6-16-26 Bullish Setup Returns | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 06/16/2026
The Real Investment Show Podcast
What really drives bull and bear markets? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine why corporate earnings remain one of the most important forces behind market performance. Rising profits can support bull markets, while significant earnings declines have historically accompanied the most severe bear markets. We also examine calls for “sound money” and a return to the gold standard. While concerns over debt, deficits, inflation, and dollar debasement are legitimate, a gold-backed dollar could have significant consequences for credit, economic growth, and investors. The key is separating...
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Markets have broken out to new all-time highs after two months of consolidation, a bullish development that could support higher prices over the next six to twelve months. But the rapid advance has also pushed markets back toward overbought conditions. Volatility is deeply suppressed, investor fear is scarce, and money flow and market breadth have surged toward levels where they have historically peaked. That does not mean a market crash is coming, but it does argue for greater attention to portfolio risk. We explain why the longer-term outlook remains bullish, what could trigger a correction,...
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Internet scams are evolving faster than ever, with artificial intelligence making phishing emails, fake phone calls, and fraudulent videos more convincing than traditional scams. Jon Penn and Venable Cybersecurity Services Managing Director, Avi Schwartz explain the most common online scams targeting consumers, investors, retirees, and businesses, along with practical steps you can take to protect yourself and your finances. We discuss AI-enhanced phishing attacks, deepfake voice and video scams, business email compromise, texting scams (smishing), elder fraud, and payment fraud involving gift...
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8-7-26 Aging in Place - What to Consider More Americans want to age in place, but is staying in your home the best financial and lifestyle decision? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty explore the real costs, benefits, and planning strategies behind one of retirement's biggest decisions. We discuss how neighborhoods, community connections, and changing retirement goals influence aging in place, while comparing the costs of home modifications with assisted living. We also examine emerging technologies—including AI companions, telehealth, smart-home monitoring, and wearable...
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Has Wall Street been looking at hyperscaler debt all wrong? Lance Roberts & Michael Lebowitz examine claims that the "hidden debt" of AI hyperscalers has surged to $1.65 trillion through off-balance-sheet obligations, including long-term leases and infrastructure commitments. But does that mean the AI investment thesis is breaking down? We'll separate the headlines from the fundamentals by comparing the financial strength of Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Oracle. While hidden obligations deserve attention, not all debt carries the same risk, and not every hyperscaler should...
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The S&P 500 has broken out to fresh all-time highs after months of consolidation, triggering a new momentum buy signal. But after one of the strongest five-day rallies since April 2025, should investors keep buying, or start taking profits? In today's Before the Bell, we discuss why this is an ideal time to review your portfolio's risk, rebalance strategically, and trim oversized winners. We explain why rebalancing shouldn't be mechanical, how to distinguish quality companies from long-term laggards, and why understanding why a stock is underperforming matters just as much as its...
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It's Q&A Wednesday, and we're answering your live chat questions on today's biggest investing, market, and economic topics. With the S&P 500 near record highs after weeks of consolidation, investors are asking what comes next. Is this breakout sustainable, or are markets setting up for another bout of volatility? Lance Roberts & Danny Ratliff discuss market leadership, interest rates, inflation, AI, bonds, portfolio positioning, retirement planning, and whatever else is on your mind. 0:00 INTRO 1:01 - AMD, Eli Lilly Earnings & Markets' New High 2:49 - Strait of...
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The S&P 500 has broken out to a new all-time high after months of sideways consolidation, but does that mean investors should immediately buy? Lance Roberts explains how consolidations work, why sideways markets can resolve overbought conditions without a major correction, and why patience may be rewarded after a breakout. We also discuss why a short-term pullback toward the breakout level could create a better entry point while preserving the current momentum buy signal. Plus, we examine the bond market as falling Treasury yields move closer to triggering a buy signal, despite ongoing...
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Is the classic 60/40 portfolio really obsolete, or are investors making a costly mistake by abandoning bonds? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine why fixed income still plays a critical role in portfolio construction, risk management, and long-term wealth preservation. We'll discuss why bonds remain valuable despite recent volatility, how they can improve diversification, and why chasing all-equity returns may expose investors to unnecessary risk. If you've been told that "bonds are dead," this conversation offers a different perspective backed by history and current market conditions. 0:00...
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The S&P 500 has once again proven why emotional investing rarely pays off. After briefly breaking below the 50-day moving average and triggering bearish headlines, the market quickly reversed, reclaimed key technical levels, and is now back within striking distance of new all-time highs. In today's Before the Bell, we examine why this prolonged consolidation continues to frustrate investors, what the latest earnings from Palantir, Microsoft, Amazon, and chip stocks could mean for the AI trade, and why a new momentum buy signal may be close to triggering. We also discuss the seasonal...
info_outlineMarkets continue to recover from the recent 4.5% correction, holding above the 20-day moving average and setting up a potential run toward new all-time highs. Relative strength is improving, momentum indicators are beginning to reverse higher, and a new buy signal could provide additional fuel for the rally as we move into historically strong July seasonality.
In today's pre-market update, we examine why the recent pullback may have cleared the path for further gains, how declining oil prices are helping support risk assets, and why the reopening of global energy supply routes could create additional downward pressure on crude prices.
We also review the latest sector rotation trends. Technology, AI, momentum, and high-beta stocks continue to attract capital, while energy stocks weaken alongside falling oil prices. However, some of the market's largest mega-cap stocks are becoming increasingly oversold, raising the possibility of another rotation beneath the surface.
Are investors chasing momentum at exactly the right time, or is the next market rotation already beginning?
Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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