6-14-24 Dealing With the "Squishy" Side of Retirement
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 06/14/2024
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The Federal Reserve is holding interest rates steady, keeping policy in a 3.5%–3.75% range. Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine how markets are reacting to Chair Jerome Powell’s message, and break down what the Fed is signaling—and why it could fuel market volatility ahead. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Mega Reports & Fed Fallout 4:31 - Markets Struggle after 7,000 9:33 - Inflation, Truflation, & Labor 14:14 - Chances of Rate Changes Higher or Lower? 16:44 - Current Growth Spurt is Unsustainable 19:10 - No Mention of QT/QE 21:10 - Citadel Securities; Risk-on Indicator 23:14 -...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are testing the psychologically important 7,000 level—a major round-number threshold for investors. Momentum is turning back to a buy signal, and with no historical resistance above this level, a breakout could open the door toward the Fibonacci extension near 7,100. However, rising speculation and a sharp increase in margin debt signal growing leverage across markets—from equities to metals and miners. While this added leverage can push prices higher in the short term, it also raises downside risk if trades begin to unwind. With bullish trends intact but speculation elevated,...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
Welcome to Q&A Wednesday: The YouTube Chat Free-for-All — our most interactive show of the week. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer real-time questions straight from the YouTube live chat. No scripts. No pre-selected topics. Just timely, unfiltered discussion on the issues investors are wrestling with right now. 0:00 - INTRO 0:19 - Major Mega Cap Earnings After the Bell Today 3:27 - Re-setting the Doomsday Clock 5:59 - Markets Set (Another) All-time High 11:31 - Metals as Assets - Where Are Retail Investors Piling In? 21:14 - Commodities are Just an Asset 22:33 - Dollar's Decline...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets finished Tuesday at fresh all-time highs as leadership rotated back into mega-cap stocks. After a strong run in small- and mid-caps, those areas are now short-term overbought and nearing sell signals, while the S&P 500 itself is triggering a buy signal at more favorable levels. Earnings expectations are elevated, and upside surprises from mega-cap technology are largely priced in. The market’s reaction will hinge less on reported results and more on forward guidance—particularly outlooks for data center and AI-driven capital expenditures. With futures higher this morning,...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn take a hard look at how Millennials and Gen Z view work, career stability, and success in a rapidly changing economy. From corporate burnout and hustle culture to freelancing, side hustles, and remote work, the rules around employment are shifting fast. 0:00 - INTRO 0:20 - Baylor Hockey & Headphone Parties 3:28 - Fed Week preview 6:57 - Markets' Rally & Earnings Preview 12:55 - The Evolution of Work 15:48 - The Gig Job Economy 16:51 - The Importance of Job Security? 18:40 - Lance & Jon's First Jobs Stories 27:25 - Skill Sets for Success 30:25 -...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets have rallied for four straight sessions and are once again pressing toward all-time highs. With price action improving, markets are close to coming off a momentum sell signal—and if upside follow-through holds, that shift could occur as soon as today. A confirmed breakout would provide much-needed “wind beneath the wings” for investor confidence heading deeper into earnings season. Today’s focus turns to several mega-cap earnings reports, where recent pullbacks have created short-term trading opportunities. Apple reports this week following a notable selloff, leaving the stock...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies are once again at the center of investor debate—but for very different reasons than past cycles. Lance Roberts and special guest, DeFi Development Corp's COO, Parker White, examine what’s been happening beneath the surface of the crypto market, including the growing divide between older and younger Bitcoin cohorts and the increasing fractionalization of crypto ownership. Is Bitcoin’s volatility evolving in a way that allows it to function as a portfolio diversifier, especially when compared to traditional hedges, like gold? What is its potential role in an...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
Most people think the hardest part of legacy planning is legal documents, estate taxes, or complex strategies. In reality, the most difficult part is much simpler—and more uncomfortable: starting the conversation. Richard Rosso and Jonathan McCarty discuss why these conversations are so difficult, why avoiding them creates greater risk for families...and offer a starting point solution. 0:00 INTRO 0:19 - Punxsutawny Ted Cruz & Texas Winters 1:47 - The Hardest Part About Legacy Planning 3:20 - When You Have Kids... 5:57 - The Basics of Health Directives 7:25 - The Five Wishes process...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
Betting markets are increasingly pointing to Kevin Warsh as a potential successor to Jerome Powell, with Kevin Hassett expected to remain in his White House role under Donald Trump. Which begs the question: What would a Warsh-led Federal Reserve actually bring to markets? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz explore the possibilities of a Warsh Fed: Would such likely be more tolerant of volatility, rely less on emergency interventions, and place greater emphasis on valuation, fundamentals, and disciplined policy rules? 0:00 INTRO 0:18 - Earnings, Economics, & Imminent Greenland Deal 2:48 -...
