Renergen sells Helium, Finally. Gold & Top40 at all-time Highs
WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
Release Date: 03/19/2025
WorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
๐ Worldwide Markets Ep. 644 โ 20 August 2024 ๐๏ธ Hosted by Simon Brown This weekโs episode dives into Buffettโs latest moves, Googleโs iconic IPO, and big results from Standard Bank, MTN, and Sasol. Hereโs what you need to know: ๐ Buffett Buys UnitedHealth โ Should You Follow? Berkshire Hathaway picked up UnitedHealth (UNH). Stock has fallen from $600 โ $308 due to federal investigations โ๏ธ. On paper, valuation looks attractive: Forward PE ~19 (below long-term average). Price-to-book ~2.9 vs decade average of 4.9. Analysts split: 2 sells, 5 holds, 12 buys, 6...
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๐บ๐ธ US Inflation โ Numbers come in softer than expected ๐, fuelling hopes for a **September rate cut** from the Fed ๐ฆ. โฝ Sasol trading update โ PE under 3 ๐ฎ, H2 profits looking stronger, and the market loving it (+9.7% ๐). ๐ฐ Share buybacks โ Why US companies love them, the tax angle, and Appleโs massive \$100bn spree ๐. Apple out standing shares ๐ช Gold & the Resi10 index โ Resource stocks roaring in 2024, +72.5% YTD ๐คฏ, but will gold break out of its range? Gold Weekly | 12 August 2025 ๐จ๐ณ China trade surplus โ Despite tariffs &...
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๐๏ธ Worldwide Markets โ Episode 642 ๐ Recorded: Tuesday, 5 August ๐ผ Host: Simon Brown ๐ Powered by Standard Bank Shyft โ The global money app for travel, shopping, payments & investing. ๐ฎ Market Highlights ๐ Purple Group* rocks ๐ Share price has more than doubled since April lows. ๐งพ PE at 56, but strong growth potential and product expansion. ๐ผ Simon holds the stock โ bought low, holding for the long term. ๐ฆ MPC shifts inflation target ๐ฏ ๐ฝ New anchor at 3%, down from 4.5%. โ ๏ธ Finance Minister pushes back โ governance...
info_outlineWorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
๐บ Tariffs Incoming ๐ฟ๐ฆ SA faces 30% US tariffs starting Friday. ๐ Auto industry, ๐ citrus, ๐ logistics & ๐งช fertilizer sectors (like Omnia, Kaap Agri, Impact) to feel the heat โ but no fatal blows expected. ๐ MPC Policy Misfire? ๐ฐ SA inflation at 3%, but rates still stuck at 10.75%. ๐ Is the MPC behind the curve? Simon says: Yes. ๐ Calls for a rate cut of at least 0.5% to 1%. SA CPI and Prime | 29 July 2025 ๐ฅ Why Hasnโt the SARB Bought Gold in 20 Years? ๐ From 2005 to 2025: only ยฑ48,000 ounces added. ๐ Gold outperformed the USD by a wide...
info_outlineWorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
๐ This week on Worldwide Markets, Simon dives into a packed show covering inflation, earnings, property deals, and opportunities in local stocks. Powered by Standard Bank Global Markets and Shyft โ your gateway to global investing. ๐๐ธ ๐ Inflation Target Cut โ A Bad Idea? โข SA may shift to a 3% inflation target ๐ โข Risks of higher interest rates ๐ฌ โข Real rates already sky-high ๐ ๐ต Weaker US Dollar & Tech Gains โข Trumpโs weaker dollar policy in motion ๐บ๐ธ๐ โข MAG7 & Nasdaq benefit: 49%+ offshore revenue ๐ฅ๏ธ๐ โข S&P 500 and...
info_outlineWorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
๐ This Week in Markets: US inflation ticks higher ๐, putting pressure on rate cuts. Powell's in no rush. Local rates also due end-July. ๐ China Housing Trouble: 3 years of negative home price growth in China ๐จ๐ณ. Citizens frustrated as property values slide. Evergrande and other ghosts still haunt. Chinese Home prices Year-on-Year | June 2025 ๐ Elon Watch: Musk injects $2B into XAI ๐ค. Deck chairs shuffled? Investors seem to approve. ๐ฉ PGMs Shine: Platinum and palladium break higher โช, supported by tightening supply. Miners like Sibanye*, Implats, and Northam bask in...
