8-11-25 Markets are Set Up for Correction | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 08/11/2025
The Real Investment Show Podcast
New investors often believe that higher risk equals higher reward—but that’s not always the case. Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn explore why newbie investors take on more risk than experienced ones, the common investing mistakes beginners make, and how risk management strategies can protect long-term wealth. From portfolio allocation to investor psychology, we’ll compare how experienced vs. beginner investors approach risk and why discipline matters more than luck. If you’re starting your investing journey, this discussion will help you avoid the traps that cost new investors...
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Markets sold off after testing all time highs. The S&P has now set a "double top," and markets are now consolidating in a very narrow channel. Meanwhile, markets are doing well with a bullish trend still in place. However, there also remains a negative divergence with money flows going into the market are weakening, as well as a negative divergence in momentum and relative strength. Underneath the surface, there is some deterioration in the markets. Such are not immediate threats, but are a prelude to an eventual market correction. And with level of deviation, a price correction of between...
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“Buy every dip” has been the mantra of this bull market — and so far, it has rewarded investors. Lance Roberts explains why the buy the dip strategy continues to work in today’s market, even as valuations stretch and risks build beneath the surface. Lance looks at how investors are approaching stock market pullback investing, what history tells us about short-term market trends versus long-term risks, and the potential turning points that could challenge the strategy. More importantly, we’ll outline how to incorporate risk management in volatile markets so portfolios aren’t caught...
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Markets closed at all-time highs on Friday, thanks to comments by Jerome Powell that the Fed will be cutting rates in September. Markets confirmed support at the 20-DMA. Markets also saw a very sharp uptick in money flows, thanks to options expirations: Friday was the largest options expiration day for August on record. Market breadth also improved dramatically. Small-cap and Mid-cap stocks also jumped by 3%. Futures this morning are lower, with some profit taking coming in. However, we are still running a negative divergence in money flows and relative strength, indicating underlying...
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Raising money-smart kids is one of the most valuable lessons you can give them for life. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down how to teach kids about money, from saving and budgeting to making smart financial decisions early on. You’ll learn practical strategies for financial literacy for children, including: Simple ways to explain money to kids How to teach kids to save money and set goals Smart money habits that last a lifetime Real-world lessons for raising financially responsible kids Whether you’re a parent, grandparent, or educator, these tips will help you set the...
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Markets are showing signs of a speculative frenzy once again—but is the fire burning out or just getting started? Danny Ratliff & Michael Lebowitz break down the latest stock market speculation, shifts in investor sentiment 2025, and the risks of a potential market bubble forming. We’ll look at how speculative trading trends are driving prices higher, what this means for long-term investors, and where financial market volatility could take markets next. If you’re looking to understand whether the rally is sustainable—or if risk is quietly building beneath the surface—this...
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Target's earnings report was not good, and guidance was weaker; the chain is blaming the consumer for not spending in their stores. This is nothing new: We've heard from other retailers like Chipotle, Starbuck's, and Cava that consumers are holding back on spending. Additionally, a look at GDP reveals consumption, which is 2/3rds of the economy, dropping a lot. AI infrastructure building has offset this somewhat, but it underscores the importance of the consumer in the economy. WalMart's report today will be similarly intriguing as a barometer of the consumer. This may be the calm before the...
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Lance Roberts interviews John Tamny, author, economist, and editor of RealClearMarkets. Tamny’s provocative new book, Deficit Delusion, reframes how we think about debt and growth. He makes a bold case: Trump-style protectionism and fear-driven immigration policies are economically self-defeating—even for conservatives. Trade is the greatest foreign policy mankind has ever devised, plus it's great for workers as is any scenario that expands the division of labor. $36.1 trillion Government Debt is not a crisis—it’s a sign of U.S. strength & investor confidence about the...
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Do you really need a local financial advisor to manage your money? Geography doesn’t matter anymore when it comes to building wealth and securing your financial future. Lance previews this week's Jackson Hole consortium; what will Jerome Powell Infer? Lance Roberts & Jonathan Penn cover the conundrum of local vs virtual financial advisors; how college students are lured by credit card offers, and the dangers of credit accounts. This leads to a discussion of personal budgeting, and how deceptively easy it is to begin a culture of savings; the "B-word" is Budget; the importance of...
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Markets have been very slowly climbing a wall of worry over the past few weeks. While August tends to be a weaker month for markets, such has not been the case thus far. However, negative divergences in relative strength, money flows, and momentum have belied an underlying weakness in the markets. The NASDAQ has been doing well with the drive to chase technology stocks, but that trend has weakened even more than the S&P 500, creating a divergence between the two indexes. A look at Bitcoin, which is a proxy for risk-taking, and for which there is a high correlation with the NASDAQ, also...
info_outlineMarkets are doing okay despite their correction a week ago, which revealed a pullback in relative strength. Markets subsequently stair-stepped their way back up to tease new, all-time highs. Do not rule out the presence of seasonality, however. The thing to watch is the deterioration of money flows; even though markets are going up, the underlying money flows are continuing to weaken. Are money flows about to turn positive? It's the wrong time of the year for that. Market is actually set up more for correction. Buyers are sitting a good bit lower than where sellers are.
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch the Video version of this report on our YouTube channel:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ajVPyWtMA9I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
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Articles mentioned in this report:
"US Economic Growth Shows Cracks"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/us-economic-growth-shows-cracks/
"Meme Stock Trading & Livermore’s Approach To Speculation"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/meme-stock-trading-livermores-approach-to-speculation/
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