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5-4-26 Summer Sell-Off Risk Rising

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Release Date: 05/04/2026

6-17-26 Q&A Wednesday: What Matters Now? show art 6-17-26 Q&A Wednesday: What Matters Now?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets have rebounded sharply from their recent correction, but investors are now asking what comes next. Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff answer your questions about the economy, interest rates, inflation, market valuations, bonds, retirement planning, artificial intelligence, geopolitics, and the biggest risks facing investors today. Will the Federal Reserve remain on hold? How could oil prices, earnings growth, and consumer spending impact markets during the second half of the year? Are stocks becoming too expensive, or is the bull market still intact? We break down the latest economic...

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6-17-26 Oil's Next Move Matters  | Before the Bell show art 6-17-26 Oil's Next Move Matters | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets remain near all-time highs but struggled to break higher, fading into Tuesday's close and showing little direction ahead of the open. While stocks search for a catalyst, oil prices may hold the key to the next move in inflation and investor sentiment. Despite geopolitical tensions, disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, and concerns over global supply, crude oil has remained rangebound. Now, with an Iran agreement announced and oil prices drifting toward their 200-day moving average, investors are asking whether energy prices are headed lower or preparing for another spike. In today's...

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6-16-26 SpaceX Mania: What Happens After the Hype? show art 6-16-26 SpaceX Mania: What Happens After the Hype?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

SpaceX has become one of the most anticipated investment stories in modern market history. Between Elon Musk's popularity, the company's technological achievements, and years of speculation about a public offering, investor excitement is reaching fever pitch. But what happens after the hype? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine the lessons to be learned from previous high-profile IPOs, and why some of the biggest investing mistakes occur after the initial excitement fades. We discuss valuation, investor psychology, momentum chasing, and the risks that emerge when enthusiasm becomes...

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6-16-26 Bullish Setup Returns  | Before the Bell show art 6-16-26 Bullish Setup Returns | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets continue to recover from the recent 4.5% correction, holding above the 20-day moving average and setting up a potential run toward new all-time highs. Relative strength is improving, momentum indicators are beginning to reverse higher, and a new buy signal could provide additional fuel for the rally as we move into historically strong July seasonality. In today's pre-market update, we examine why the recent pullback may have cleared the path for further gains, how declining oil prices are helping support risk assets, and why the reopening of global energy supply routes could create...

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6-15-26 Bull Market Pullback - Is the Correction Over? show art 6-15-26 Bull Market Pullback - Is the Correction Over?

The Real Investment Show Podcast

The market finally delivered the pullback we expected, with stocks retreating roughly 4.5% before finding support at the 50-day moving average. Was that enough to reset bullish sentiment, or is another correction still ahead? In this episode, Lance Roberts examines why the 50-DMA remains one of the most important technical support levels during an ongoing bull market and whether the recent decline was simply a healthy pause within a larger uptrend.  Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:54 - Launching another Holiday-shortened Week 6:17 - Market Pullback Enables Stock...

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6-15-26 Single Sector Driving Markets | Before the Bell show art 6-15-26 Single Sector Driving Markets | Before the Bell

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Markets finally delivered the correction we had been anticipating. After becoming extremely extended, the S&P 500 pulled back 4.5% from peak to trough, testing the 50-day moving average before buyers stepped back in. In today's pre-market update, we review why this pullback was healthy, how the 50-DMA provided critical support, and why the recent Iran peace agreement is helping fuel a return toward all-time highs. We also discuss the sector rotation out of technology and semiconductors into defensive areas during the correction, and what that tells us about market leadership going forward....

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6-12-26 Choosing a Financial Advisor - Best of Financial Fitness Fridays show art 6-12-26 Choosing a Financial Advisor - Best of Financial Fitness Fridays

The Real Investment Show Podcast

What should you really expect from a financial advisor? Is your advisor acting as a fiduciary, managing risk, helping with taxes, retirement income, estate planning, and behavioral coaching, or just selling products and chasing performance? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the real role of a financial advisor, what services matter most, how advisors are compensated, and the warning signs investors often miss. We also discuss fiduciary standards, portfolio management, communication expectations, financial planning, and why transparency matters more than promises.. Here's a...

