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Renergen sells Helium, Finally. Gold & Top40 at all-time Highs

WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

Release Date: 03/19/2025

Buffett Buys UnitedHealth, should you? | The Google Listing with a Twist Turns 21 show art Buffett Buys UnitedHealth, should you? | The Google Listing with a Twist Turns 21

WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

๐ŸŒ Worldwide Markets Ep. 644 โ€“ 20 August 2024 ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Hosted by Simon Brown This weekโ€™s episode dives into Buffettโ€™s latest moves, Googleโ€™s iconic IPO, and big results from Standard Bank, MTN, and Sasol. Hereโ€™s what you need to know: ๐Ÿ“ˆ Buffett Buys UnitedHealth โ€“ Should You Follow? Berkshire Hathaway picked up UnitedHealth (UNH). Stock has fallen from $600 โ†’ $308 due to federal investigations โš–๏ธ. On paper, valuation looks attractive: Forward PE ~19 (below long-term average). Price-to-book ~2.9 vs decade average of 4.9. Analysts split: 2 sells, 5 holds, 12 buys, 6...

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US Inflation โ€“ Numbers come in softer than expected ๐Ÿ“Š, fuelling hopes for a **September rate cut** from the Fed ๐Ÿฆ. โ›ฝ Sasol trading update โ€“ PE under 3 ๐Ÿ˜ฎ, H2 profits looking stronger, and the market loving it (+9.7% ๐Ÿš€). ๐Ÿ’ฐ Share buybacks โ€“ Why US companies love them, the tax angle, and Appleโ€™s massive \$100bn spree ๐Ÿ. Apple out standing shares ๐Ÿช™ Gold & the Resi10 index โ€“ Resource stocks roaring in 2024, +72.5% YTD ๐Ÿคฏ, but will gold break out of its range?  Gold Weekly | 12 August 2025 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China trade surplus โ€“ Despite tariffs &...

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๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Worldwide Markets โ€“ Episode 642 ๐Ÿ“… Recorded: Tuesday, 5 August ๐Ÿ’ผ Host: Simon Brown ๐ŸŒ Powered by Standard Bank Shyft โ€“ The global money app for travel, shopping, payments & investing. ๐Ÿ”ฎ Market Highlights ๐Ÿ“ˆ Purple Group* rocks ๐Ÿš€ Share price has more than doubled since April lows. ๐Ÿงพ PE at 56, but strong growth potential and product expansion. ๐Ÿ’ผ Simon holds the stock โ€” bought low, holding for the long term.   ๐Ÿฆ MPC shifts inflation target ๐ŸŽฏ ๐Ÿ”ฝ New anchor at 3%, down from 4.5%. โš ๏ธ Finance Minister pushes back โ€” governance...

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SARB has not added to gold reserves in two decades | Which JSE stocks will be hit by tariffs? show art SARB has not added to gold reserves in two decades | Which JSE stocks will be hit by tariffs?

WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

๐Ÿ”บ Tariffs Incoming ๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ SA faces 30% US tariffs starting Friday. ๐Ÿš— Auto industry, ๐ŸŠ citrus, ๐Ÿšš logistics & ๐Ÿงช fertilizer sectors (like Omnia, Kaap Agri, Impact) to feel the heat โ€” but no fatal blows expected. ๐Ÿ“‰ MPC Policy Misfire? ๐Ÿ’ฐ SA inflation at 3%, but rates still stuck at 10.75%. ๐Ÿ“‰ Is the MPC behind the curve? Simon says: Yes. ๐Ÿ“‰ Calls for a rate cut of at least 0.5% to 1%. SA CPI and Prime | 29 July 2025 ๐Ÿฅ‡ Why Hasnโ€™t the SARB Bought Gold in 20 Years? ๐Ÿ“Š From 2005 to 2025: only ยฑ48,000 ounces added. ๐Ÿ“‰ Gold outperformed the USD by a wide...

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๐ŸŒ This week on Worldwide Markets, Simon dives into a packed show covering inflation, earnings, property deals, and opportunities in local stocks. Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets and Shyft โ€” your gateway to global investing. ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ’ธ ๐Ÿ“‰ Inflation Target Cut โ€“ A Bad Idea? โ€ข SA may shift to a 3% inflation target ๐Ÿ“Š โ€ข Risks of higher interest rates ๐Ÿ˜ฌ โ€ข Real rates already sky-high ๐Ÿš€ ๐Ÿ’ต Weaker US Dollar & Tech Gains โ€ข Trumpโ€™s weaker dollar policy in motion ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“‰ โ€ข MAG7 & Nasdaq benefit: 49%+ offshore revenue ๐Ÿ–ฅ๏ธ๐ŸŒ โ€ข S&P 500 and...

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WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

๐ŸŽ™ This Week in Markets: US inflation ticks higher ๐Ÿ“ˆ, putting pressure on rate cuts. Powell's in no rush. Local rates also due end-July. ๐Ÿ˜ China Housing Trouble: 3 years of negative home price growth in China ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ. Citizens frustrated as property values slide. Evergrande and other ghosts still haunt. Chinese Home prices Year-on-Year | June 2025 ๐Ÿš€ Elon Watch: Musk injects $2B into XAI ๐Ÿค–. Deck chairs shuffled? Investors seem to approve. ๐Ÿ”ฉ PGMs Shine: Platinum and palladium break higher โšช, supported by tightening supply. Miners like Sibanye*, Implats, and Northam bask in...

