6-1-26 Portfolio Insurance Before the Pullback? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 06/01/2026
7-14-26 Winning Less, Investing Better
The Real Investment Show Podcast
What if the biggest advantage in today's markets isn't making more trades or winning every debate—but knowing when to step back? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine two powerful ideas: why constantly trying to be "right" can actually hurt investment returns, and how today's financial markets increasingly resemble gambling platforms fueled by constant speculation, options trading, prediction markets, sports betting, and cryptocurrencies. 0:00 INTRO 0:54 - Mixed Market & Heightened VIX on Semi-conductors 4:41 - Markets Trying to Breakout of Wedge 9:18 - Candid Coffee Tease 10:01 - The...
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7-14-26 Oil, Chips, and a Market at Support | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets remain on a technical buy signal, but today's session could determine whether stocks finally break out of their tightening compression pattern or remain trapped inside the wedge. Rising moving averages continue to provide support, yet higher oil prices are pushing interest rates higher, adding another layer of risk for investors. We also examine the semiconductor sector, where momentum is fading as volatility increases. We'll discuss the key support levels, upside targets, stop-loss zones, and what a breakdown could mean for technology stocks and the broader market. If you're heavily...
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7-13-26 Why Spotting Bubbles Is So Hard
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Every investor wants to identify the next market bubble before it bursts, but history shows that's far easier said than done. Whether it's technology stocks, housing, cryptocurrencies, or today's Artificial Intelligence leaders, distinguishing a true speculative bubble from a powerful long-term investment trend is one of the greatest challenges in investing. Lance Roberts explains why bubbles are so difficult to recognize in real time, the behavioral biases that cloud investor judgment, and how to manage portfolio risk without relying on perfect market timing. 0:00 INTRO 0:51 -...
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7-13-26 Momentum Meets Complacency | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets finally broke above weeks of price compression, triggering a bullish momentum breakout after rising support and declining resistance converged. While the technical picture remains constructive, investor complacency is increasing as markets approach overbought territory. Lance Roberts examines why this breakout may have more limited upside than many investors expect, why cheap put options deserve attention, how oversold oil prices could reverse higher into the mid-$80s, and why the continued rotation from Value to Growth—led by semiconductors—is expanding across the broader market....
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7-10-26 The Boomerang Generation - When Adult Kids Move Back Home
The Real Investment Show Podcast
More families are experiencing the Boomerang Generation phenomenon, with adult children moving back home because of housing costs, student debt, career changes, or other life events. Before saying "yes," parents should understand the financial, legal, and retirement planning implications. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty discuss how you can protect your retirement while helping your adult children, including household expenses, setting boundaries, estate planning considerations, and knowing when financial support helps—or hurts. Whether your adult children are moving back temporarily or...
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7-9-26 Yield Curve Warnings: Signal or False Alarm?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Flattening yield curves, violent sector rotations, and shifting market leadership often trigger recession headlines—but do they really predict when markets will peak? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz look at why investors frequently confuse condition indicators with timing indicators. While yield curve flattening and rapid rotations between growth and value stocks can reveal that the market environment is changing, they don't tell you exactly when a recession or bear market will begin. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Markets' Response to Hormuz Limbo 5:54 - Consolidation Patterns Remain Unchanged...
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7-9-26 Breakout Still Waiting | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets remain trapped in a tight consolidation pattern, but the technical picture has not materially changed. The S&P 500 once again found support at the closely aligned 20-day and 50-day moving averages, preserving the current buy signal while investors wait for a decisive breakout. Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the Nasdaq as money rotates back into the momentum trade, even as geopolitical tensions with Iran create headline risk. We'll discuss why the market appears comfortable with the current environment, what could trigger a 3% to 5% pullback, and why oil prices remain a...
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7-8-26 Q&A Wednesday - Markets, Rates, and Risk
The Real Investment Show Podcast
It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts examines whether the momentum-driven rally in semiconductors can continue, how the Iran cease-fire breakdown could affect markets, and what investors should watch ahead of the FOMC decision. We also answer your questions on the differences between the NASDAQ VIX and S&P VIX, whether government policies continue to support elevated real estate prices, investing in Canadian companies through IRAs, the implications of a yield curve un-inversion, portfolio rebalancing strategies, dollar-cost averaging, maintaining the right cash allocation, the...
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7-8-26 Momentum Cracks, But Markets Hold | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Markets remain locked in an increasingly tight consolidation pattern, with price compression signaling that a decisive move may be approaching. While technical support continues to hold, traders should be watching downside levels closely as geopolitical tensions with Iran re-emerge and add another layer of uncertainty. The biggest shift beneath the surface is in market leadership. The momentum trade, led by semiconductors, is beginning to weaken as a potential head-and-shoulders pattern develops. At the same time, investors are rotating toward value stocks and broader market participation,...
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7-7-26 Could You Spot a Ponzi Scam?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Could you recognize a Ponzi scheme before it's too late? Most victims believe they're too smart to be scammed—until they're not. Lance Roberts & Jon Penn look at how Ponzi schemes, affinity fraud, and romance scams exploit trust, emotion, and urgency rather than intelligence. From promises of guaranteed returns to online relationships that suddenly turn into investment opportunities, scammers continue to steal billions from unsuspecting investors every year. We'll discuss the warning signs every investor should know, why even experienced professionals fall victim, and the practical steps...
info_outlineAfter nine straight weeks of gains, investor optimism is running high, money flows remain elevated, and portfolio protection has become an afterthought. But history suggests that periods of extreme complacency often precede at least a short-term market reset.
In this morning's market update, we review the surge in money flows since April, the growing divergence from long-term moving averages, and why markets may be increasingly vulnerable to a pullback. While the bullish trend remains intact, momentum and relative strength indicators are stretched, raising the risk of a reversion toward more normal levels.
We discuss practical ways investors can think about portfolio insurance without using complex options strategies. From raising cash levels through profit-taking to utilizing short-term Treasuries, simple hedging approaches can help reduce risk while maintaining market participation.
A correction does not have to be severe to feel uncomfortable, especially after an extended advance with very little volatility. Understanding risk management before volatility returns can help investors avoid emotional decisions when markets inevitably pull back.
Watch today's update as we discuss market complacency, portfolio hedging, cash as a strategic asset, and why protecting gains can be just as important as generating them.
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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