10-5-26 Q4 Market Outlook: Will Strong Markets Finish Strong?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 10/05/2026
10-20-26 Is AI Killing Diversification?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Is artificial intelligence making portfolio diversification more difficult than investors realize? AI-driven stocks dominate major market indexes, leaving investors potentially overexposed to a handful of technology companies, even when they own diversified index funds. Lance Roberts and Jonathan Penn examine the hidden risks of AI-driven market concentration, the limitations of traditional diversification, and practical strategies for balancing portfolio risk without sacrificing long-term investment objectives. 0:00 - INTRO 1:00 - What Employment Reports & JOLTS Surveys Say 3:23 - Forward...
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10-20-26 Is Energy Due for a Selloff? | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Oil prices are surging, but could an energy sector reversal be coming? Lance Roberts examines why extremely overbought crude oil prices may be signaling a near-term peak, with implications for inflation, Treasury yields, Federal Reserve policy, and the stock market. The S&P 500 remains in consolidation after testing its 100-day moving average, while sector rotation continues. Technology stocks have weakened as Consumer Staples, Healthcare, Materials, and Financials gain strength. Energy remains unusually extended, raising the possibility of a sharp correction. Should investors take profits...
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10-19-26 Why Bad Inflation May Be Good for Markets
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Is inflation here to stay, or could higher prices eventually correct themselves? Lance Roberts explains why the difference between "good" and "bad" inflation matters for the Federal Reserve, interest rates, Treasury yields, and the stock market. We examine what inflation trends reveal about consumer purchasing power, Federal Reserve policy, bond yields, and the outlook for investors. Could today's inflation pressures eventually become tomorrow's economic weakness? 0:00 - INTRO 0:51 - Heavy Week of Earnings Driving markets 2:05 - Markets Sell off on Friday 3:52 - Markets Still Stuck in Same...
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10-19-26 Tech Stocks Take a Hit | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Technology stocks are under pressure as investors rotate from growth to value, while the S&P 500 approaches a critical test of its 100-day moving average. Following Friday's selloff, the market remains trapped in a two-month consolidation range, with a short-term momentum sell signal suggesting further downside pressure. AI-related suppliers and neocloud stocks suffered particularly sharp losses, even as broader market breadth improved. Lance Roberts examines how falling 10-year Treasury yields are fueling sector rotation, why equal-weight stocks are outperforming mega-cap technology, and...
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10-16-26 The Hidden Costs of Pet Ownership
The Real Investment Show Podcast
How much does owning a dog or cat really cost over its lifetime? From adoption fees and food to veterinary care, pet insurance, and estate planning, pet ownership comes with financial obligations that can significantly affect your household budget. Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty examine the true lifetime costs of pet ownership, including the differences between dogs and cats, unexpected healthcare expenses, dental care, travel arrangements, and ways to manage financial risks. Should pet expenses have their own line item in your financial plan? Is pet insurance worth the premiums? And...
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10-15-26 Inflation Runs Hot: What's Next for the Fed?
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Inflation remains stubbornly elevated, raising fresh questions about the Federal Reserve's next move on interest rates. Will the Fed hold rates higher for longer, or will slowing economic growth force policymakers to reconsider? Lance Roberts and Michael Lebowitz examine the latest inflation trends, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and what persistent price pressures could mean for the stock market, Treasury yields, and investors. Can the Federal Reserve bring inflation under control without undermining economic growth? We discuss the challenges facing monetary policymakers, the risks of...
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10-15-26 Hot Inflation, Stalled Markets | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Hotter-than-expected CPI inflation data sent stocks lower Wednesday, erasing the S&P 500's recent breakout to all-time highs and pushing markets back into the trading range that has persisted since August. With the index now threatening to test its 100-day moving average, is a larger correction developing, or is this simply normal October market behavior? Lance Roberts examines why improving market breadth and a rotation from growth to value stocks may be helping stabilize markets despite weakness in Technology and semiconductor shares. The equal-weighted S&P 500 (RSP) is showing signs...
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10-14-26 Q&A Wednesday: Real Answers. Real Advisors.