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WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

Simonโ€™s on holiday in sunny Durban ๐ŸŒž but couldnโ€™t resist diving into what might be Trumpโ€™s grand economic plan. On the surface, itโ€™s tariffs, spending cuts and tax breaksโ€”but is there real strategy underneath the chaos? ๐Ÿ”น Trumpโ€™s Big Idea: Use tariffs to raise revenue and onshore manufacturing ๐Ÿญ ๐Ÿ”น Debt Drama: US debt now > $30 trillion ๐Ÿ˜ฌ ๐Ÿ”น Tariffs Everywhere: South Africa slapped with 30%โ€”and so is everyone else ๐ŸŒ ๐Ÿ”น Reshoring & Inflation: Could higher costs push inflation up again? ๐Ÿ’ธ๐Ÿ”ฅ ๐Ÿ”น No Deals Signed: 90 deals in 90 days? 0 delivered...

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WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

The Year So Far ๐Ÿ“ˆ Market returns in 2025 tell a story of extreme volatility rather than predictable trends. The US 10-year yield spiked above 4.5%, shaking confidence before Trump walked back tariffs. Trumpโ€™s Second Term ๐Ÿ›๏ธ Tariffs on Mexico, Canada, China, and NATO tensions triggered waves of uncertainty. A 90-day tariff pause ends soonโ€”more volatility ahead. Currency Moves ๐Ÿ’ฑ The rand hit R19.90/$ in April but has strengthened nearly 7% year to date. Dollar weakness is driving big shiftsโ€”its worst start to a year in 50 years! Commodities on Fire ๐Ÿ”ฅ ...

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WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

๐Ÿ’ธ Know Your Fees: Effective Annual Cost (EAC) Not all fees are created equal โ€” EAC is the real number to watch. Applies to retirement products, LISPs, and unit trusts โ€” not to stockbrokers. ๐Ÿ“Š Understand the difference: TER (Total Expense Ratio) TIC (Total Investment Cost) EAC (includes platform + advisor + product fees) ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ Apples-to-apples: Compare funds using EAC. ๐ŸŽฏ Target an EAC between 1.1%โ€“1.5%. ๐Ÿ’ฌ Negotiate! Advisor and platform fees are often flexible. ๐Ÿ” Beware: Some brokers refuse to give the number โ€” thatโ€™s a red flag. โ— Platform...

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WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown

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Market Overview:
  • Top 40 Index: Hit an all-time high of 82,378, currently at 81,800. SA markets remain strong despite a US market selloff.
  • Top40 | Weekly | 18 March 2025 Top40 | Weekly | 18 March 2025
  • Gold: Broke $3,000 for the first time last week, currently around $3,030. Continues to rise amid geopolitical uncertainties.
  • Gold | Weekly | 19 March 2025 Gold | Weekly | 19 March 2025
  • Rand: Trading at 18.07, briefly touching 18.0088 earlier. Dollar weakness driving strength, with a target level of 17.80.
Key Market Insights:
  • Gold as a Portfolio Hedge:
    • Maintains a 6-7% weighting in portfolio.
    • Recent purchase at $2,865 via GLD ETF in New York.
    • Potential buy zones: $2,800 and $2,850.
  • Dollar Index Trends:
    • Initially targeted 104, broke through to 101.
    • Could drive the Rand towards 17.80.
Global Uncertainty & Market Reactions:
  • European tariffs and Ukraine war concerns.
  • Trump-Putin meeting adds to geopolitical tensions.
  • Elevated US market valuations suggest exploring Europe ETFs.
Investment Strategies:
  • AI Participation Note by Standard Bank:
  • Tracks the S&P Kensho AI Index.
  • Two options:
    • 100% Capital Protection - Minimum investment of R25,000, capital secured, potential upside.
    • Capital at Risk with 140% Participation Rate - Higher returns if index rises, but losses if it drops more than 40%.
  • Open for investment until March 28, 2025.
Renergen* Helium Production Milestone:
  • Finally delivered helium after years of delays.
  • Stock surged from R3 to R9.30, but challenges remain.
  • Phase 2 expansion and NASDAQ listing pending.
  • Retail investors remain cautious due to past delays.
Macroeconomic Outlook:
  • Atlanta Fed GDP Now Forecast:
  • Predicts Q1 GDP contraction of -2.1%.
  • Economic slowdown concerns intensifying.
Upcoming Rate Decisions:
  • US Fed (FOMC): Unlikely to cut rates.
  • SA Reserve Bank (MPC): Potential space for a rate cut.

Simon Brown

* I hold ungeared positions.

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00:00 Market Overview and Key Movements
05:47 Gold and Rand Dynamics
12:08 Investment Opportunities in AI
17:43 Renigen's Helium Production and Challenges
20:06 Budget Insights and Economic Outlook