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6-11-26 Why the Dollar Still Rules - Brent Johnson Interview show art 6-11-26 Why the Dollar Still Rules - Brent Johnson Interview

The Real Investment Show Podcast

Is the U.S. Dollar really collapsing, or is the world still trapped in a dollar-based system with no true alternative? Today’s discussion breaks down the myths behind de-dollarization, why BRICS nations still face trust problems, and how the global monetary system depends on U.S. dollar liquidity, debt markets, and swap lines. We examine the relationship between gold, oil, fiat currencies, and central bank reserves, along with why the dollar continues to dominate global trade despite endless bearish headlines. We also discuss why fiat currencies are intentionally designed to lose value over...

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6-10-26 Wives Take Over: Money, Marriage, and Real Talk - ENCORE show art 6-10-26 Wives Take Over: Money, Marriage, and Real Talk - ENCORE

The Real Investment Show Podcast

What happens when the wives take over the show?  The tables are turned as Michelle Ratliff & Christina Roberts step in to answer the questions investors never hear. From what Lance and Danny would really be doing outside of wealth management, to what happens if they suddenly win the lottery, we blend humor with surprisingly real financial insight. We also dig into the realities of managing money at home: Where couples disagree about finances Where financial values actually align How to teach kids a healthy relationship with money Plus, a hilarious (and relatable) breakdown of “Girl...

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6-9-26 The Dirty Dozen of Estate Planning - The Russ Newton Interview show art 6-9-26 The Dirty Dozen of Estate Planning - The Russ Newton Interview

The Real Investment Show Podcast

The Dirty Dozen of Estate Planning: Are you making costly estate planning mistakes without realizing it?  Jon Penn and Estate Attorney Russ Newton break down the most common errors people make when creating wills, trusts, powers of attorney, beneficiary designations, and charitable gifting strategies. From dying intestate and failing to update documents, to misunderstanding Texas estate laws, TOD and Lady Bird deeds, testamentary trusts, and living trusts, this discussion covers the practical steps families can take to protect assets and avoid unnecessary legal problems. We also explore...

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More Episodes

Markets have pushed higher, but underlying risks are beginning to build as we head into the summer months. From stretched valuations and overbought technical conditions to seasonal weakness and shifting liquidity, investors may be facing a more challenging environment than recent gains suggest.

Lance Roberts breaks down the key signals pointing to a potential summer sell-off, including market breadth, momentum, and the impact of earnings season winding down. We also discuss how buybacks, economic data, and Federal Reserve policy could influence the next move in stocks, and whether any pullback would represent a healthy reset or something more significant.

Key topics include:

0:00 - INTRO
0:56 - Launching Month of May - Manufacturing Numbers review
4:42 - Ongoing Update on Strait of Hormuz
6:02 - Trim Risk Now
10:43 - Chat Rebuttal: Why the market doesn't care about ongoing "war..."
13:45 - Why Summer Correction Risk is Rising
15:45 - Market Breadth Continues to Deteriorate
17:33 - New York Advance/Decline Line Breadth Metric
18:32 - Market Volatility
20:21 - Summer Seasonality is a Real Thing
23:57 - Market Performance in Mid-term Election Years
25:46 - Updated Outlook for Oil Prices
28:54 - How to Navigate Markets Now
32:12 - The Robot Economy & The Minimum Wage
37:48 - The Conundrum of the K-Shaped Economy & Wealth Divide
40:43 - You CAN Be Replaced - Jobs at Risk
42:04 - What You Can Do About It
44:35 - Invest today in the companies of tomorrow

Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Markets Near Peak - Pullback Risk Rising," here:
https://youtu.be/OBGLWIvsGZI
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Watch our previous show, "Gray Divorce: Social Security Secrets,"
https://youtube.com/live/rXi5IdkLNRM
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Resources Mentioned in Today's Show:
"Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/
"The Dollar’s Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/
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Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/
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