10-12-26 Depopulation: What Happens When the Population Shrinks? The Bill King Interview
The Real Investment Show Podcast
Release Date: 10/12/2026
The Real Investment Show Podcast
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info_outlineWhat happens to the economy when population growth slows—or goes into reverse?
Lance Roberts & Bill King explore the demographic forces reshaping the United States and the world, from falling birth rates and China’s One Child Policy to immigration, aging populations, Social Security, housing, inflation, and the future of work.
We examine what depopulation really means for economic growth and retirement sustainability, why demographic shifts could alter housing demand and labor markets, and how immigration policy may become increasingly important as countries compete for workers and intellectual capital.
The conversation also looks at the geopolitical implications of India’s population momentum versus China’s demographic challenges, the effects of changing demographics on Houston and other major cities, and how tax and public policies can encourage—or discourage—population and economic growth.
Finally, we explore the next demographic disruption: artificial intelligence and robotics. Could automation create a second wave of globalization? What happens to displaced workers? Which industries benefit from demographic change, and which face the greatest challenges?
Depopulation may be inevitable in parts of the world. The bigger question is how governments, businesses, investors, and individuals adapt to a future increasingly defined by aging populations, fewer workers, and slower population growth.
0:00 - INTRO
1:18 - Meet Bill King & Depopulation
2:10 - Understanding Epidemics & Demography
3:52 - Population Boom to Bust
7:34 - Impact of Womens' Choice
9:28 - China's One Child Policy effects
11:47 - What Does Depopulation really mean?
14:53 - Demographic Effects on Social Security & Entitlements
15:49 - The Challenge of Sustainability in Retirement
16:20 - The Benefits of Depopulation
18:37 - The Cost of Raising Kids
19:20 - The COVID Overhang?
21:47 - Doubling the Intellectual Capital of the US
22:58 - The Housing Market is only a bubble
24:51 - Impact of self-deportation on rents, Inflation Calculations
25:34 - Rationalizing Immigration Policy
30:17 - Mike Rowe Foundation & Trade Workers - do we need targeted immigration?
32:34 - The Houston Growth negative phenomenon
35:04 - Impact of City of Houston public policy
37:55 - The Texas Medical Center impact
39:44 - Geopolitics & balances of power: India population momentum vs China
41:35 - AI & Depreciation of the Value of Work (Social Security is UBI for old people)
44:41 - Investing & Financial Markets' impact by Depopulation
46:20 - What Kind of Conduct is Incentivized by Tax Code?
47:51 - Globalization Explained (AI/Robotics: second wave of Globalization)
49:11 - Two Reasons for Reshoring Jobs - What happens to displaced workers?
52:37 - What Sectors will be most impacted by demographic shifts: Managing growth vs managing stagnation
54:36 - Depopulation demographics is inevitable: how to make smarter policy choices based on this reality.
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Hosted by RIA Advisors' Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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