The Real Investment Show Podcast
What do the latest economic developments, stock market trends, Federal Reserve policy, and geopolitical events mean for your investments and retirement plans? Join Lance Roberts and Danny Ratliff for Q&A Wednesday as we examine the past week's financial headlines, market volatility, interest rates, Treasury yields, and investment opportunities. 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - CPI Day & Financials 3:23 - Rotation from Growth to Value 4:04 - Russell 2000 Breaks 200-DMA 7:07 - Allergies & Interest Rates and Real Estate 12:37 - Investment Capital Movement from Europe to US 13:05 - Bear...
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10-14-26 S&P 500 Masks Market Weakness | Before the Bell
The Real Investment Show Podcast
The S&P 500 continues to hold steady, but beneath the surface, market weakness persists as investors rotate from growth stocks into value. Technology and semiconductor stocks are facing selling pressure, while mega-cap names like Apple, Alphabet (Google), and Nvidia help support the market-cap-weighted S&P 500. Meanwhile, the Russell 2000, S&P SmallCap 600, and S&P MidCap 400 reveal a different picture. Small-cap and mid-cap stocks continue to struggle, with weak market breadth and widening performance gaps across sectors. In today's Before the Bell, Lance Roberts examines the...
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10-13-26 Is Gen Z Gambling Away Its Future? (Are Bonds a Safe Bet?)
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Is Gen Z gambling away its financial future? And with 10-year Treasury yields near 5%, are bonds finally offering investors a safer bet? Lance Roberts & Jon Penn examine two very different approaches to financial risk: the growing popularity of sports betting, online gambling, and speculative trading among younger Americans, and the potential investment opportunities emerging in the U.S. Treasury market. 0:00 - INTRO 1:12 - Bill King Recap* & Gen Z Gambling Preview 2:27 - Earnings Season Kicks off: Banks' Buying Opportunity? 4:35 - The Only Thing Holding Market Up is Technology...
info_outlineCan a strong year for stocks carry its momentum through the fourth quarter? History provides an interesting backdrop for the Q4 market outlook.
Lance Roberts examines the forces that could shape markets through year-end, including rising earnings estimates, corporate buybacks, investor sentiment, liquidity, interest rates, and the continuing dominance of Technology. We’ll also look at the other side of the setup: weak market breadth, elevated Treasury yields, narrow leadership, and the risk that strength in the major indexes may be masking weakness beneath the surface.
0:00 - INTRO
1:00 - Earnings Season Begins
3:20 - Friday Employment Weaker than Expected, as Falling Trend Continues
3:45 - There is deterioration in the Economy
6:59 - Markets Close a Decent Week Higher
7:48 - Volatility Showing No Signs of Concern; Breadth is a Different Story
9:07 - Markets Remain Well Above Moving Averages
12:07 - Preview: Sequence of Returns Risk
13:04 - How much Do You Need to Be Happy (chart)
18:21 - Looking Ahead into Fourth Quarter - Is October Cursed by the Market gods?
22:43 - Looking at the Drivers that Cause Crashes (not apparent now)
23:48 - Q4 Statistics (chart)
26:42 - Market Returns in Mid-term Election Years (Chart)
28:10 - Earnings are a Driver for the Markets (chart)
30:01 - Factors that Affect Markets (chart)
34:11 - Computerized Trading Algorithms (CTA) Performance (chart)
37:30 - The Economy is Running on Business Spending (ISM) (chart)
39:31 - Q3: The Index Isn't the Average Stock (chart)
40:26 - Market Breadth is at Levels Where Normally They Reverse (chart)
42:15 - What to do next: Guidelines to Follow (chart)
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Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Watch Today's "Before the Bell" report, "Market Breadth Sends a Warning,"
https://youtu.be/gZDLO_jSZrg
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Watch our previous show, "Funeral Planning - Make the Decisions Before Your Family Has To."
https://youtube.com/live/oGCV1mUrzwk?feature=share-
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Articles Mentioned in Today's Show:
"Q4 Market Outlook: Strong Years Usually Finish Strong"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/q4-market-outlook-strong-years-usually-finish-strong/
"Price Of Happiness: Missing The Things That Matter"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/price-of-happiness-measuring-the-wrong-things/
"Sequence Of Return Risk: The Math That Breaks Retirements"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/sequence-of-return-risk-the-math-that-breaks-retirements/
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