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Simonโs on holiday in sunny Durban ๐ but couldnโt resist diving into what might be Trumpโs grand economic plan. On the surface, itโs tariffs, spending cuts and tax breaksโbut is there real strategy underneath the chaos? ๐น Trumpโs Big Idea: Use tariffs to raise revenue and onshore manufacturing ๐ญ ๐น Debt Drama: US debt now > $30 trillion ๐ฌ ๐น Tariffs Everywhere: South Africa slapped with 30%โand so is everyone else ๐ ๐น Reshoring & Inflation: Could higher costs push inflation up again? ๐ธ๐ฅ ๐น No Deals Signed: 90 deals in 90 days? 0 delivered...
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The Year So Far ๐ Market returns in 2025 tell a story of extreme volatility rather than predictable trends. The US 10-year yield spiked above 4.5%, shaking confidence before Trump walked back tariffs. Trumpโs Second Term ๐๏ธ Tariffs on Mexico, Canada, China, and NATO tensions triggered waves of uncertainty. A 90-day tariff pause ends soonโmore volatility ahead. Currency Moves ๐ฑ The rand hit R19.90/$ in April but has strengthened nearly 7% year to date. Dollar weakness is driving big shiftsโits worst start to a year in 50 years! Commodities on Fire ๐ฅ ...
info_outlineWorldWide Markets with Simon Brown
๐ธ Know Your Fees: Effective Annual Cost (EAC) Not all fees are created equal โ EAC is the real number to watch. Applies to retirement products, LISPs, and unit trusts โ not to stockbrokers. ๐ Understand the difference: TER (Total Expense Ratio) TIC (Total Investment Cost) EAC (includes platform + advisor + product fees) ๐๐ Apples-to-apples: Compare funds using EAC. ๐ฏ Target an EAC between 1.1%โ1.5%. ๐ฌ Negotiate! Advisor and platform fees are often flexible. ๐ Beware: Some brokers refuse to give the number โ thatโs a red flag. โ Platform...
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Market Overview:
- Top 40 Index: Hit an all-time high of 82,378, currently at 81,800. SA markets remain strong despite a US market selloff.
Top40 | Weekly | 18 March 2025
- Gold: Broke $3,000 for the first time last week, currently around $3,030. Continues to rise amid geopolitical uncertainties.
Gold | Weekly | 19 March 2025
- Rand: Trading at 18.07, briefly touching 18.0088 earlier. Dollar weakness driving strength, with a target level of 17.80.
Key Market Insights:
- Gold as a Portfolio Hedge:
- Maintains a 6-7% weighting in portfolio.
- Recent purchase at $2,865 via GLD ETF in New York.
- Potential buy zones: $2,800 and $2,850.
- Dollar Index Trends:
- Initially targeted 104, broke through to 101.
- Could drive the Rand towards 17.80.
Global Uncertainty & Market Reactions:
- European tariffs and Ukraine war concerns.
- Trump-Putin meeting adds to geopolitical tensions.
- Elevated US market valuations suggest exploring Europe ETFs.
Investment Strategies:
- AI Participation Note by Standard Bank:
- Tracks the S&P Kensho AI Index.
- Two options:
- 100% Capital Protection - Minimum investment of R25,000, capital secured, potential upside.
- Capital at Risk with 140% Participation Rate - Higher returns if index rises, but losses if it drops more than 40%.
- Open for investment until March 28, 2025.
Renergen* Helium Production Milestone:
- Finally delivered helium after years of delays.
- Stock surged from R3 to R9.30, but challenges remain.
- Phase 2 expansion and NASDAQ listing pending.
- Retail investors remain cautious due to past delays.
Macroeconomic Outlook:
- Atlanta Fed GDP Now Forecast:
- Predicts Q1 GDP contraction of -2.1%.
- Economic slowdown concerns intensifying.
Upcoming Rate Decisions:
- US Fed (FOMC): Unlikely to cut rates.
- SA Reserve Bank (MPC): Potential space for a rate cut.
All charts by KoyFin | Get 10% off your order
00:00 Market Overview and Key Movements
05:47 Gold and Rand Dynamics
12:08 Investment Opportunities in AI
17:43 Renigen's Helium Production and Challenges
20:06 Budget Insights and Economic Outlook