6-11-26 Why the Dollar Still Rules - Brent Johnson Interview
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 06/11/2026
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Every investor wants to identify the next market bubble before it bursts, but history shows that's far easier said than done. Whether it's technology stocks, housing, cryptocurrencies, or today's Artificial Intelligence leaders, distinguishing a true speculative bubble from a powerful long-term investment trend is one of the greatest challenges in investing. Lance Roberts explains why bubbles are so difficult to recognize in real time, the behavioral biases that cloud investor judgment, and how to manage portfolio risk without relying on perfect market timing. 0:00 INTRO 0:51 -...
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Markets finally broke above weeks of price compression, triggering a bullish momentum breakout after rising support and declining resistance converged. While the technical picture remains constructive, investor complacency is increasing as markets approach overbought territory. Lance Roberts examines why this breakout may have more limited upside than many investors expect, why cheap put options deserve attention, how oversold oil prices could reverse higher into the mid-$80s, and why the continued rotation from Value to Growth—led by semiconductors—is expanding across the broader market....
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More families are experiencing the Boomerang Generation phenomenon, with adult children moving back home because of housing costs, student debt, career changes, or other life events. Before saying "yes," parents should understand the financial, legal, and retirement planning implications. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty discuss how you can protect your retirement while helping your adult children, including household expenses, setting boundaries, estate planning considerations, and knowing when financial support helps—or hurts. Whether your adult children are moving back temporarily or...
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Flattening yield curves, violent sector rotations, and shifting market leadership often trigger recession headlines—but do they really predict when markets will peak? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz look at why investors frequently confuse condition indicators with timing indicators. While yield curve flattening and rapid rotations between growth and value stocks can reveal that the market environment is changing, they don't tell you exactly when a recession or bear market will begin. 0:00 INTRO 1:02 - Markets' Response to Hormuz Limbo 5:54 - Consolidation Patterns Remain Unchanged...
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Markets remain trapped in a tight consolidation pattern, but the technical picture has not materially changed. The S&P 500 once again found support at the closely aligned 20-day and 50-day moving averages, preserving the current buy signal while investors wait for a decisive breakout. Semiconductor stocks continue to lead the Nasdaq as money rotates back into the momentum trade, even as geopolitical tensions with Iran create headline risk. We'll discuss why the market appears comfortable with the current environment, what could trigger a 3% to 5% pullback, and why oil prices remain a...
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It's Q&A Wednesday, and Lance Roberts examines whether the momentum-driven rally in semiconductors can continue, how the Iran cease-fire breakdown could affect markets, and what investors should watch ahead of the FOMC decision. We also answer your questions on the differences between the NASDAQ VIX and S&P VIX, whether government policies continue to support elevated real estate prices, investing in Canadian companies through IRAs, the implications of a yield curve un-inversion, portfolio rebalancing strategies, dollar-cost averaging, maintaining the right cash allocation, the...
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Markets remain locked in an increasingly tight consolidation pattern, with price compression signaling that a decisive move may be approaching. While technical support continues to hold, traders should be watching downside levels closely as geopolitical tensions with Iran re-emerge and add another layer of uncertainty. The biggest shift beneath the surface is in market leadership. The momentum trade, led by semiconductors, is beginning to weaken as a potential head-and-shoulders pattern develops. At the same time, investors are rotating toward value stocks and broader market participation,...
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Markets are pulling back after Monday's momentum buy signal as investors digest news that China's DeepSeek has reportedly developed its own AI chip. Is this the beginning of a larger rotation away from the semiconductor leaders that have powered this bull market? Lance Roberts examines why semiconductor stocks have become increasingly vulnerable after a parabolic advance, how new competition can quickly change supply-and-demand expectations, and why profit-taking in one sector can ripple through the entire market. We also discuss why defensive sectors, including Healthcare, Financials,...
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Does rising margin debt really signal an imminent stock market crash? Not necessarily. Lance Roberts examines why many commonly cited margin debt charts can be misleading, which measures deserve investors' attention, and how leverage should be interpreted within the context of liquidity, economic growth, and market trends. 0:00 INTRO 0:50 - July 4th Recap, FIFA Soccer, & Earnings Season Launch 5:31 - Market Set up for July 9:46 - Market Futures & Economic Surveys 12:23 - Wage Growth as a Leading Economic Indicator 15:10 - Correlation of Wages to Inflation 20:13 - Real Wages'...
info_outlineIs the U.S. Dollar really collapsing, or is the world still trapped in a dollar-based system with no true alternative? Today’s discussion breaks down the myths behind de-dollarization, why BRICS nations still face trust problems, and how the global monetary system depends on U.S. dollar liquidity, debt markets, and swap lines.
We examine the relationship between gold, oil, fiat currencies, and central bank reserves, along with why the dollar continues to dominate global trade despite endless bearish headlines. We also discuss why fiat currencies are intentionally designed to lose value over time, how money is created through debt, and why America’s balance sheet is fundamentally different from most nations.
0:00 - INTRO
2:09 - What's Really Going on with The US Dollar
- Why are the Negative Dollar Narratives Generally Wrong?
5:28 - Fiat Currency vs Gold & the BRICs (No one trusts China)
7:15 - Fiat Currencies are designed to lose value over time - Money is a form of control
9:45 - The Hard Money System - going back to a Gold standard
13:18 - Debt Always Gets Paid
15:25 - Dollar Stats & The Relationship Between Oil, Gold, & Dollars
19:48 - Why Central Banks Have Dollar Reserves
21:25 - Are Central Bankers Idiots?
23:04 - Falling Into Doom Loops
24:17 - US Debt vs US Assets & Income - why are we different?
27:56 - Exporting Inflation to the Rest of the World
29:33 - The Dollar is the Original Stealth Weapon
29:53 - Why the Dollar Matters (The Landman Example)
32:19 - Monetary System is Debt-based: Money is loaned into existence - the Carry Trades
36:53 - De-Dollarization vs Re-Dollarization
38:04 - Extending US Dollar Swaps to the World
42:40- Dollar Swap Lines w Strings Attached
Get Brent Johnson's latest report (to be released mid-June, 2026) here:
https://research.santiagocapital.com/
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