examine how its recommended Australian property markets have performed over the past two years. The results reveal strong capital growth across key locations, with standout performers delivering exceptional returns and validating the research signals that identified these markets early. We unpack the data, highlight the top performing regions, and explain the market indicators smart property investors should watch when identifying...
info_outlineHotspotting
Most coverage of the Australian property market focuses on headlines, not reality. In this episode, we unpack why mainstream media reporting can significantly distort how buyers, sellers, and investors perceive market conditions. We examine recent housing data from leading sources including Domain, Cotality, and PropTrack, revealing a more nuanced picture of Australia’s real estate performance. While media narratives often emphasise short-term weakness, the broader data shows widespread growth across capital city and regional markets, particularly in house and unit price trends over recent...
info_outlineHotspotting
Australia’s rental crisis is deepening, but the real story goes far beyond rising rents and low vacancy rates. In this episode, we unpack the structural forces driving Australia’s worsening rental shortage — from policy decisions at state and federal level, to rising costs of property ownership, and the unintended consequences shaping investor behaviour and housing supply. With vacancy rates at critically low levels across most capital cities, and affordability deteriorating for tenants nationwide, the data reveals a market under sustained and growing pressure. We explore why...
info_outlineHotspotting
What if the strongest property investment opportunities could be identified before the market surge? In this episode, we unpack the standout results from The Pulse and reveal how Hotspotting’s market analysis identified 50 Australian locations that went on to deliver exceptional performance over the past two years. With every market recording positive capital growth, average gains of 41%, and top performers climbing as high as 78%, this episode explores the data, trends and market fundamentals driving these remarkable outcomes. We examine the suburbs that delivered the biggest...
info_outlineHotspotting
With vacancy rates at record lows and rents consuming more household income than ever… is Australia’s rental crisis getting worse? In this episode of The Property Playbook, host Tim Graham is joined by Terry Ryder, Founder of Hotspotting, to unpack the real drivers behind Australia’s housing shortage — and why the situation continues to deteriorate. With national vacancy rates sitting around 1%, well below the ~3% level considered a balanced market, and more than 3,400 people arriving in Australia every day, the pressure on rental supply is intensifying — and there are no quick fixes...
info_outlineHotspotting
When global markets turn volatile, where does capital seek safety? In this episode, we explore why Australian property continues to demonstrate resilience amid economic uncertainty, share market swings, and geopolitical disruption. Drawing on historical cycles including the dotcom crash, the Global Financial Crisis, and COVID, we examine a consistent theme: while equities react sharply to global events, Australian real estate remains underpinned by structural demand, limited supply, and long term fundamentals. We unpack the key drivers shaping the market today, including population...
info_outlineHotspotting
Australia’s housing crisis continues to dominate headlines, political debate and public discourse, yet meaningful progress remains elusive. In this episode, we take a clear, evidence-based look at why decades of inquiries, policy interventions and commentary have failed to materially improve housing affordability, supply and rental conditions across the country. We unpack the structural drivers behind the shortage of dwellings, the persistent rise in construction costs and build times, and the disconnect between policy narratives and market realities. The discussion also challenges widely...
info_outlineHotspotting
Are interest rate hikes really fixing inflation—or just shifting the pain? In this episode, we take a hard look at the latest move by the Reserve Bank of Australia and unpack why raising rates may be a blunt, outdated response to a complex economic problem. With the cash rate climbing to 4.10% under Governor Michele Bullock, we examine who actually bears the cost—and why mortgage holders continue to carry the heaviest load. Drawing on economic data and policy insights, we explore the real drivers of inflation in Australia, from energy prices and housing supply to government spending...
info_outlineHotspotting
Australia’s property market is under pressure like never before. Listings are low, vacancies are tight, and new supply is failing to meet demand. Why are prices and rents continuing to rise despite government interventions? In this episode, we cut through the headlines to uncover the real drivers of the housing crunch. From shrinking rental stock to a stalled construction pipeline, we explore the structural challenges shaping the market and what it means for buyers, renters, and investors. Tune in for expert insights, data-backed analysis, and a clear view of why scarcity is the true force...
info_outlineHotspotting
Australia’s property market is under pressure like never before. Listings are low, vacancies are tight, and new supply is failing to meet demand. Why are prices and rents continuing to rise despite government interventions? In this episode, we cut through the headlines to uncover the real drivers of the housing crunch. From shrinking rental stock to a stalled construction pipeline, we explore the structural challenges shaping the market and what it means for buyers, renters, and investors. Tune in for expert insights, data-backed analysis, and a clear view of why scarcity is the true force...
info_outlineThe greatest complaint heard most often in real estate across Australia is that there are plenty of buyers, but a shortage of listings.
The number of properties for sale has been well short of the levels needed for a balanced market, particularly in the boom cities of Adelaide, Brisbane and Perth.
But that is steadily changing. According to SQM Research, total listings of properties for sale nationwide grew 7.6% in November and are now more than 10% higher than a year ago.
Perhaps most significantly, there were major rises in November in those three boom cities, with the number of listings up 20% in Perth and close to 17% in Adelaide, with Brisbane recording a rise of 8.6%.
That follows significant increases in October also.
The rise in listings nationally in November was driven by a 6.4% rise in old listings (stock on market over 180 days) and a notable 22% rise in properties being on the market between 30 to 90 days.
SQM Research commented that this strongly indicated that the spring selling season had been a disappointing period for vendors and agents.
Cities with significant annual increases in listings included Sydney, Melbourne and Hobart – all up 16 to 17 per cent – and Canberra, up 23% in annual terms.
Comparing the current situation with recent history, national listings of properties for sale are still below the levels common before 2021, but have been generally rising since July.
In Sydney, listings are the highest they’ve been since 2019 and in Melbourne they’re the highest since November 2020. In Canberra they’re close to the peak levels of 2019.
In Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide they’re still well below historic levels but have been rising steadily since mid-2024, with particularly large increases in November.
The rise in the number of properties for sale coincides with evidence that the rate of price growth is reducing in those market-leading cities.
The big exception in all this is Darwin, the only capital city to record a reduction in the number of listings in November – and it remains 17% below the levels of a year ago.
The figures provide further evidence of change in individual markets, with a growing number of indictors that the Perth boom has passed its peak and that there may be stronger price performance in places like Darwin in 2025.