info_outlineThe Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets are continuing to digest the recent break below the rising trendline, which has now turned into overhead resistance. Wednesday’s rally attempt stalled precisely at that level before selling pressure resumed. Momentum remains on a sell signal, suggesting near-term upside could stay limited, and a bit more volatility would not be surprising over the next several sessions. Importantly, buyers are still present, waiting for better entry points. This is why reacting emotionally to a single down day can be costly. Let price action confirm whether there is real follow-through or simply...
info_outlineParsing the economic data; Bonds vs ETF's; how bond pries and interest rates move; couting on the income. Danny & Jonathan address YouTube chatroom questions on Bond Yields and Buy/Sell dynamics; Dialing for Petro Dollars: A discussion of the US Dollar's strength, and whether it will still be the world's reserve currency in the future. Four good reasons to keep the Dollar. Transitioning into retirement, from accumulator to distributor, and dealing with the "squishy" side of retirement; finding purpose; activities together vs alone; planning spending allocations. The Dead Air nightmares; why Chick-Fil-A is closed on Sunday; the RIA Advisors Studio Orchestra; Roth conversions now against higher taxes later; crafting a strategy with Backdoor Roths.
SEG-1: Parsing the Data; Bonds vs ETF's
SEG-2: Dialing for Petro Dollars
SEG-3: Dealing w the Squishy side of Retirement
SEG-4: Dead Air, Blue Laws, & Roth Conversions
Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisors, Danny Ratliff, CFP, and Jonathan Penn, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_XdRXLssiy4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"The Dollar's Death: Not So Fast"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-dollars-death-not-so-fast
"Four Reasons The Dollar Is Here to Stay- Part 2"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/four-reasons-the-dollar-is-here-to-stay-part-2
"Golf and Investing: Mastering Long and Short Games For Success"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/golf-and-investing-mastering-long-and-short-games-for-success/
"It’s Not 2000. But There Are Similarities."
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/its-not-2000-but-there-are-similarities/
"Are Economic Reports Pointing To A Recession?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
"Commodities And The Boom-Bust Cycle"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/commodities-and-the-boom-bust-cycle/
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Market Deviation from 50-DMA is Extreme " is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UrXTxLY9ihQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "Federal Reserve and BLS Labor Data Discrepancies Explored"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EarrHemHx5U&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
--------
REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee (6/29/24):
https://streamyard.com/watch/TX6irKYnjHnh
-------
Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
#Retirement #USDollar #ReserveCurrency #PetroDollars #RothConversions #BackdoorRoth #SquishyRetirement #RetirementPlanning #FinancialAdvisor #EmployerBenefits #RetirementStrategy #Working #FinancialPlanning #RetirementValue #MaximizingBenefits #RetirementAdvice #EarlyRetirementPlanning #FinancialAssistance #LongTermPlanning #RetirementGoals #RetirementSavings #FinancialHealth #AdvisorBenefits #Proactive Planning #RetirementSecurity #FuturePlanning #FinancialStrategies #RetirementHelp #Markets #Money #Investing