5-13-25 Is Tariff-driven Volatility Over?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Tariffs rattled markets. Then… silence. Are we in the clear—or is another shock coming? Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn tackle the question: Is Tariff Volatility Over? The reversal of tariffs is only a 90-day reprieve; markets are very over bought, and after Monday's rally are due for some pullback (sooner or later); be patient and bide your time before jumping into the fray. Lance and Jonathan discuss why contrarian investing is smart. Preview of today's inflation print; the danger of not doing proper research before investing: Know what you own. Wondering where to invest next? What do...
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5-13-25 It Pays to Be Patient
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Technically speaking, markets are very over bought in terms of relative strength, which suggests that a lot of the rally from recent lows has been priced into the market. Markets can remain over bought...for a while, but will have more difficulty rising higher without a bit of a pullback first. The likelihood markets will retest those lows is very...low. Momentum is also extremely over bought, which is another indicator markets could have a pullback. If you're looking to add equity exposure to your portfolio, it will pay to be patient. Where will those entry points be? Markets on Monday broke...
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5-12-25 How to Deal with a Bear Market Rally
The Real Investment Show Podcast
It's Lance Roberts' 60th birthday, and the birthday faery made an early visit to the studio. Markets will be boosted today by news of an agreement between the US and China over tariffs. Is the recent market rebound a sign of recovery—or just a classic bear market trap? Lance Roberts breaks down what defines a bear market rally, why investors often get whipsawed by false hope, and how to position your portfolio amid short-term optimism and long-term uncertainty. With earnings season in full swing and rate cuts still in question, we'll explore whether this bounce has legs or is setting...
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5-12-25 Do You Want to Make Some Money?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The market driver today will be news of a workout between the US and China over tariffs. The markets' technical support line, going back to the begining of the tariff negotiations, is emerging as a conglomeration of resistance turning to support at the 100- and 200-DMA's. These are the last lines of defense beyond which markets can move higher. The key is for markets to move above those resistance levels, and hold. Markets are over bought on a few fronts, momentum and relative strength are also quite elevated. This is the challenge to set emotions aside and read what the markets are...
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5-9-25 Hour-Two: Financial Advice for Single Mom's on Mother's Day
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Being a single mom means wearing every hat—and that includes the CFO of the household. In this special Mother’s Day edition of Financial Fitness Friday, Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle offer tailored financial planning advice for single moms, covering essential strategies for budgeting, building an emergency fund, managing debt, and long-term investing. Rich and Matt also cover market trends, tariff news, and Qualified Charitable Deduction Strategies. SEG-5: Will the Tax Bill Pass - How to Prepare SEG-6: Memory Care & Tax Changes Coming SEG-7: Qualified Charitable Deduction Strategies...
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5-9-25 HOUR-1: Will Tax Reform Stall?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
With a new administration in Washington and control of Congress shifting, tax reform is once again a high-stakes issue for investors and business owners. Richard Rosso & Matt Doyle analyze what’s on the table—proposals to adjust capital gains rates, reduce or expand corporate tax burdens, and modify personal income brackets. We’ll break down where negotiations stand, what’s likely to change, and how gridlock could delay progress. This episode is a must-listen for anyone trying to position their portfolio ahead of potential tax legislation. SEG-1: Why It's Never "Really Different...
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5-8-25 The Fed Stays Hawkish
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The Federal Reserve kept its stance firmly hawkish at their latest FOMC meeting — but what does that mean for stocks, bonds, and the economy? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz break down the Fed’s latest interest rate decision, Jerome Powell’s comments, and the immediate market reaction, covering key sectors impacted, investor sentiment shifts, and the Fed’s outlook for inflation, growth, and monetary policy going forward. Lance and Michael discuss why Fed Head Jerome Powell was surprised by the Trump Tariffs, the relative strength of the dollar, and how the economy is "normalizing"...
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5-8-25 Can the Market Continue to Build?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets initially responded with disappointment to the Fed holding firm on interest rates, but did pull out a positive day by the end of Wednesday's session. Markets again bounced off support at the 50-DMA, testing and holding that level twice in the past few days. Markets are building support at the same time the 20-DMA is catching up to the 50-DMA, building a double layer of support just below where stocks are trading. Professional traders are currently under-weight or equally-weighted exposure to equities, which gives a lot of potential buying power entering the market. Markets are now...
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5-7-25 China Blinks
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee meeting concludes this afternoon; expect some volatility. As the U.S. pushes forward with new tariffs and a tougher trade stance, China appears to blink — signaling potential cracks in its economic armor. Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff dive into the latest developments in the U.S.–China trade conflict, why China is making strategic concessions, and what it means for global markets, supply chains, and future negotiations. Danny reviews his trip to South Africa, and they discuss the possible impact of AI on employment; market dynamics are being...
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5-7-25 Shallow Pullbacks Still Spell Opportunity
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets sold off again on Tuesday, re-testing the 50-DMA. If markets can bounce and hold today, the 50-DMA will shift from resistance back into support. If markets fail there, the 20-DMA at 5,400 will be the next level of support. There are about 150-points of downside presently, and upside will be limited to about 5,730. Markets are performing well for now; retail investors bought heavily into the dip. The question is whether they right, or is this part of a bigger, corrective cycle? (Professional investors have already sold-out of this rally, being on the wrong side of the trade.) The...
info_outlineMarkets initially sold off, but buyers returned at mid-morning to end the day at break-even. Markets are now stuck pushing up against previous, pre-tariff bottoms. Markets are on buy signals across the board, but getting over bought on a short term basis.We're seeing improving breadth as a rare Zweig Breadth Thrust creates optimism (See article link below), which action typically marks market lows. (That does not mean markets have established their final low, nor that markets will go ripping up to all new highs.) This does not mean we're out of the woods quite yet. But this is the time to start taking profits.
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the video version of this podcast:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nlVXku2L9ow&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"A Rare Zweig Breadth Thrust Provides Optimism"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/a-rare-zweig-breadth-thrust-provides-optimism/
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